The Ratto Report – FCLV 2021 1st Quarter Review

The Ratto Report
1st Quarter 2021

stick

FCA NEWSLETTER
DESERT REGION – LAS VEGAS CHAPTER
1st Quarter 2021

Written by John Ratto
Edited by Chuck Damus

Dateline: January 2021

A new year brings a glimmer of hope. Yes, the virus is still running rampant, but not so much as during the final days of 2020. Yes, we are still in lock-down mode, but not as severe as the mode of late 2020. And, yes, after much hue-and-cry by the Republicans, it seems the election results will stand and that Joe Biden, for better or for worse, will ascend to the presidency.

Then, just when you thought it was safe to go back into the water (a reference to the movie Jaws for you youngsters), January 6 comes knocking. Riots at the Capital – that was a big surprise to the government, the military, and the police agencies, all of which were caught napping. The repercussions continue today.

Still, there is a faint glimmer of hope…hope that things will improve soon. Most of this hope is centered on the vaccines. Suddenly, there are vaccines! A lot of them. Unfortunately, actually getting vaccinated proves problematic. Scheduling an appointment is very difficult. When that appointment is cancelled, it is disheartening. We have a stockpile of doses that are not being used in a timely manner. We need to perform better.

Nevertheless, it is FINALLY obvious that things are getting better, not worse. Hope springs eternal. A corner had been turned, psychologically, if not actually.

Dateline: April 1, 2021

NO (April) FOOLIN, it is a brand new day. The birds are chirping, plants are showing green bud, and vaccination is progressing at an impressive rate; people’s attitudes, and the economy, are on the upswing. Most restrictions have been removed in many states, and further reductions are in the offing. We are seeing the return to restaurant dining and even attendance by fans at sporting events.

Barring unforeseen difficulty, it looks as if the worst is behind us and things will improve in the near future, hopefully to a point where this catastrophe is in the rearview mirror. Only the continued problems in other parts of the world, especially Europe, cast a pallor on the situation.

Our Club did not organize any Socials or Drives during the first quarter of 2021. But, such events may resume in the near future. ‘We’ll be back!!!’ So, please visit the website to be advised of any happenings being planned.

Hope springs eternal.

FORMULA 1 NEWS

Unfortunately, this year testing was not held in Barcelona. As a consequence, I have no behind the scene tidbits to reveal. So, before we start off on the 2021 season, let’s remember back to what happened last season 2020. The final statistics for 2020 are as follows:

Drivers:
Hamilton…..347
Bottas…….223
Verstappen…214
Perez……..125
Ricciardo….119

Leclerc was eighth with 98, while Vettel was 13th with 33

Constructors:
Mercedes Benz..573
Red Bull…….319
McLaren……..202
Racing Point…195
Renault……..181
Ferrari……..131

These statistics show that Mercedes dominated once again. They handily won the constructors’ championship, and their pilots were 1-2 in the drivers’ championship. They also show that 2020 was a disaster for Ferrari. The Italian reds could only manage 6th place in the constructors’, a terrible result for a team with such resources.

The 2021 season will see several driver shake-ups throughout the field, including at some of the major teams, which is unusual. Hell, it will see major shake-ups in the names of two teams:

Racing Point will become Aston Martin Renault will become Alpine

The driver line-ups will be as follows (an * indicates a new driver to that team, an R indicates a rookie driver).

Ferrari:
Charles Leclerc
Carlos Sainz*

Mercedes-Benz:
Lewis Hamilton
Valtteri Bottas

Red Bull:
Max Verstappen
Sergio Perez *

McLaren:
Lando Norris
Daniel Ricciardo *

Aston Martin/Racing Point:
Lance Stroll
Sebastian Vettel *

Williams:
Nicholas Latifi
George Russell

Alfa Romeo:
Kimi Raikkonen
Antonio Giovinazzi

Haas:
Nikita Mazepin * R
Mick Schumacher * R

Alpine/Renault:
Esteban Ocon
Fernando Alonso * Yuki

Alpha Tauri:
Pierre Gasly
Tsunoda * R

Several teams made no changes. Mercedes-Benz won everything last year, and did so convincingly. They made no changes to a good thing. Williams, on the other hand, brought up the rear of the field; they also made no changes. They have George Russell, who is very quick, but they also have a very slow car. Surprisingly, Alfa Romeo brought back both grizzled veteran Kimi Raikkonen and promising youngster Antonio Giovinazzi. Everyone expected one of their seats to be filled by one of the up-and-coming rookies in the Ferrari drivers’ academy. Instead, Alfa opted for a well-functioning pair of familiar faces.

Clearly, the biggest change was at Ferrari, where 4 time world champion Sebastian Vettel was unceremoniously shown the door. There was little question that Vettel had lost his mojo, but this change was handled poorly. His replacement, Carlos Sainz, is quick, but not one of the fastest on the grid. However, he is consistent, doesn’t make mistakes, and takes good care of the machinery. He is a good team player. It will be interesting to see if he can challenge incumbent Charles Leclerc for top dog of the team. I doubt it.

Naturally, Max Verstappen, still a youngster and perhaps the fastest and boldest driver in the field, returns at Red Bull. He is joined by Sergio Perez, who drove for Racing Point in 2020. After nearly 200 starts, Sergio finally won a race last year. Not the fastest of qualifiers, he is a great racer who excels in strategy and passing. He is a consistent points finisher. If Red Bull is looking to mount a serious challenge to Mercedes for the constructors’ title, Perez was the right choice to pad their score tally.

Daniel Ricciardo makes yet another move in his personal game of musical seats. In just a few years he has gone from Red Bull to Renault, and now from Renault to McLaren, which secured Mercedes-Benz power for 2021. McLaren was already fast in 2020, switching to German power should make them serious challengers for race wins, which likely enticed Ricciardo to jump teams. Ricciardo has always been fast and has always been in a fast car, yet mostly due to bad luck, some of it self-inflicted, he has accomplished little. Will he finally find happiness driving the McLaren, paired with upcoming incumbent Lando Norris, who is very quick? Failing to out-perform Norris would be a serious blow to Riccardo’s ego.

Sebastian Vettel moves from Ferrari to Racing Point/Aston Martin (RP/AM). This is the most intriguing change of the year. Vettel seemed disoriented and disinterested last season. Can he regain his luster? RP/AM, with new team owner Lawrence Stroll’s financial wherewithal, was clearly looking to make a splash, and they have done so by bringing on the 4 time world champion. They are also looking to move up the ranks. Bringing Vettel to the team will give them stature and media coverage, and championship winning experience. Can Vettel back it up on the track? He clearly needs to demonstrate superiority to returning youngster Lance Stroll to justify his existence on this rapidly improving team.

Haas will have two rookies (Nikita Mazepin and Mick Schumacher – yes, Michael’s son), setting up a situation where failure is expected. They now have a mercurial car, and two drivers with no experience to drive it, or improve it. The talk in the paddock says that Russian Mazepin brings more rubles to the table than skill…we shall see. This could be a disaster

Alpine/Renault returns reliable Estaban Ocon and brings in former multi-world champion Fernando Alonso, who took a multi-year sabbatical from F1 to drive sports cars, Indy cars, Le Mans prototypes, etc. Does he have anything left in the tank? Will he be old and slow, or rejuvenated and quick? This guy has mad skills. If he can call up his former self, he could be a top competitor in the mid-field driving the Renault. Again, a most intriguing situation.

And, finally, Alpha Tauri returns the very competent and very motivated Pierre Gasly, and brings in the mostly untested and unknown Yuki Tsunoda (as an inducement to Honda for continuing to supply engines) to be his teammate. Gasly is very quick and competitive; he should do well in 2021. With his ‘wild mam’ years behind him, this is his opportunity to grab a drive with a top team in 2022. Tsunoda is rumored to be wicked fast, very talented, and confident. As the youngest driver on the grid, let’s hope he shows some good judgement as well.

This year, pre-season testing was held in Bahrain. The teams were all present and spent three days in early March, sometimes trying for fast times, other times checking their reliability and compatibility with Pirelli’s new for 2021 tires. Testing results are notoriously unreliable, but here is what was gleaned from the days on track. The Red Bulls looked to be the class of the field. Both Verstappen and Perez were near (or at) he front of the field on a consistent basis. Both Mercedes suffered reliability (mainly gear box) and other issues. They showed some speed when they were not in the pits or in the gravel traps after spins. While Lance Stroll was competitive in the Aston Martin, Vettel suffered both self-inflicted and mechanical problems. Other drivers who showed well included Gasly, Norris, and Sainz in the Ferrari!

March 28: GP of Bahrain

In an effort to reduce travel in this time of the pandemic, the first race was held in Bahrain, where the teams had tested just a few weeks earlier. Given the situation, they got down to business rapidly, and soon the sounds of screaming engines permeated the air.

Fifty seven laps around the 3.4 mile circuit were scheduled. Bahrain is in the Middle East, so it was hot. Early sessions were run in the afternoons, when it was blazing, over 100 degrees. Later sessions, including qualifying, and the race were run in the evening, when temperatures were a bit more normal (think 80). Everyone complained of low grip and fading brakes in the two (early) afternoon sessions.

Practice: The durations of the three Practice sessions were reduced to 60 minutes. Not much that was unexpected transpired during Practice; the Red Bulls, Mercedes, and McLarens topped the charts, followed by the Ferraris and Gasly (Alpha Tauri). Everyone set faster lap times in the evening session, meaning that much of the data from the early sessions might not be representative of the true speed of the cars. One thing was clear: lap times of the cars were closer than they were last year. The slower cars have improved – become faster, while the faster cars have not.

Qualifying: From Q1 on, it was clear that the Honda (Red Bull and Alpha Tauri) powered cars were very fast. Meanwhile, Russian Nikita Mazepin (Haas) was all over the track, and into the gravel traps as well. The really quick guys (Mercedes and Red Bull) contested Q2 on the medium tires so they could begin the race on that compound. They were generally successful, but Perez failed to advance. However, in order to advance to Q3, Ferrari (and most others) had to run Q2 on the soft tires. The final qualifying order: Verstappen, Hamilton (4/10 of a second behind), Bottas, Leclerc (soft tires), Gasly, Ricciardo (soft), Norris (soft), Sainz (soft), Alonso (soft – no one expected this performance), and Stroll (soft). Meanwhile, Vettel continued his baffling ways. He initially qualified 17th!, and then was penalized to the rear of the field for ignoring a yellow flag.

What do these results show? Ferrari has gotten better over the off-season. Alonso is still Alonso; the man can drive. Gasly and the Alpha Tauri can challenge. Vettel still seems lost in space. And finally, the McLarens, with Mercedes engines, are a threat to the front runners.

Race: Race evening was cooler and windy, so much so that it affected the driving characteristics of the cars. Sergio Perez (Red Bull) suffered electrical issues on the formation lap, stopped on the track delaying the start of the race, managed to restart his engine, drove through the pits, and wound up starting from the rear of the pack. Meanwhile, a second formation lap was run. After all that, the race commenced.

Leclerc managed to pip Bottas on the start, while Mazepin managed to execute one of his becoming famous spins, smacking the wall and bringing out the Safety Car. When things settled down, Leclerc was motoring along in third place. But, Bottas reclaimed the position a few laps later. From that point forward, the field was running in close order and there were many terrific battles for position throughout the pack. For example, Bottas and Norris managed to pass Leclerc, but only after several exciting wheel-to-wheel battles. Laps 6 through 13 were excellent. It is to be noted that Perez, who started dead last, was up to 12th place by this time.

The first pit stops for those (including Alonso, Stroll, Leclerc, Norris…) who had started on the soft tires began on lap 13. The big surprise was that Hamilton, who had started on the mediums, also stopped. New rubber meant bolder drivers, and more battles for position. On lap 30, after a series of exciting laps, the running order (and tire choice) was Hamilton – H, Verstappen – M, Bottas – H, Norris – M, and Leclerc – M. At this point, the two Mercedes stopped for a second time, with Bottas enduring a very long delay in the pits. He was never a challenge again. On the other hand, Verstappen delayed his second stop to lap 38; he rejoined, on hard tires, about ten seconds behind Hamilton. Game on.

From this point forward, all attention was focused on the two leaders, and the excitement was palpable. Verstappen, on newer tires was slashing Hamilton’s lead by about a second a lap, and by lap 48 he was on the Mercedes’ tail. But remember, as we all know, catching someone is one thing, passing is another. Verstappen zigged and zagged, probed and juked, but Hamilton repeatedly rebuffed his attempts to get by. Two factors were hampering the Red Bull’s efforts. 1) When tracking down Hamilton, Verstappen was running in clean air. Now he was running in Hamilton’s turbulent air, and that was slowing him down. 2) Verstappen’s tires were now also beginning to show the effects of wear, and that was contributing to his difficulties in passing. As a consequence, despite his best efforts and amazing skills, Verstappen could not pass Hamilton in the remaining 8 or so laps of the race. The finishing order was Hamilton, Verstappen (less than a second behind), Bottas, Norris, Perez (once again demonstrating his race craft, starting last due to mechanical issues and finishing 5th), Leclerc (nice job in the Ferrari), Ricciardo (finishing behind teammate Norris), Sainz (nice work in his first race for Ferrari), and Tsunoda (a points finish in his first F1 race!).

This, my friends was a fabulous race. Let’s hope they are all like this. As a bonus, this race shows that Ferrari is back on the pace. It doesn’t get much better than this.

The Ratto Report – FCLV 2020 4th Quarter Review

The Ratto Report
4th Quarter 2020

stick

FCA NEWSLETTER
DESERT REGION – LAS VEGAS CHAPTER
4th Quarter 2020

Written by John Ratto
Edited by Chuck Damus

Dateline: October 2020

We seem to be waiting…waiting for some improvement in the virus situation, waiting for a vaccine, waiting for the election and its outcome and repercussions…waiting for a something…for anything…for a sign? We are waiting because, while the last 7 months have been eventful, nothing has been resolved. The virus continues to spread at very high rates – faster than ever before really, which seems impossible. This remains a harsh reality. More than 200,000 are now dead in the USA. The experts say it will likely get worse before it gets better. Can it get worse? How many more will die before the virus is stopped? Meanwhile, I must once again write this sentence:

Unfortunately, it still remains difficult to say whether things are getting better, or getting worse.

Only the stock market (but not the economy, unfortunately) seems healthy. Is it real, or an illusion, an illusion fueled by trillions of dollars in fiscal stimulus? It is difficult to remember a time with a greater abyss between the haves and the have nots. Will the election provide the people with a clear winner, a winner who cannot be disputed? Contested election results would simply be the icing on the cake of our discontent in 2020.

It seems that President Trump has beaten his encounter with the virus, but that should not be considered a moment of triumph, as the President advertises. Rather, it simply shows that someone with the best of care (I have seen estimates that Trump’s treatments would have a cost of over $400,000 if one of us bought them) can survive the virus. Trump’s outcome might have been quite different had he been a blue collar worker with insufficient or no health insurance.

So – damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead! It’s time to vote and be counted, once or twice as the situation calls for.

Dateline: December 2020 – January 2021

Three months have passed since I wrote the introduction above for the fourth quarter of 2020. I listed some of my fears for the upcoming future; let’s see if any of them materialized.

  • I feared contested election results…we got them in spades! And what an election it was. Trump supporters were expecting the Donald to win in a landslide. Biden supporters were anticipating just the opposite. In reality, it was damn close. Too close really. So close it led to a disputed result. Uncertainty – hell yeah. In fact, there is still some uncertainty as to whether Biden (officially the president elect) will take office according to the normal schedule. What else could you expect from 2020?
  • I also feared continued devastation by the virus…we got that in diamonds. New highs in daily infections? New highs in daily deaths? New highs in daily angst? Check…check…and check. The virus lives, and it lives well…at our expense. It has taken nearly 20,000,000 Americans hostage, and has assassinated nearly 350,000 of them. Those figures represent a 100% increase from early October. Meanwhile, the vaccine(s) is here, but there seems to be no rush to administer it. As of NYE, we have vaccinated just over 2 million people. The projected number was 10 times higher. Ten times! I have heard absolutely nothing as to how the vaccination process will be handled. Have you? Will an Rx be required? Where will the vaccine be administered? What the hell is going on?
  • I feared continuing economic problems for rank-in-file Americans. Despite a strong stock market…we got that too, in clubs. While the stock market goes up on a daily basis, many citizens are lined up for donated/free food. This is not a healthy situation. Marie Antoinette had a solution: ‘Let them eat cake.’ It did not end well for her.

So, we have the spades, diamonds, and clubs covered. What about the hearts, you ask. There were no hearts in 2020.

So, unfortunately, I must again ask: Are things getting better, or getting worse?

As the year came to a close we faced and persevered through a most difficult holiday season. There wasn’t a lot of thanksgiving or many jolly ho-ho-Hos. New Year’s Eve was a non-event in New York City, and a much smaller one than normal on the Las Vegas Strip. No spirits were bright. Few dreams came true…mostly nightmares instead. Did you get what you wanted for Christmas? Yeah, neither did I.

Then, just as 2020 was fading into the sunset, more bad news. A fetid wind carried news that Scott Howard, longtime member of our Club and past Treasurer, had passed. Will the bad news ever end? Scott was literally a gentle giant, and one of the nicest guys you would ever meet. Our condolences go to Janet, his wife. This man will be missed by many.

I wish that 2021 could begin with a clean slate. That we could erase all of the negative realities we will face when we turn the calendar page and welcome 2021.

Your Club did not organize any Socials or Drives during the fourth quarter of 2020, and, given the turmoil and continued restrictions, there may not be any during the first quarter of 2021. So, there are no good stories to tell, and there may not be any for a while. The Ferrari Club lies dormant. But ‘We’ll be back!!!’

Hope springs eternal.

FORMULA 1 NEWS

At our last update, ten races had been run, about half the season, and Mercedes-Benz was dominating the proceedings. As October dawned, racing continued, once again with only a few, or no, fans in the grandstands.

The other disappointments concerned Mercedes Benz and Ferrari. The German team keeps winning almost all of the races, and thereby spoiling the excitement. Conversely, Ferrari is having a dismal season, and is not really in the hunt for anything besides mediocracy. With that said, let’s have a look at the standings with ten races in the books.

Drivers:

Hamilton…. 205      Bottas…161    Verstappen…128
Norris……… 65      Albon…..64    Ricciardo……..63
Leclerc……..57      (Vettel is in 13th place with 17 points)

Manufacturers:

Mercedes Benz…… 366     Red Bull…….192    McLaren…… 106
Racing Point………. 104     Renault…….. 99     Ferrari………. 74

This makes the situation clear; Mercedes will once again win both Championships (drivers and manufacturers) in 2020. It is all over but the shouting. But, with many races remaining, let’s get to that shouting.

October 11: Grand Prix of Germany (Eifel) at the Nurburgring (#11)

The Nurburgring is a technical track, 3.2 miles long, with many tight corners that lower average speeds to about 130 mph. It is picturesque, but located in the middle of nowhere, Germany. Ah, October in Germany…was anyone surprised it was COLD? I mean it was really cold (like freezing cold), and cloudy and dank. Everyone acted as if they were surprised, but maybe it was just that, an act. Anyway, Practice 1 and 2 were cancelled due to the cold and fog. The race itself was scheduled for 60 laps.

Other than the weather, the big news in pit lane centered on Honda, which announced that (after 2021) they would no longer be supplying engines to F1. Several teams, including powerful Red Bull, will be scrambling to find a new source for engines. In other news, Mick Schumacher, Michael’s son, was at the track, and scheduled for a test drive in the Alfa Romeo. The weather scuttled that plan. P3 went off without a hitch though, and the Renaults looked fast, as did the Ferraris, surprisingly. On Saturday morning it was announced that Lance Stroll was suffering from a bug and would not race. Racing Point brought in Nico Hulkenberg with virtually no notice to take his place.

Qualifying: Vettel once again failed to get into Q3, but Leclerc did so quite easily. What is wrong with the German multi-championship winner? Qualifying provided no big surprises or drama, and the grid was as follows: Bottas, Hamilton, Verstappen, Leclerc (!), Albon, and the two Renaults (Ricciardo and Ocon). Vettel was 11th. Everyone in the top 10 contested Q2 on soft tires, meaning they would all start on them as well. However, several of the slower qualifiers chose to start on the mediums.

Race: Race day was very cold, partly cloudy, and windy. Once again, Bottas made a poor start, permitting Hamilton to challenge him immediately for the lead. However, Bottas managed to right the ship and retain his position. Elsewhere in the field there were several skirmishes for position, but no carnage to speak of. At the end of lap 1 the running order was much the same as the grid seeding. Several uneventful laps ensued, but then, on lap 6, Ricciardo mounted an attack of Leclerc, and, after a good battle, managed to pass the Ferrari several laps later. After another spirited fight, Hamilton managed to do the same to Bottas on lap 13. Both Leclerc and Bottas damaged their front tires defending their positions, and were soon in the pits (quite a bit earlier than planned) for new rubber. That meant that the top three after 15 laps was Hamilton, Verstappen, and Ricciardo. During this period, and for many laps following, the cold weather influenced the race: the tires were cold, which lowered grip, which resulted in spins and slides, and a few collisions. These circumstances brought out the yellow flags and the safety car, bunching the field. Watching these rocket ships tip-toe around the circuit was interesting, but really didn’t satisfy the urge to see them go ultra-fast. Mr. Lucky, Lewis Hamilton managed to avoid all of these pitfalls, naturally.

Deployment of the Virtual Safety Car on lap 17 led to the first pit stops by Hamilton and Verstappen, among many others. During the period of slow running, Bottas suffered an engine problem and retired, with Ocon and Albon soon following him to the scrap heap. Meanwhile, Leclerc was working his way back toward the front after his early difficulties. On lap 30 (the halfway point) the running order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Ricciardo, Leclerc, Norris, and Perez. Soon thereafter a good battle fired up between Leclerc and Perez, with a series of passes and re-passes over five or six laps. In the end, Perez prevailed and Leclerc headed back to the pits for a second set of new tires. At lap 40 the running order had not changed much: Hamilton, Verstappen, Ricciardo, and Perez, who was catching Ricciardo. However, another Safety Car period bunched up the field and offered the opportunity for everyone to pit for fresh rubber. When racing resumed, several good battles ensued as the race came to its conclusion. In the end, it was Hamilton with another win, Verstappen, Ricciardo, Perez, Sainz, Gasly, and Leclerc. Vettel managed only 11th.

October 25: GP of Portugal (12) at Portimao

This would be the first F1 race ever at this track, which encompasses myriad elevation changes and blind corners over its 2.9 miles. As might be expected, the teams were working blind, having little or no information or data concerning the track and its condition. One thing was agreed – tire wear would be high.

One thing of note concerning the points situation: While Mercedes and Hamilton will certainly win their respective titles, and Red Bull will pick up the major scraps, there is a heated battle developing for third place in the constructors’ championship between Racing Point, McLaren, and Renault. 10 points cover these three, and the bad blood is almost palpable. This should make for excellent racing as the season draws to a close.

Practice: Bottas was fastest in all three Practice sessions, but the real news concerned tire wear…it was very high, especially when running the soft tires. The question became: who would take the leap and start on the mediums? The good news for Ferrari fans was the performance of Leclerc, who managed to hang around in the top 5 of all the sessions.

Qualifying: After a 30 minute delay to repair a drain hole cover, Qualifying went off without a hitch. Vettel stumbled, as has been his wont lately, and was mired in the field; he will start 15th. But what was of real note was that lap times on the medium tires were actually a tiny bit faster than on the softs. Mercedes and Ferrari were the only ones to come to this realization, and they ended up starting on the medium tires. Hamilton pipped Bottas at the last minute for pole, as he is wont to do, so the starting order was Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Leclerc (with an inspired drive), Perez, Albon, and Sainz.

Race: After rain overnight, the track was damp, and the conditions were cloudy, windy, and cold. The action was hot though, as before turn 3 Verstappen had passed Bottas, and had then had been repassed by the Mercedes. Once Bottas got his tires warmed up, he easily caught Hamilton as well, taking over the lead of the race. Meanwhile, Sainz (McLaren) was motoring up the field. He passed Leclerc, Verstappen, and Hamilton (!) before lap 2 was completed. Then he passed Bottas for the lead!! Some reflection indicates that this should not have come as a surprise. The Mercedes and Ferraris had started on the medium tires, and those tires took a lot longer to get up to operating temperature. As a result, Sainz, on the soft tires, had a huge advantage in the early laps. By lap 5 though, the medium tires were coming to temperature, and the Mercedes were gaining speed. In the next few laps first Bottas passed Sainz, and then Hamilton did the same. A few laps later Verstappen passed the McLaren, and then Leclerc did the same. To make matters worse, by about lap 12 the soft tires were fading, and pit stops loomed for most of the field. Ricciardo was the first to make a tires stop, on lap 15 (of 66). A few laps later, Hamilton ran down Bottas and passed him for the lead. All of this passing at the front of the field was a most welcome sight. By lap 20, things had settled down a bit and the running order was Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen (on old soft tires, he would pit soon), Leclerc (putting in a brilliant drive), Gasly (Alpha Tauri), and Sainz (McLaren).

There was really only one place to pass, at the end of the long straight, but DRS made passing there quite easy. This led to a large number of battles throughout the field. Everyone knew that if they could catch the car ahead, they could pass it. Powerful incentive to get on with it! For example, between laps 33 and 40, Raikkonen and Sainz waged a great battle, as did Perez (Racing Point) and Ocon (Renault). This was about the time when the front runners who had started on the medium tires made their first pit stops. Leclerc was the first of this group to do so (lap 35), followed closely by Hamilton (lap 41), and Bottas (lap 42). This group rejoined the race on cold, hard tires that had little grip, meaning that no challenges were forthcoming for the top positions through the end of the race. When it was all over, the finishing order of this highly entertaining race was Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Leclerc, Gasly, and Sainz. Vettel finished 10th.

With this victory, Hamilton has notched 92 trips to the top of the podium. This breaks Michael Schumacher’s previous total, and sets a new benchmark for wins in an F1 career. Given the situation, it is likely this record will be broken, by Hamilton, many times in the near future.

November 1: GP of Italia – Emilia Romagna @ Imola (13)

This makes it three Grands Prix in Italy in a single season! If Ferrari was more competitive, the Italian fans would be going crazy. The Imola track has hosted many GPs, usually called the GP of San Marino, so its quirks are well known. It is 3 miles long and pretty fast, with top speeds touching 200 mph. 63 laps were scheduled.

This was what is being termed an ‘abbreviated weekend.’ Sort of a wham-bam-thank-you-ma’am. Only two days of events were scheduled: Saturday for Practice 1 and Qualifying, and Sunday for the race.

Practice: With only one session, everyone was out early and often, working hard to learn the track and gather data. Their efforts were by a beautiful, sunny Italian day. Perez was pushing, running fast times. The Mexican is looking for a seat for next season (he certainly deserves one).

Qualifying: Despite engine problems in Q2, Verstappen squeaked into Q3 so he could compete for the top grid positions. Several of the drivers attempted to contest Q2 on the medium tires, but in the end only Hamilton, Bottas, and Verstappen were fast enough to do so. They would start the race on the mediums, seen as a huge advantage…as if they needed one. The final grid looked familiar (at the front), but not so familiar immediately behind them: Bottas, Hamilton, Verstappen, Gasly, Ricciardo, Albon, and Leclerc. Vettel placed 14th.

Race: After a glorious Saturday of autumnal Italian splendor, race day Sunday was cool, cloudy, and gloomy. Only the tires welcomed the changed. The start was most eventful; in short order (about 20 seconds) Verstappen passed Hamilton, Ricciardo passed Gasly, and Leclerc passed Albon. Of the leaders, Bottas was one of the few who held his position. It was a great show. Things settled down a bit after that, and at lap 5 (of 63) the running order was Bottas, Verstappen, Hamilton, Ricciardo, Gasly and Leclerc. A pitched battle was being waged by those in 4th through 11th, with many instances of wheel-to-wheel combat being fought. Sainz’s great pass of Norris was especially noteworthy.

The first pit stops for tires occurred on lap 14, with most everyone opting to continue on the hards. Bottas and Verstappen, the two leaders, who had both started on mediums rather than softs, stopped on lap 19, choosing hards. They rejoined behind the leaders. Hamilton, meanwhile, soldiered on with his aging medium rubber. Mr. Lucky’s perseverance was rewarded when an accident on lap 30 elicited the Safety Car which allowed Hamilton to pit and retain the lead. At this point of the race Verstappen was setting the pace from 3rd place; he managed to catch Bottas on lap 43 and elbow his way past him with an epic pass. A great move! Unfortunately, the Red Bull experienced suspension failure on lap 51 and retired, stranded on the track, which brought out the Safety Car, bunching the field.

This also provided an opportunity for the drivers (including Hamilton, Bottas, and both McLarens) to stop again for new tires while the field was moving slowly. When racing resumed on lap 57, the running order was Hamilton, Bottas, Ricciardo, Leclerc, Albon, Perez, and Kvyat. This didn’t last long, as Perez immediately pulled off a brilliant pass of Albon, and then Kvyat did the same to Leclerc. After that, the final few laps were tightly contested, but relatively uneventful. The finishing order was Hamilton, Bottas, Ricciardo, Kvyat, Leclerc, Perez, and Sainz…nary a Ferrari in sight.

So, a good race with much action, and the same old top two at the front of the field. With this result Mercedes clinches the constructors’ championship, for the seventh year in a row.

November 15: GP of Turkey (14)

How appropriate…the GP of Turkey…11 days before turkey day.

This track last hosted a GP about 10 years ago. It was freshly resurfaced and ready to go (or so it seemed). It is a tough circuit with significant elevation change, and some very challenging corners. Moreover, the recent resurfacing made it treacherously smooth and slippery. There wasn’t any grip under the best of circumstances.

Practice: Friday was cold and gloomy; overnight rain was still standing of the track and the tires were refusing to achieve operating temperature. There was absolutely no grip. Everyone was on wet tires (full wets or intermediates); no one dared try slicks. Unfortunately, these conditions persevered throughout the weekend. Well maybe not so unfortunate…the conditions made for great racing. The Practice sessions brought out the differences in car chassis design, and aerodynamic efficiency. Some cars (including the Ferraris and Red Bulls) did OK in the conditions, others did not. It was a miracle, given the spinning and sliding, that no serious accidents occurred. Perhaps the fact that the cars were running laps about 20 seconds slower than was expected in dry conditions played a part as well. Anyway, most of the data generated in testing was based upon having wet weather tires mounted. This proved a God send as slicks were seldom seen this weekend.

Qualifying: Did I say it was cold and slippery in Practice? Well, double down on that in Qualifying. It was so nasty that Q1 was red flagged for an hour…and then red flagged again after it resumed. Conditions were improving as Q2 started, and the improving conditions meant that speeds not yet recorded were being run. Anyway, Q2 and Q3 were somewhat of a madhouse, as everyone was running 10 seconds a lap faster than they had managed previously. After the dust (no! the mist) had settled the starting order was Stroll (what??), Verstappen, Perez, Albon, Ricciardo, Hamilton, Ocon, Raikkonen, Bottas, Giovinazzi (Alfa Romeo), Vettel, and Leclerc. Yes, Racing Points were first and third! Yes, Vettel had out qualified Leclerc. And YES, the fastest Mercedes was mired in sixth place. Wet conditions produce unexpected results.

Race: The conditions as race time approached were more of the same. It was cold and wet and VERY slippery. Everyone opted to start on the full wet tires. Stroll made an excellent start and claimed the lead, while Bottas, Albon, and Ocon spun and dropped down the field. Verstappen, Leclerc, and Hamilton started slowly, and were then fighting for their positions. Vettel made a perfect start and zoomed up the field. There was a lot of shuffling, passing and re-passing, as the drivers struggled to keep their steads on the proper path. It was great to watch.

At the end of lap 2, when things had settled down a bit, the running order was Stroll, Perez, Vettel (!), Verstappen, Albon, Hamilton, Ricciardo, and Raikkonen, with Stroll and Perez pulling away from the field. At this point, the rain slackened and the cars began going a bit faster in response. The improving conditions meant that the full wet tires would be wearing fast which prompted Leclerc to be the first to stop (lap 7) for intermediates. Soon thereafter, all of the front runners did the same, leaving a running order (on lap 15) not much different than the one after lap 2: Stroll, Perez, Verstappen, Vettel, Hamilton, Albon, Ricciardo, Sainz, and Leclerc.

A nice battle for fifth through eighth played out starting on lap 15: Hamilton tried to pass Vettel, but was rebuffed. Their fight allowed Albon to sneak by both of them with a terrific pass. Great stuff! Soon thereafter, Verstappen spun and flat-spotted his tires; he was in the pits for new intermediates on lap 19. After passing Hamilton and Vettel, and now driving in the clear air, Albon was the fastest car on track. He managed to catch Perez in second place, but then failed to find a way past the Racing Point.

At this point something strange began to occur. The speeds of virtually all the cars became quite variable. Someone would suddenly improve his lap times by over 2 seconds; this might last 4 or 5 laps. However, after the 5 laps were done, that same driver would slow down by several seconds a lap for 4 or 5 laps. Then, after another 4 or 5 laps, that driver would speed up again. The pundits concluded that the intermediate tires, which are not designed for longevity, were graining, causing the car to go slower. Then, the graining would stop, and the car would go faster until the graining returned. It was strange, but highly entertaining, as different cars throughout the field were suddenly very competitive, and then suddenly not. Even Vettel had a string of laps (around lap 28) when he was fastest in the field. In any case, after a most entertaining 10 or so laps the running order was Stroll, Perez, Albon, Vettel, Hamilton, and Ricciardo.

All of this concern being generated by the intermediate tires caused Leclerc to be the first of the contenders to make a second stop (lap 31). He opted for a new set of intermediates; the conditions were still too slippery to dare going to slicks. Some of the other front runners (including Stroll, the leader) soon did the same, but another group (including Hamilton) chose to continue on the now quite worn intermediates they had mounted on about lap 10. At the time, this seemed a questionable choice; no one expected the fading intermediates to make it to the end of the race. Then, a few laps later, the choice seemed to be prescient: the worn out intermediates suddenly found new lives, and the cars using them began to set very quick times indeed. Hamilton, suddenly one of the quickest cars, ran down Perez (the leader) and passed him easily. This ushered in a period (from about lap 40 to the end of the race) of quite exciting racing: a giant tussle between Vettel, Leclerc, Stroll, and Albon; a nice pass by Leclerc on Verstappen; Sainz elbowing his way past Albon; Norris shouldering by Ricciardo; Verstappen passing Albon; Norris edging by Stroll; and Vettel making an outlandish move to pass Leclerc less than 100 yards from the finish line.

When it was (sadly) all over, the finishing order was Hamilton, Perez, Vettel, Leclerc, Sainz, and Verstappen. Neither of the top two finishers made a second stop; they babied their intermediate tires for nearly 50 laps, which seemed impossible. Hallelujah – Vettel on the podium! – Leclerc right behind!

This was a fabulous race to watch. If you missed it, you missed something special. Meanwhile, talking about winning and losing, with this outcome, Hamilton has clinched the 2020 drivers’ championship. That makes 7 titles for him, which ties him with Michael Schumacher for most ever.

November 29: GP of Bahrain

Fifty-seven laps were planned on this 3.4 mile circuit, all run in the evening (officially twilight), as normally temperatures are high in this part of the world. However, someone failed to realize that winter occurs everywhere, even the Middle East. So, the weather, rather than being hot, tended towards cool and damp, especially after sundown. The track itself presents many passing opportunities and provides good grip, but tire wear was expected to be high.

Practice and Qualifying: The Practice sessions saw several cars spinning off track and suffering damage, including Verstappen and Albon, who destroyed his car. This made for a crew of very busy mechanics in the Red Bull garage. As Practice concluded everyone agreed on one thing: the soft tires were worthless on this track, in these conditions. Therefore, virtually every car ran Q2 on the mediums. None of this mattered much to the Ferrari drivers: neither advanced to Q3. In the end, the front of the grid was no surprise: Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Albon, and Perez.

Race: Hamilton made a good start and secured the lead, while Bottas made a terrible one, and fell to 6th. But the real action was at the rear of the field where Grosjean (Haas) lost control of his car and went head first into a steel barrier. His car was essentially cut in half, and then it exploded into a 30 foot tall ball of flame. Wow! We almost never see accidents like this in modern F1 (they were more common 20 or more years ago, but that makes them all the more astonishing when they happen today). Luckily, miraculously, Grosjean was able to walk (limp might be a better word) away from the conflagration. He would not have done that 20 years ago. To give you an idea of the temperatures that were reached, the steel guard rail actually melted from the heat. Naturally, the proceedings were red flagged to allow the course workers the opportunity to remove the remains of the Haas and the guard rail, and create a new barrier, a task that required about an hour.

Despite this debacle, the re-start and the first few laps saw a few more accidents and race stoppages, and a few tire punctures requiring pit stops. When things finally settled down, on about lap 8, the drivers got down to work as the faster guys, mired in the field by all the action and mayhem, began to work their ways back to the front. Unfortunately, Leclerc was one of the cars being passed as this occurred, as was Vettel who slipped to 18th by lap 13.

On lap 17, Ricciardo was the first to make anything that resembled a scheduled pit stop. He chose to mount the hard tires, hoping that they would last 40 more laps, until the end. Many others stopped for tires between laps 20 and 30, re-shuffling the deck several times; but the leaders (Hamilton, Verstappen, and Perez) soldiered on until lap 36. By that time, they were far enough ahead to pit and still maintain their spots at the front. The only real action from that point to the end happened on lap 54 with the end in sight, when Perez, running third, suffered a spectacular engine failure. Final order: Hamilton, Verstappen, Albon (a nice finish in the second Red Bull), Norris (McLaren), Sainz (ditto), and Gasly. Leclerc limped home tenth, while Vettel was 13th.

December 6: GP of Bahrain II — Sakhir (16)

This race was run on the same track as the race of the previous week, but using a different, faster, and shorter layout. With only 2.2 miles and not many corners, speeds were very high and lap times were very short (under one minute). Laps would, however, be plentiful, as 87 were scheduled. This was officially a night race, as opposed to the twilight race of the week before.

Romain Grosjean, the victim of last week’s fire was at the track and looking quite chipper, the heavy bandages on both of his hands being the only evidence of his accident. He was replaced by Pietro Fittipaldi (a name that evokes memories) for this and the last race of the season.

In other news, Louis Hamilton finally hit a spot of bad luck; he tested positive for covid and did not run this race. He was replaced behind the wheel of the Mercedes by George Russell (who has been driving for Williams). So George jumped from the slowest car to the fastest. It would be most interesting to see how he fares against Bottas in a similar car.

Practice: The Renaults were consistently fast; meanwhile the Ferraris were having difficulties. Vettel spun twice in P2, and both Vettel and Leclerc had mechanical woes. But Russell’s performance was the talk of the hour: he set faster times than Bottas (and fastest of all) in both P1 and P2!

Qualifying: Only Mercedes dared to run Q2 on the medium tires, and they easily progressed into Q3 while doing so. In Q3 Bottas restored order and out qualified young George, but only by the slimmest of margins. The front of the grid would look like this: Bottas, Russell, Verstappen, Leclerc (who by his own admission drove a miracle lap), Perez, and Kvyat. Vettel would start 13th.

Race: Sunday morning was windy and cool, with sand covering the track, making it slippery. Bottas made one of his patented slow starts, allowing Russell to take the lead. But, directly behind these two, an accident occurred that affected most of the other front runners in one way or another. Verstappen and Leclerc suffered most; they were out of the race. Perez suffered less damage and managed to continue. But, he dropped to the rear of the field and then pitted for new tires, opting for the mediums. Norris excelled in the carnage; he jumped from 19th place (due to a penalty) to 10th in less than a lap. Racing resumed on lap 6 when the Safety Car exited the track. At lap 10 the running order was Russell, Bottas, Sainz, Ricciardo, Kvyat, Stroll, and Gasly.

From that point, things settled down a bit, but the racing in the field was good and competitive. For example, on lap 20 Albon made a nice pass on Norris, who lost some momentum in the process. He was then passed by Perez (who was working his way back up the field from last). Then, Perez made an outstanding pass on Albon that was a thing of beauty. Pit stops began on lap 30, some choose to mount mediums, others choose hards. Stroll was the last to stop (lap 43) of those who started on the soft tires. He returned to the fray directly behind Ocon in the Renault, leading to a 3 – 4 lap battle for position between these two. The two Mercedes, who had started on the medium tires, finally stopped for new tires on laps 46 (Russell, still in the lead), and 49 Bottas (still second). Both went to hards.

Then, things got interesting:

  • Albon and Norris staged a heated battle for position; these two passed and re-passed each other for several breathtaking laps.
  • An accident on lap 56 brought out the Virtual Safety Car, providing an opportunity for those who had selected the medium tires for their second stints to mount fresh rubber.
  • In a period of several laps, Perez, clearly on a mission, passed Ocon, Stroll, Albon, Sainz, and Riccardo (yes, 5 cars…bing, bang, boom).
  • On lap 63, another deployment of the Safety Car brought the leaders (Russell and Bottas) to the pits for new rubber, which they really didn’t need as they were easily leading and controlling the race. Then, we had a Mercedes meltdown…finally. The two Mercedes entered the pits simultaneously, meaning they were stacked for service. But somehow in the confusion the tires meant for Bottas’ car were mounted to Russell’s car, and vice versa. The problem was realized before Bottas left the pits, but not before Russell was long gone. Bottas’ wrong tires (really Russell’s tires) had to be removed and replaced with Bottas’ used tires (all that was available). Then, Russell had to return to the pits the following lap to remove Bottas’ tires and mount his own. An epic mess! It sounds like something Ferrari would do, certainly not the precise Mercedes team.

As a consequence of all this shuffling and chaos, the leaderboard was quite changed when racing resumed on lap 69: Perez, Ocon, Stroll, Bottas (on very old tires), Russell, Sainz, and Ricciardo. This led to some serious racing, and some more high drama, in the final 20 or so laps.

  • Russell, on fresh tires, made short work of Bottas, forcing his way past with a brilliant pass. He then passed Stroll on lap 72, and Ocon on lap 74. Young George had worked his way back to second place.
  • Sainz, Ricciardo, and Albon ALL passed Bottas (who was admittedly hampered by his worn tires) on laps 77 and 78.
  • Russell suffered a punctured tire on lap 79. He had to pit and relinquish second place. He rejoined the fray in 15th. I can imagine young George wailing, “They gave me Hamilton’s car, but not his luck.”
  • Russell was the driver on a mission in the final 6 laps. He simply flew through the rear of the field, passing the opposition right and left, 6 cars, in total, in 6 laps.

As a consequence of all this action, when this race concluded the finishing order was quite unusual and unexpected (but highly welcomed): Perez, Ocon (Renault), Stroll (in the second Racing Point), and Sainz (McLaren). Bottas finished 8th and Russell, after an eventful day, managed 9th. Vettel struggled to 12th.

This was an absolutely fabulous race…a true pleasure to watch. It was high in excitement, and, more important, in unpredictability. And the finishing positions were the stuff of science fiction. Perez scored his first victory, after 190 races of trying. It was well deserved, remember, he was in last place after 6 laps. Ocon on the podium! Stroll in third for a Racing Point near sweep. MEANWHILE, NOT A MERCEDES IN SIGHT. And finally there is Russell, who scored his first ever points in F1 with a career defining drive that not only proves his speed and ability, but also demonstrates his cool under adversity. Louis Hamilton must be looking over his shoulder.

December 13: GP of Abu Dhabi at the Yas Marina Circuit

News and Scuttlebutt: Hamilton is back after a quick recovery from the virus. He reclaimed his seat, pronouncing himself ready to go in the last race of the season. Did he feel a tiny bit of pressure from Russell’s showing?

Fifty-five evening laps were scheduled on this 3.5 mile track that features slow corners (meaning high tire wear) and two long straights.

Practice: There wasn’t much happening on track, but the pits were buzzing with activity. Leclerc was given a three grid spot penalty for the accident he caused last week. Perez was relegated to the rear of the field for changing engine components. Hamilton’s car had brake issues, and then electrical gremlins. Several cars suffered blown engines, including Raikkonen’s, which burned while stopped on the track. The mechanics were working hard.

Qualifying: Things were relatively quiet until Q2, when many of the quicker cars tried to qualify for Q3 on the medium tires. This confirmed the impression that the soft rubber would be short lived when racing began. Those not fast enough reverted to the softs to make it into Q3. In the end, Verstappen, Hamilton, Bottas, Sainz, and Ocon would start on the mediums. Things got serious in Q3, when everyone mounted the softs to determine the grid. The sharp end was close and a bit surprising: Verstappen, Bottas, Hamilton, Norris, and Albon. Leclerc, after his penalty, was 12th, Vettel 14th. Perez, who was relegated to the rear, along with several other outliers opted to start on the hard tires, meaning that all three compounds would be represented on the grid. This should make for something interesting, some different strategy.

Race: Surprise, surprise: they managed to complete lap one without a single incident. But the passing got serious beginning on lap 2: within just a few laps Gasly passed Ocon, Albon passed Norris, and Stroll passed Kvyat. While this was happening in the mid-field, Verstappen was slowly pulling away from Bottas in second place. Then, on lap 10, Perez suffered an engine failure (his second in three races) which brought out the Safety Car. In response, virtually the entire field stopped for tires, most opting for the hards, hoping they would last 45 more laps.

The race re-started on lap 14, with Sainz pulling of a great pass on (future teammate) Leclerc. Meanwhile, at the front, Verstappen quickly pulled out a 3 – 4 second lead over Bottas. The Mercedes just did not have their usual pace in this race. Laps 16 – 19 saw an excellent battle between Stroll and Leclerc, with each passing the other several times and then being repassed. In the end, Stroll managed to free himself of the Ferrari and pull away from it. On lap 20 the running order was Verstappen, Bottas, Hamilton, Albon, and Ricciardo.

Leclerc, who had not stopped on lap 10, made his first stop on lap 23, choosing to continue on the hard rubber. At this point things were looking good for the Ferrari pilot, but he never was a threat afterward. He finished 13th. Vettel, who had started on the hard tires, delayed his first pit stop to lap 36. He continued on the medium tires, but he also was unable to make up much ground from there to the end. The German finished 14th in his last race for Ferrari. Ricciardo, who had also started on the hard tires, made his first pit stop on lap 40. He managed to finish 7th, showing that the strategy was sound, and that Vettel was merely slow. From there to the end not much happened. In fact, it was a rather mundane race from start to finish. The finishing order was Verstappen (who basically ran unchallenged from start to finish), Bottas, Hamilton, Albon, Norris, and Sainz.

Formula 1 2020 – Final Thoughts

And so another season goes into the books. As I write this in mid-December there is only one more piece of news to note: Sergio Perez has been taken on by Red Bull for the 2021 season. Perez drove beautifully in 2020 and deserves the seat. It will be most interesting…and instructive…to see how he does relative to new teammate Mad Max Verstappen in the same car next year.

With the season complete, let’s have a look at the final statistics. From the numbers below, it is clear that Mercedes once again dominated. They handily won the constructors’ championship, and their drivers were 1-2 in the drivers’ championship. Meanwhile, Ferrari could only manage 6th place in the constructors’, a terrible result for a team with such resources.

Drivers:

Hamilton…. 347        Bottas……….223    Verstappen…214
Perez………125       Ricciardo……119

Leclerc was eighth with 98, while Vettel was 13th with 33

Constructors:

Mercedes Benz…… 573     Red Bull…….319    McLaren…….202
Racing Point………. 195     Renault………181    Ferrari……….131

The Ratto Report – FCLV 2020 3rd Quarter Review

The Ratto Report
3rd Quarter 2020

stick

FCA NEWSLETTER
DESERT REGION – LAS VEGAS CHAPTER
3rd Quarter 2020

Written by John Ratto
Edited by Chuck Damus

Dateline: July 2020

We are four+ months into the pandemic…and not much has changed from March. As Yogi Berra would say, “It feels like Deja-vu all over again.” We started this voyage with uncertainty, with people getting sick, and the fear that our lives and our economy would be radically changed in the attempt to stem the tide of the spreading virus. Shuttering the economy slowed the spread of the virus, but it nearly killed the economy. Absent massive fiscal stimulus, it might have bankrupted all of us (both individuals and companies). When the economy began to re-open in May, it jump started the financial system just as it was about to flat line, but it also resulted in a significant increase in the number of new covid virus cases. In July, we have more new cases than we did back in March/April. So that it where we stand in July. The economy is stumbling forward, but it is no longer on life support. Meanwhile, the virus is regaining strength. Where we will be three months from now (at the end of September), is basically unknown. So, in many ways we are back at square one. That square is labeled uncertainty.

Unfortunately, it still remains difficult to say whether things are getting better, or getting worse.

What is certain is that, as of early July, nearly 140,000 have died in the US. We are the world wide leaders, by far, in deaths. Given that (only) about 600,000 have died worldwide, this clearly demonstrates that we have not handled the epidemic well. With about 5% of the world’s population, we have suffered about 25% of the deaths. This is not the sort of leadership than the USA is known for.

Despite all of this turmoil, we are on track to have an election in November. The buildup looks to be a doozy.

Your Club did not organize any Socials or Drives during the second quarter of 2020, and, given the turmoil and continued restrictions, there may not be any during the third quarter of 2020. So, there are no good stories to tell, and there may not be any for a while. The Ferrari Club lies dormant. But ‘We’ll be Back!!!’

Dateline: October 2020

Three more months have passed, and basically nothing has changed. The virus spreads faster…the virus spreads slower…but the virus continues to spread, and this remains a harsh reality. In these three months, 60,000 more Americans have died. Experts estimate, given the return of cold weather, that as many as a 100,000 more will die by the end of the year. How many more will die before the virus is stopped? Meanwhile, the process of developing a vaccine continues on an ASAP basis. Even with the push, our best estimates for a generally available vaccine range from early November (per the President) to mid-2021 (per the experts).

Unfortunately, it still remains difficult to say whether things are getting better, or getting worse.

Meanwhile, the economy remains pretty good, but that may be simply the stock market’s response to all this stimulus being thrown about. And, we hurdle forward toward a highly contested (on a myriad of levels) election, looming less than a month ahead. Man, there is a lot happening!

And just a little late breaking news: President Trump (and many others in the White House) has tested positive for Covid. The severity of his illness, and really how this will all play out, and its effect on the election, are still unknown. But things could get very interesting.

FORMULA 1 NEWS

EXTRA – EXTRA
READ ALL ABOUT IT

It pleases me greatly to have some good news to convey…for a change. Formula 1 racing is back! It may be four month late and it may look a bit different (there are NO fans – none – in the grandstands), but it seems wonderful anyway…a ray of hope for a better tomorrow. And some sports to watch while socially distancing. Things have been a bit tentative at the track; the commentators are clearly walking on strange ground. But, it looked familiar enough to cherish. Sports on TV gives us something to think about and read about, something to talk about, something to watch! It provides a diversion that takes our minds away from the woes that surround us. Thank the powers that be for small favors.

Given that the race in Austria on July 5 will be the first of the season, let’s do a little organizational work to prepare.

Teams: Most teams remain the same. However, Toro Rosso has been renamed Alpha Tauri (it is a bright star in the night sky, in case you are curious). Force India was renamed last year – to Racing Point; that remains unchanged. There are still 10 teams, meaning 20 cars will contest each race.

Driver Changes: Youngster Nicholas Latifi, the only rookie in this year’s field, replaces oldster Robert Kubica (retired) at Williams. Nico Hulkenberg was released by Renault; he is replaced by Estaban Ocon, who drove for Force India in 2018, but was idle in 2019.

Returning Drivers: Six time World Champion Lewis Hamilton and Valteri Bottas return at Mercedes, as do Max Verstappen and Alex Albon (who joined the team in mid-2019) at Red Bull. Lame duck Sebastian Vettel (he has not been retained for 2021) and Charles Leclerc return at Ferrari.

Cars: They all have a million updates from last year, but they are all basically the same as last year. This is partly because there have been few (relatively) rule changes. The Mercedes Dual Axis Steering system was protested, but the stewards deemed it legal, at least for now. As if that team needs any more advantages. All this means that the Mercedes are likely to still be fastest, and the ones to beat.

July 5: Grand Prix of Austria at the Red Bull Ring (1ST race of 2020)

The skies were gloomy for Practice 1 and 2 on Friday, but spirits were high. Racing is back! The Red Bull ring is short (2.7 miles for 71 laps) and very fast. Lap times clock in at just over a minute, which translates to an average speed approaching 160 mph. There was some sun for Practice 3 on Saturday morning. Then came Qualifying, and it wasn’t pretty for the Ferraris. Based on what we saw during testing in Barcelona, we suspected they would be off the pace, but not by this much: Leclerc barely managed to get into Q3, he qualified 7th. Vettel failed to make it to Q3; he will start 11th. Meanwhile, to add insult to injury, Verstappen in the Red Bull was able to make it into Q3 on the longer-lived medium compound tires, meaning he would have a serious advantage in the early laps over all the other front runners starting on softs. He will start 3rd, right behind Bottas (1st) and Hamilton (2nd).

The rest of the top ten was unusual to say the least: Norris (McLaren) was 4th, Albon (in the second Red Bull) 5th, Perez (Racing Point) 6th, Sainz (McLaren) 8th, Stroll (Racing Point) 9th, and Ricciardo (Renault) 10th. So we had both the McLarens and the Racing Points ahead of the Ferraris. Who would have thunk it? But, if you go back and read my report on testing in Barcelona, you will see that my ‘eye’ indicated that both of these teams looked fast at that time. It is to be noted that the Ferraris (and the other cars with Ferrari engines) were posting slower lap times than they did last year. This leads to strong speculation that the secret agreement reached concerning engines and fuel between the FIA and Ferrari resulted in less power from Ferrari engines.

On race morning, just prior to the cars forming on the grid, the stewards handed Hamilton a three position penalty (from second to fifth) for failing to slow down for a yellow flag during Q3. This moved Verstappen, on his longer lived medium tires) from third to second, and it seemed to be an omen that the Dutchman would do well on this day.

Of Note: During coverage of the race it was mentioned that the drivers, mechanics, and other team members had been subjected to 4,000 tests for the virus, and that not one person had tested positive. I guess the restrictions put in place in other countries were a bit more restrictive – and effective – than those imposed here.

Race day was clear and hot. The cars got off to a clean start, with most of them holding their grid positions through the first few laps. Vettel did manage to pass Ricciardo for 10th, the last point paying position. The first incident of importance concerned Verstappen, who experienced engine electrical issues, and was out on lap 11. Meanwhile, Hamilton managed to pass Norris and Albon, and by lap 20 was challenging Bottas for the lead. As the tires began to wear, pit stops loomed. However, deployment of the Safety Car on lap 26 meant that everyone was given a ‘free’ stop; when racing resumed (with most of the front runners on hard tires) there had been little change in the running order.

Vettel spun on lap 31 and fell to 15th place, initiating another Safety Car period. Once racing resumed, Hamilton immediately turned up the juice and began hounding Bottas. However, at about this time it became obvious that the track, namely the high curbs at several of the turns, was slowly damaging the cars. The high attrition rate (only 11 would finish) was likely due to the beatings the cars were taking rather than mechanical issues. This led to team orders (from Mercedes and some others) to take it easy and stay off the curbs or face potential chassis, electrical, and gearbox issues. This forced Hamilton to cease his hot pursuit of the leading Bottas. The Safety Car was deployed again on lap 52, leading some of the front runners (but neither Mercedes) to stop for fresh tires in preparation for a sprint to the end. Immediately after racing resumed, another curb damaged car retired resulting in yet another (short) Safety Car period (number 4! What is this, NASCAR?). After the debris was removed, racing resumed with only 11 laps remaining.

As soon as it did, it became obvious that Hamilton, on his worn hard tires, could not hold off third place Albon, on nearly new soft rubber. Almost immediately, Albon made an outside move into a turn and was able to easily catch and then move past Hamilton, who refused to concede the place. Hamilton’s outside front tire came into contact with Albon’s inside rear tire, causing the Red Bull to slowly pirouette into the gravel. Albon rejoined near the rear of the field; Hamilton continued in second place with a 5 second penalty for causing the collision. Soon thereafter, Leclerc in the Ferrari, who had also stopped for fresh rubber during the Safety Car extravaganza, blew by Norris and Perez. He then proceeded to catch Hamilton, but was advised that Hamilton had been given a penalty so there was no reason to pass him; finishing less than 5 seconds behind would be sufficient. So, after 71 grueling laps, the official finishing order was Bottas, Leclerc, Norris (who also finished less than 5 seconds behind Hamilton), Hamilton, and Sainz. Vettel limped home in 10th.

So, an excellent race with a surprisingly good result for Ferrari. This was a race full of thrills, spills, and surprises, and was the perfect antidote for the doldrums we have been experiencing. F1 is back with a vengeance! I can’t wait until next week.

July 12: GP of Styria (Austria) (2)

The second race of this crazy season was run at the same track as the first; only the name was changed to protect the innocent. The big news of the week was the announcement that, after a two year layoff, Fernando Alonso would be back in F1 for 2021, driving for Renault, where he won the championship twice. Fernando is a great driver and an exuberant presence; he will liven things up next season.

Practice 1 and 2 (run in brilliant sunlight) clearly demonstrated that the Racing Points could be a force to be reckoned with, and that the Ferraris were still slow. The weather was not so compliant on Saturday, which saw barrel-fulls of rain falling from the skies. Practice 3 was cancelled and Qualifying was postponed, and then postponed several more times. The drivers finally ran a very wet, very late qualifying session just before nightfall. The starting order: Hamilton, Verstappen (a scary 1.2 seconds slower), Sainz, Bottas, Ocon, and Albon. Vettel was 10th while Leclerc (with a 3 spot penalty) was 14th. Is this possible?? Tenth and fourteenth?? But wait, it gets worse.

Most of the drivers started on the soft tires and the field generally got off to a clean start … except for the Ferraris. Leclerc, experiencing brain fade perhaps, ran into the rear of Vettel and both Ferraris were out of the race almost before it started. As things settled down, a great battle was being fought for positions 5 – 11 between Sainz, Ocon, Ricciardo, Stroll, Perez, Gasly, and Norris. They were challenging and passing each other on a regular basis. Meanwhile, Hamilton was slowly creating a good buffer between himself and the Verstappen/Bottas duo behind. Verstappen was the first to stop for new tires (lap 25); he was followed shortly thereafter by most of the front runners, with virtually everyone opting for medium tires.

Lap 40 saw a new, and perhaps even more exciting, battle develop in the mid-field, with Perez, Sainz, Ricciardo, Norris, and Stroll battling for position. This went on for more than 10 laps and provided very exciting wheel-to-wheel action. Several laps later, the excitement moved to the head off the pack, where Bottas had caught Verstappen, running in second place. After some tense back and forth action, Bottas managed to secure the position. All of this was great, but the battle that ensued in the last few laps eclipsed everything that had happened before. Stroll, Norris, Ricciardo, Perez, Albon, and Sainz staged an epic fight for positions three to eight. How exciting? Well, Norris passed three (!) cars on the final lap. A moment later, Perez and Albon made serious contact while fighting for third. When the dust had settled, the finishing order was Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Albon, Norris, Perez, Stroll, Ricciardo, and Sainz.

Another great race, despite no assistance from the red cars from Marenello.

July 19: GP of Hungary (3)

The gossip in the pits focused on a protest filed by Renault against Racing Point, alleging that the ‘pink panthers’ (as the Racing Points are known) are too close a copy of the 2019 Mercedes car. The particular item of controversy is the front brake ducts. The friggin brake ducts?! Oh well… Where Vettel might drive in 2021 was also a hot topic. Racing Point was again in the conversation regarding this matter.

The track in Hungary is quite different than the one in Austria. It has more turns and slower average speeds (about 130 mph) than the Red Bull ring. On Friday, Practice 1 and 2 were held under dark, threatening clouds. When the rains finally came, they caused many teams to sit out most of P2. The skies were also dark for Practice 3 on Saturday morning, but everyone participated because data was needed. The information we learned was straightforward, but some of it was unexpected: the Red Bulls were having serious handling issues (surprise!) … the Ferraris were better than they had been in Austria (thank God!) … and the Racing Points were FAST (maybe Ferrari should buy an old Mercedes and copy it?).

Qualifying was also held under threatening skies, but actual rainfall was luckily avoided. In a huge, and pleasant, surprise, the Williams cars looked good and posted competitive times. We welcome them to the mid-field after years of languishing at the rear of the pack. But the real news continued to be that the Racing Points were fast and the Red Bulls were having issues. However, it wasn’t until Q2 and Q3 that these points were driven home. Mercedes easily managed to get through Q2, and into Q3, on the medium tires; they will have a huge advantage in the actual race. And, astonishingly, the Racing Points managed to do the same, and gain the same advantage. When the dust had settled, the starting order was startling: Hamilton, Bottas, Stroll (Racing Point), Perez (Racing Point), Vettel, Leclerc, and Verstappen, with the top four all on the longer lived medium compound tires.

It rained hard on race morning, and the track was wet, greasy, and very slippery as the teams began preparing the cars for the main event. Most everyone opted to start on the intermediate-wet tires, meaning that the advantage (slicks) gained by Mercedes and Racing Point was lost. About 20 minutes before the start of the race the cars, as usual, took a slow lap from the pits to their grid positions. How slippery was it you ask: Verstappen spun and smacked a wall while cruising to his grid spot, causing his mechanics to work furiously to fix the damage so that the Red Bull could participate. They managed to effect the required repairs with a few minutes to spare.

Then something really bizarre happened: Several cars (including both Haas) pitted on the formation lap to fit slicks. The track had changed that much in just 20 minutes! They gained a short lived advantage from this action. Despite a lot of jockeying and jostling, the cars got off to a relatively uneventful start. After lap 1 the order was Hamilton, Stroll, Verstappen (whose car seemed improved after the last minute repairs), Vettel, Leclerc, Bottas (a terrible start), and Perez (ditto). Beginning on lap 3, the cars began to pit for slicks, moving the few drivers who had already done this during the formation lap up to the front of the field. But, as the early laps ticked by, the fast guys worked their way back to the lead. At lap 10 the order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Magnussen, Stroll, Grosjean, Leclerc, Bottas, Vettel, and Albon.

From there forward, strategy and battles dominated the race. Strategy centered on the weather. Would it rain again? If so, when? Pit stops were delayed, hoping to get to a rainy period and then going directly to wet tires, thus avoiding a stop. But, although the clouds threatened throughout the race, the rain never materialized. As a result, some drivers ran many laps on tired tires while praying for the skies to open. Meanwhile, battles were abundant. The perpetrators were generally Stroll, Bottas, Vettel, Leclerc, Perez, Albon, Grosjean, and Magnussen, all dicing for positions 4 through 12. It was excellent racing, and the action was virtually continuous, lap-after-lap, as the cars were all essentially capable of similar lap times. As the race approached its halfway point (70 laps total), the cars were forced to stop for new rubber…damn the clouds. Some went to softs, likely planning another stop. Others went to hards, confident that they would survive to the end. Another group chose mediums, hoping for the best? For rain? Nothing was clear except for the fact that none of the teams really had a good handle on what was going to happen next. That makes for good racing.

In the late laps, we had some action at the front. Bottas, who had worked his way back up through the field after a poor start, was now third and on fresher tires; he was clawing his way closer and closer to Verstappen in second place. As the remaining laps dwindled, Bottas slowly caught the Red Bull, and on lap 69 was in its slipstream. It looked as if Bottas could have claimed the position if he had a few more laps to set up a pass, but the race ended before that happened. Thus, the finishing order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Bottas, Stroll (who had driven fast and well, battling for position, but not crashing), Albon (also putting in a good drive in the second Red Bull), Vettel, and Perez. Leclerc managed only a dismal 11th.

August 2: GP of Britain (4)

This was the first of what will be another back-to-back racing weekend (see Austria above), as F1 tries to recover as many ‘lost’ races as possible.

During the two week hiatus between Hungary and Britain, Sergio Perez (Racing Point) managed to catch the Corona Virus. He tested positive and will not be permitted to drive until he endures a quarantine period. Racing Point selected Nico Hulkenberg (formally with Renault) from the list of currently unemployed drivers to fill Perez’s seat for the near future. The only other news of note concerned updates: many teams were sporting new or revised aerodynamic do-dads in an attempt to reduce their gap to the all-conquering Mercedes tyrants.

Silverstone is a most impressive racing facility. The place is huge, and having no fans present makes it feel even huger. The track itself is nearly 3.7 miles long, and it is very fast. These modern rocket ships average about 160 mph and touch 210 mph at the quickest points. Although there are 18 official turns, most of them don’t even force the cars to brake.

Friday defied our impressions of England: it was scorching hot…so hot the soft tires were liquefying at an alarming rate, leading to some sliding and spinning. Luckily, typical English weather (cool, damp, and windy) was expected to return for the weekend. In any case, Practice 1 and Practice 2 were relatively uneventful except for a few lurid spins (including contact with the barriers, as well). Surprisingly, Lance Stroll in the Racing Point looked to be the class of the field, posting third and first best time in the two Practice sessions. The two Mercedes were, unusually, a bit off the pace, perhaps because hot conditions do not suit them.

Saturday was much cooler, restoring order to the proceedings: the Mercedes were back at the top of the time sheets. Since no one seemed to have any love for the soft tires, many of the quicker cars contested Qualifying 2 on the longer lived medium rubber, hoping to use those tires to start the race. They all produced lap times sufficiently fast to advance to Q3, which should give them (Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Leclerc, and Stroll) a sizable advantage come race day. Despite a late trip into the gravel, Hamilton managed to grab pole (surprise – surprise), with Bottas, Verstappen, Leclerc, Norris (McLaren), and Stroll at his heels. On the other end of the spectrum, Vettel endured a horrid couple of days, and managed to qualify only 10th. But the real loser was Albon in the second Red Bull, who spun and damaged his car early in P2 and missed most of that session, and then suffered engine problems that caused him to miss most of P3. With little practice time he qualified 12th.

Race day was cool, sunny and very windy; the gusts were of such magnitude that they upset the balance of the cars in certain areas of the track. The start was relatively clean and uneventful, except, naturally, for Albon who smacked Magnusson and was forced to make an early pit stop. The ensuing debris forced a Safety Car period starting on lap 2. Another early (laps 13 to 16) SC period was necessary to dispose of the debris created by a Kvyat crash. This proved an opportune time to change tires, which nearly all the drivers took, going to the hard rubber, hoping they would make it to the end. It also led to the mid-field being compressed and a bit out of its natural order, which produced some good battles as the faster cars worked their way back toward the front. After things settled down a bit, he running order on lap 20 was Hamilton and Bottas (pulling away from everyone else), Verstappen (running alone), Leclerc (hustling the Ferrari faster than expected), Grosjean (who had not stopped).

The drivers seemed to be happy with that situation: cruising at social distance and saving their tires. Nothing much happened for about 20 laps. But, at lap 40 (of 52), things began to change. Blisters were noted on the inside edges of the front tires of both Mercedes (and some others as well), and they were slowing down just a bit to protect their rubber. Meanwhile, Verstappen was turning up the wick and slowly reducing the gap to Bottas ahead. The drivers in the field were also pushing harder, fighting to get into the higher points paying positions.

Then…the fickle finger of fate came into play. With just a handful of laps remaining, Bottas’ front tires seemed to go flaccid, and then a lap later to simply disintegrate. He slowed significantly, and half a lap later Verstappen was on his tail, and then by the floundering Mercedes. Seconds later, Saenz’s front tires suffered the same fate, and he too was quickly passed by the cars behind him. In response to this carnage, Verstappen, with second place well in hand, stopped for fresh tires, hoping to add fastest lap to his bounty of the day. Then, on the final lap the unthinkable occurred, Hamilton’s front tires also shredded. He drove the last quarter lap on his front rims, but did manage to reach the finish line, and still managed to win the race. Man, this guy is just LUCKY. If the race had been 53 laps instead of 52, he would have finished last. And Verstappen (?), he was kicking himself for having stopped for new tires on lap 51. If he hadn’t gotten greedy, victory would have been his. The finishing order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Leclerc, Ricciardo, Norris, Ocon, Gasly, Albon (a miracle!), Stroll, and Vettel.

August 9: GP of Britain II (5)

Dubbed the 70th Anniversary Grand Prix (the first GP race was held in Britain in 1950), this was another second race of a double-header. The paddock gossip centered on Nico Hulkenberg (who would again be driving for Racing Point in lieu of Sergio Perez, still on the covid list) and that the Renault protest of the Racing Point for its similarity to the Mercedes was upheld. Racing Point was fined and penalized 15 constructors’ points.

All the Practice sessions were run in hot (for England), windy weather. For some reason, Pirelli supplied softer (more fragile) tires than the ones that had failed in such spectacular fashion the previous weekend. This meant that the soft compound tires for this race were likely only good for gathering data and contesting Q3. It also meant that two stops would likely be required. In any case, the Practice sessions went off without much to note. The Mercedes were fast, as expected, and Nico Hulkenberg was faster than expected in the Racing Point. Sebastian Vettel’s performance was also unexpected: He seemed disinterested and slow (generally half a second slower than Charles Leclerc, his Ferrari teammate). Has Vettel packed it in for 2020? And perhaps for the long run?

Qualifying also went off without much to note. Verstappen ran Q2 on the hard compound tires, meaning he will start the race on them. Everyone else of note will start on the mediums. Whether this proves to be advantage remains to be seen, but Verstappen must be applauded for doing something different to try and stem the Mercedes juggernaut. The grid will look like this: Bottas, Hamilton, Hulkenberg (!), Verstappen, Ricciardo, Stroll, Gasly, Leclerc, Albon, and Norris. Vettel will start 12th.

Race day was HOT (again, by British standards), a distinct disadvantage to the Mercedes, which seem to abuse their tires more than the others, especially when it is hot. Meanwhile, it looked to be advantage Verstappen, the only front runner who would start on the longer lived hard rubber. The question remained, would these factors make the Red Bull competitive with the Mercedes? In a relatively uneventful start, Verstappen edged past Hulkenberg to grab third place, with only the two Mercedes ahead. Game on! Meanwhile, Vettel’s woes continued; he spun and dropped to last place.

The cars maintained order for about 8 laps, about the time when the medium tires began to show distress. Albon was the first (lap 7) to stop, with most of the others following soon thereafter. Meanwhile, Verstappen’s tires looked to be in fine fettle. Consequently, the Mercedes were slowing and Verstappen was on their tails, smelling a possible move to the lead. Rather than fight a losing battle on the track, the two Mercedes pitted, presenting Verstappen with the lead. On lap 25 the running order was Verstappen, Bottas, Hamilton, Hulkenberg, Stroll, Ricciardo, and Leclerc, all of whom had stopped except for Verstappen, still circulating on his original hard tires. But the big surprise was the Mercedes’ lack of pace after their pit stops. Despite their new tires, neither of the German cars was making much headway in catching the Red Bull ahead. Verstappen finally made his first stop on lap 27, switching to the medium rubber. Verstappen rejoined the fray immediately behind Bottas, whose second set of tires were already showing distress, and immediately passed him for the lead. Hallelujah – fighting at the front!

Bottas stopped for a second time on lap 35. Verstappen, apparently with little love for his medium tires, which were going bad after only 8 laps, copied Bottas’ move (both opted for hard tires to run to the finish). Meanwhile, Hamilton was lurking in the weeds. He postponed his second stop to lap 42, when he mounted a new set of hard tires and began to crack off fast laps, trying to catch the three cars (Verstappen, Bottas, and Leclerc – who had not stopped a second time) ahead of him. I must say, there is little more exciting than watching Hamilton run down cars ahead of him, lap after lap cutting the leaders’ margins by whole seconds. And this was vintage Hamilton. Despite lapped cars to impede his progress, Hamilton caught and blew by Leclerc on lap 47, and then did the same to Bottas on lap 50. With two laps remaining, only Verstappen remained ahead. Despite a valiant effort, Hamilton’s tires began to protest the speeds he was running, and he was unable to catch the Red Bull ahead. The finishing order was Verstappen, Hamilton, Bottas, Leclerc, Albon, Stroll, and Hulkenberg. Vettel managed only a pitiful 12th.

This was a good race with plenty of excitement on track and a tense strategic battle going on behind the scenes. Seeing a car other than a Mercedes win was cathartic, and we can only hope that it will be the first of many more such outcomes.

August 16: GP of Spain (6)

Following a recurring theme, it was once again very hot. This heat wave should not be a surprise as the European races, typically held in the spring, were postponed to the summer. Anticipating the conditions, Pirelli supplied harder tires for the race at the Barcelona circuit, a 2.9 mile, 66 lap, fest of sharp, tight corners. Given the conditions, tire wear was expected to be high, and two stops were considered to be the way to go.

The Practice sessions went off without much of note occurring. Ferrari supplied a new chassis for Vettel, who had been complaining of ‘strange issues’ with the one he had been running. Unfortunately, the new chassis did little to alleviate the German’s lack of pace. So, it came as no surprise when Hamilton, Bottas, and Verstappen dominated the time charts. The Ferraris, meanwhile, were mired in the field. The Qualifying sessions were also mostly uneventful. Everyone ran Q2 on the soft tires, meaning that they would all start on tires of that compound. Although it was tight at the front, the starting order was of little surprise: Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Perez, Stroll, and Albon. Leclerc managed only a dismal 9th on the grid, while Vettel was 11th. His only consolation was being able to start the race on the medium tires.

So, the Ferraris have gone from second best, to ‘best of the rest,’ to simply ‘one of the rest.’ What a dismal year for our team.

Race day brought more heat: the drivers were clearly uncomfortable during the pre-race ceremonies, held in the blazing sunlight. When the lights went out, Stroll (Racing Point) and Verstappen made spectacular starts, while Bottas was slow off the line. As a consequence the running order at the end of lap one was Hamilton, Verstappen, Stroll, Bottas, and Perez. Once DRS was enabled though, Bottas was able to pass Stroll to claim third place. After that, things got boring, with Hamilton controlling the pace from the lead, driving a slow, strategic race, and looking to save his tires. No one seemed inclined to force the issue. On lap 18, Albon in the second Red Bull was the first to stop for tires, opting for the hard compound, which turned out to be a poor choice. He was never a factor again. Verstappen stopped on lap 22 and, seeing the problems his teammate was having on the hard tires, opted for the mediums. This brought on a parade to the pits, and virtually all of the front runners were on new rubber by lap 28. Once again, a long period of little action ensued, except for Leclerc’s engine problems. He parked his Ferrari on lap 37.

As anticipated, two stops were necessary, with second stops starting on lap 40 when Albon changed to medium tires. Two laps later, Verstappen stopped for mediums, and soon after that virtually the entire field was in the pits mounting new rubber. Bottas chose softs – most others opted for mediums. When the dust had settled at about lap 45, Vettel, circulating in 5th spot, was the only contender who had yet to stop a second time; he soldiered to the end on his worn shoes, being passed by several cars (including Stroll) on newer rubber as the race dwindled to its finish. In the waning laps, Bottas mounted a charge against Verstappen, but he never really got close enough to challenge the Red Bull for second place. The final finishing order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Bottas, Stroll, Perez (second Racing Point), Sainz (McLaren), Vettel, and Albon.

This was a tightly contested, strategically run race. Hamilton, leading from start to finish, controlled the pace and the outcome. It wasn’t a great show, but sometimes that is the way things shake out.

August 30: GP of Belgium at SPA – Francorchamps (7)

SPA is perhaps the most beloved track on the circuit. It is a long lap (4.4 miles – only 44 race laps) and features ridiculous elevation changes and some very long straights. SPA favors cars with high top speed, and plenty of horsepower. As such, it would likely be advantage Mercedes and disadvantage Ferrari. Only the bright sun spoiled the perfect weekend for the Silver Arrows, which prefer cool gloomy weather. Friday Practice confirmed the Italians’ greatest fears. The Mercedes and Red Bulls were comfortably fastest, with only the Renaults looking to be semi-serious challengers. Meanwhile the Ferraris were at the rear of the pack, and a subject of mild ridicule from the commentators. Saturday Practice brought no help for the red cars, and Qualifying merely confirmed the facts that had already been observed and noted. The grid order would be Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Ricciardo (who posted a blistering lap in the Renault), Albon, Ocon (in the second Renault), and Sainz (who did not start due to subsequent mechanical issues). Leclerc could no better than 14th, with Vettel one spot behind the Frenchman. It is to be noted that the top three managed to start on the medium tires, which should be an advantage as opposed to the short lived softs. On the other hand, those starting below tenth place, with a free choice of tires, opted for the full gamut of rubber, indicating that there was no universal agreement as to the best strategy to run the race.

The start was hotly contested, with much jostling for position and numerous wheel-to-wheel battles. Perez (Racing Point) pulled off an amazing pass of Ricciardo, a driver who is known for being difficult to get by. But, at the end of lap one, the running order was little changed. Of note, Leclerc, on soft tires, managed to move from 13th to 8th. In any case, the first ten laps provided a cornucopia of nail biting action. As the soft tires began to fade, a massive two car accident brought out the Safety Car, providing a convenient slowing of the cars and an opportunity for ‘cheap’ pit stops, which most everyone accepted gladly, switching to the hard tires. When racing resumed on lap 14, the running order was Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Gasly, Perez, and Ricciardo (with both Gasly and Perez having not stopped for tires).

The Safety Car period bunched up the field, and, with most cars on new tires, a period of many good fights for position ensued, featuring a very entertaining run of laps, as the cars were all posting similar lap times. By lap 35, however, the tires were fading again and the pace slowed significantly. No one seemed able to challenge the two Mercedes at the front, allowing Hamilton to set a pace that would allow his tires to make it to the end of the contest (lap 44). As a result, the final 8 – 9 laps were relatively uneventful. The finishing order was no surprise: Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Ricciardo, Ocon (Renault), and Albon. Vettel was 13th, Leclerc 14th.

Since several cars failed to finish, the Ferraris were essentially at the very rear of the field. A sad state of affairs. Above I opined that the Ferraris have gone from second best, to ‘best of the rest,’ to simply ‘one of the rest. They are now ‘behind the rest.’

September 6: Grand Prix of Italy at Monza (8)

Monza is known as the ‘Temple of Speed’; it is a 3.6 mile track with top speeds over 215 mph and average lap speeds above 165 mph. Advantage Mercedes – disadvantage Ferrari.

Practice: Practice was generally uneventful. As expected, the Mercedes were consistently at the top of the time sheets, posting several times below 1 minute 20 seconds. Verstappen had a major spin in P1, while Vettel had a lessor one in P2. Practicing slipstreaming with your teammate dominated P3.

Qualifying: Lap times were quite close, but Mercedes was still top dog. As is becoming normal, the teams waited until the very last moment to start their final timed laps in the Qualifying sessions, leading to messy traffic congestion on the track. Someone has to realize that this strategy leads to chaos and may result in tragedy. In the end though, the starting order featured a few surprises: Hamilton, Bottas (only 0.06 of a second adrift), Sainz (McLaren), Perez (Racing Point), Verstappen (oddly off the pace), Norris, Ricciardo, and Stroll. All of the top 10 would start on the soft rubber. Leclerc managed a woeful 13th, which was still significantly better than Vettel’s 17th. How the mighty have fallen.

Race: Bottas made a horrid start, and was rewarded by a gaggle of cars pushing past him in the first few corners. After a lot of early jostling, the running order was Hamilton, Sainz, Norris, Perez, Ricciardo, and Bottas. Despite all the action and disruption, the Ferraris failed to make any headway in the early laps. Then, on lap 6, to add insult to injury, Vettel’s brakes failed and he was out. The cars, on fading soft tires, then circulated with little change in position for a series of laps. On lap 18, Leclerc was first to pit for fresh rubber, a poor move as Magnussen’s car failed a few laps later, leading to a safety car period. However, as luck would have it, Magnussen’s car was abandoned just at the start of the pit entry, which led the Stewards to close the pits for safety concerns. But, several drivers, most notably race leader Lewis Hamilton failed to notice this fact, or simply ignored it. They were given 10 second stop-and-go penalties for their transgressions. Pit lane was finally opened on lap 22, prompting most of the field to stop for tires. Soon thereafter (lap 25), Leclerc had a massive shunt that brought out the seldom seen red flag. The cars parked on pit lane waiting for the race to resume. Stroll, who had yet to stop, was permitted to change tires during this hiatus, thereby gaining a big advantage.

After a quite long delay, the cars rolled to the starting grid and then made another standing start…just as if the race were beginning rather than resuming. Hamilton was still in the lead, but this was short lived as he immediately went back to the pits to serve his stop-and-go penalty. He rejoined last, some 30+ seconds behind the leader. Meanwhile, Stroll, who re-started immediately behind Hamilton, made a poor start and dropped to 4th, behind Gasly, Raikkonen, and Sainz. What a strange leaderboard!

Once things settled down a bit, most of the front runners were able to pass Raikkonen, who fell back into the mid-field. But, all eyes were at the rear of the field, where Hamilton was driving like a man possessed in an attempt to salvage the race, which had seemed to be his property just minutes previously. In less than 10 laps he caught the first of the laggards, and then passed Albon for last place on lap 40, and then Russell (lap 41), Grosjean (42), Latiffi (44), Raikkonen (47), Perez (49), Kvyat (51), and Ocon (53). Then, the race ended. The finishing order was Gasly, Sainz, Stroll, Norris, Bottas, Ricciardo, and Hamilton.

Wow, a fabulous race that featured a bit of all manner of strange happenings … and a completely unanticipated podium. Any bettor that laid money down on this top three would have made a killing.

Meanwhile the Ferraris got killed, finishing 18th and 20th. They were lucky that there were no Italian fans in the grandstands, because a lynch mob just might have been organized if there were.

September 13: GP of Tuscany at Mugello (Italy) (9)

The big news bouncing around the paddock concerned Sebastian Vettel, who will be driving for Racing Point next year. His teammate will be Racing Point incumbent Lance Stroll. Sergio Perez will be looking for a new ride. Racing Point is under new ownership, and the new management wants to make a splash with a name pilot for their suddenly quite competitive car. While Vettel will bring a wealth of experience, inside knowledge, and guile with him, it will be interesting to see if he can precipitate a jump to the front of the field for Racing Point, or even be faster than his young teammate. Does Vettel have the fire to once again challenge the leaders?

While I have not said much about it, Team Williams, which has been in the doldrums for several years, has been sold to an international financial conglomerate. The turn over happened in early September, and a gaggle of previously unknown suits were in the paddock this race weekend checking out their new toys. It is sad to see this family owned and once dominate team go corporate.

Mugello is a private track owned by Ferrari, situated near Florence. This race was organized and timed so that Ferrari could celebrate participation in its 1000th GP, more than any other competitor. Unfortunately, the virus eliminated fan participation and Ferrari’s poor showing this year eliminated much of the jubilation. Bad timing!

As for the track, over its 3.3 miles (and 59 laps) it is quite curvy with one long straight. It rewards downforce. High tire wear was anticipated.

Practice: As is becoming the norm, Practice was relatively uneventful. Leclerc showed quite well, but Bottas was definitely fastest of all, with Verstappen and Stroll also on the pace. The data gathered was a harbinger of problems to come: tires, especially the softs, were overheating quickly and fading fast.

Qualifying: Times in the field were extremely tight, with 0.3 second generally covering 5th through 15th. Of note was the poor showing by Sebastian Vettel, who was significantly slower than his teammate. When the final flag flew, the starting order was back to the status quo, with Hamilton at the front followed by Bottas, Verstappen, Albon, Leclerc, Stroll, and Perez. Vettel was 14th. All of the top 10 will start on soft tires.

Race: Several cars near the front of the grid (including Hamilton, Verstappen, and Gasly) made terrible starts, leading to a congestion of cars and shunts throughout the field, leading to deployment of the Safety Car on the first lap. When the slow period ended on lap 6, both Verstappen and Gasly were out. On the re-start, Bottas, now leading, got cute behind the Safety Car and caused a serious problem behind him leading to another series of massive crashes and another seldom seen Red Flag (2nd in two weeks, highly unusual). After chronicling and removing the debris, Latifi, Magnussen, Giovinazzi, Ocon, and Sainz were out and the field (or what was left of it) was assembled for another standing start, during which Hamilton immediately passed Bottas for the lead.

Things settled down a bit, but serious racing action returned on laps 18 thru 28, when Stroll passed Leclerc, Albon passed Perez, and Perez passed Leclerc. Leclerc was the first to pit (lap 22), but by lap 30 virtually all of the cars were on fresh rubber, hoping their new shoes would make it to the end of the race. The running order on lap 35 was Hamilton, Bottas, Ricciardo, Stroll, Albon, Perez, Norris, and Leclerc. While the two Mercedes were on hard tires, most of the rest had opted for mediums. Then, on lap 44 with the end in sight, Stroll suffered a puncture and spun off the track at full velocity. He clobbered a safety barrier, destroying both his car and the barrier. So, the race was once again…red flagged. This marked three red flags in two weeks, an astounding oddity: the previous last red flag was more than three years ago. During the down time, virtually all cars took on new tires. Then, with about 10 laps to go, the field reformed on the grid and another standing start was undertaken.

Bottas made another poor start, and was immediately passed by Ricciardo. However, once it got going, Bottas’ Mercedes simply accelerated by the Aussie with little fanfare. Several laps later, Albon in the second Red Bull was on Ricciardo’s tail, with a nice battle for position ensuing, won by young Red Bull pilot. The final finishing order was Hamilton, Bottas, Albon, Ricciardo, Perez, and Norris (McLaren). Leclerc was 8th, and Vettel, far off the pace, was 10th.

This was an interesting and often exciting race, with lots of action and automotive carnage. It is simply sad that Ferrari played such an insignificant role in the proceedings.

September 27: GP of Russia (10)

The track at Sochi (home of the recent Winter Olympics) is 3.6 miles (and 53 laps) of driver difficulty. In addition to having a low grip/slippery surface, it is dusty, further reducing adhesion. As a consequence, average lap speeds are less than 140 mph.

Practice: The practice sessions demonstrated the lack of grip, producing numerous spins and slews, and a few serious collisions with the barriers. Despite all the action, the top three (Hamilton, Bottas, and Verstappen) dominated the time charts, and the pundits were wondering if they would be able to contest Q2 on the medium tires, thereby gaining a huge advantage.

Qualifying: Qualifying brought far different weather conditions than those of the practice sessions: suddenly it was cool and cloudy, and the wind direction had shifted 90 degrees. With no chance to test these new conditions, the drivers were initially quite careful. Q1 showed that the Ferraris were frightfully slow on the straights, yet they both eked their way into Q2. As expected, the top three initially contested Q2 on the medium tires so they could be used for the start of the race. Everything looked good for them until Hamilton’s top Q2 time was disqualified. Then, Vettel suffered a major crash, bringing out the red flag. Suddenly, little time remained and Hamilton was in danger of being shut out of Q3 altogether, meaning he would start 15th. However, Mr. Lucky was able to start a fast lap with less than 2 seconds to spare, but on the soft tires. He succeeded to moving to Q3. In comparison, Q3 was uneventful and the starting order was of little surprise: Hamilton, Verstappen, Bottas, Perez, Ricciardo, and Sainz. Leclerc was relegated to 10th, Vettel to 14th. Of note: Verstappen and Bottas would start on the medium tires (big advantage), while everyone else in the top 10 (including Hamilton) would be on the softs. Many of those outside the top 10 opted to start on the hard tires, while the others were mostly on the mediums.

Race: Race day started in controversy and uncertainty. It had been noted that, during Qualifying, Hamilton had undertaken one or two practice starts from outside the designated area. After start of the race, the stewards penalized Hamilton 10 seconds for these transgressions. And what a start it was! Verstappen veered off track, but managed to right the ship just when disaster seemed inevitable. Perez made a poor start, disrupting the progress of all those behind him. Sainz went off, as did Stroll, who had a full on collision with the barriers. Out came the Safety Car, and several slow laps ensued as the debris was cleared. When racing resumed on lap 5, the running order was Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Ocon and Ricciardo (both in Renaults), and Perez.

After all that, a series of exciting duels played out. Laps 10-15 saw a heated battle between Norris, Albon, and Russell, while lap 16 featured a brilliant pass by Perez on Ricciardo. The pit stops for the front runners began at about this time, with Hamilton serving his penalty while stopping for tires. Most of those who stopped switched from soft to hard tires. Bottas and Verstappen, however, who had started on the medium tires, delayed their stops to laps 26 and 27 respectively. At lap 30, after everyone had made one stop, the running order was Bottas, Verstappen, Hamilton (situated so because of his penalty), Perez, Ricciardo, Leclerc, and Ocon. From there on, there was little action at the front. The leaders were too widely separated, and everyone was nursing their tires, which had to last another 25 laps. In the field however, the action was intense. For example, an excellent battle spanning several laps (44-48) was waged between Norris, Albon, and Gasly. The final finishing order was Bottas, Verstappen, Hamilton, Perez, Ricciardo, and Leclerc. Vettel managed only 13th.

Formula 1 Summary (Races 1 through 10)

In an attempt to make up for lost time, ten races were run in 13 weeks, a very intensive schedule. This seemed to cause some stress in the system, but the races went off without serious difficulties. There was virtually no spread of the virus within the teams or among the vast cast of characters necessary to make the circus run. Overall, it must be said that F1 put on a very presentable show under very difficult conditions. The only real fly in the ointment is the absence of the fans, but nothing can really be done about that at the present time.

The other problems concern Mercedes Benz and Ferrari. Those danged Germans just keep winning almost all of the races, and thereby spoiling the excitement. Conversely, Ferrari is having a dismal season, and is not really in the hunt for anything besides mediocracy. With that said, let’s have a look at the standings with ten races in the books.

Drivers:

Hamilton…. 205 Bottas…161 Verstappen…128
Norris……… 65 Albon……64 Ricciardo……..63
Leclerc……..57 (Vettel is in 13th place with 17 points)

Manufacturers:

Mercedes Benz…… 366 Red Bull…….192 McLaren…… 106
Racing Point………. 104 Renault…….. 99 Ferrari………. 74

This makes the situation clear; Mercedes will once again win both Championships (drivers and manufacturers) again in 2020. It is all over but the shouting.

Considering that the rules, and the cars, and therefore likely the pecking order, will remain basically unchanged for 2021, our mantra can’t be ‘wait until next year’; rather it must be ‘wait until the year after next.’