The Ratto Report – FCLV 2019 1st Quarter Review

The Ratto Report
1st Quarter 2019

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FCA NEWSLETTER
DESERT REGION – LAS VEGAS CHAPTER
1st Quarter 2019

I can picture you thinking…see you scratching your head. Hear you cursing… see you flipping the bird. Why the hell am I looking at this thing? …again! Didn’t I just suffer through it in January…3 short months ago? Well, the powers that be decided that we (I) should publish this Newsletter on a quarterly (rather than bi-annual) basis, just to keep it more fresh, more current with what is (like) happening today. Because, you know, the world is all about today…or maybe it’s about tomorrow. In any case, it sure ain’t about yesterday.

Opening Commentary
2019 begins with a large portion of the government in shut down mode. I guess one of the political sensors detected a problem and turned off the juice. Damnest thing…and all over a wall at the border. As I write this, the affected government workers are complaining; after missing one (ONE!) paycheck, they cannot pay their bills (I thought everyone was supposed to have a 6 month financial buffer). Of greater importance, the IRS and airport/flight security are suffering. Let’s hope that sanity returns.

Meanwhile, the stock market has bounced off its December lows and staged a strong comeback. Despite all the turmoil of the second half of 2018, Armageddon remains at bay. While the rally erased the drop in prices, perhaps more importantly it comforted and reassured shareholders, because in today’s world, perception is more important than reality.

And, the Democrats, after having recently taken control of Congress, are strangely quiet. What lurks in the weeds? The feared Mueller report?

Skip forward to late March, and all is pretty quiet on the commotion front. The much ballyhooed and poo-pooed Mueller report turned out to be nothing but light weight do-do. The stock market has stabilized, and the Arizona auctions indicated that all was well, but certainly not great, with the collector car market.

With all that in mind, I say ‘Full speed ahead, captain.’ We have some delectable plans for the next the three months, including a drive to Death Valley in mid-April. So we hope that you members will attend an event and join us in the fun. With that in mind, let’s have a look at what happened in the recent past.

January 15: Board Meeting at Bravo Italian at the Galleria Mall

As is becoming quite normal, the Board Meeting was well attended by both Board and general members. With 12 present, it was more like a mini-Social. For everyone else, remember that members are always welcome at Board Meetings. The first order of business was to seat the new Board members as follows:

President Dan Fogle V-President John Ratto
Social Director Bianca LaBriola Director William Zavison
Director Paul Hesselgesser Director Charles Damus

We then segued to discussions concerning dates and locations for future Board Meetings and Socials, and then to discussions concerning future events and drives.

Former Board President, and now Director, Paul Hesselgesser then reminded us that the National Meet will be held in Arizona (hosted by the Desert Region of which we are a part) in early November (the 6th through the 10th). Paul noted that hotels were filling up fast, so action is required. In short, if you plan to attend start making plans and reservations NOW.

January 24: Social at Brio in Town Square

The crowd was not large, but it sure was animated. The jovial atmosphere at this popular haunt seemed to encourage interesting and spirited conversations everywhere around our table, which made for a good time for all.

February 28: Social at Bonefish Grill in Summerlin

Once again, the turnout was not large, but that didn’t stop anyone from having a great time. Oh, and can I say that most everyone agreed that the food was simply fabulous? I guess that’s why the restaurant AND the parking lot were jammed. While familiarity may breed contempt, great food breeds many customers. Our new president, Dan Fogle, handed out a flyer providing details for the Laughlin Drive scheduled for Sunday, March 10. By the time you read this, the run will be history, a pleasant history in which we hope you participated.

March 10: Drive to Laughlin

Considering that a strong possibility for rain was forecast (leading to several cancellations), we had an excellent turn-out for this event: 8 cars, including 5 Ferraris, and 15 people (including long absent prodigal son Diamond Lee and his wife Lucy. We welcome them back, and hope we see them again soon. Also of note was the attendance of Bianca’s friend Steve Frye, who proved to be a most interesting conversationalist. The drive down was spirited and uneventful, which is the best you can ask for. Personally, I had not been to Laughlin for more than 10 years, and it certainly seems much more appealing now than it was then. Check it out – it’s a good one day trip. The food at the Bighorn Café in The Laughlin River Lodge earned mostly very good reviews, and it sure was plentiful. While some departed for home soon after lunch, others stayed overnight to sample the wilder side of Laughlin. They report that a good time was had by all on a swinging Sunday night in this mini-Las Vegas.

March 13: Board of Directors Meeting at Siena Italian Restaurant

As is becoming the norm, the turnout (by both Board and regular members) for this Meeting was quite large. Maybe, it was the venue. We all know that Siena has some really good Italian food. Surprisingly, another prodigal son, Duncan Lee, was attendance. We welcome him and all other ghosts of Christmas past to resume their participation. All the threadbare subjects were dragged out and revisited, including events/drives, financials, upcoming happenings, new members, the website, the National Meet, etc. etc. However, I detect a heightened level of enthusiasm from the top; our new President Dan Fogle is shaking things up a bit! He is pressing for less talk and more action. I’ll second that emotion. Again, we suggest that you make hotel reservations soon if you plan to attend the Meet.

March 28: Social at Prosecco Italian in Henderson

On a balmy but breezy (that precluded our plans to dine al-fresco) night, we had an excellent turnout for a great meal and some good fun at this popular Henderson Bistro that is well known for its fine Italian cibo. After a round (or two) at the bar, we took over a very large table in the main dining room for the primary course. Just about that moment, a surprise. This must be the year of the return of the prodigal, because that’s when another long absent member, Stephane Pedaggi and his wife Cindy, sat down to join us. It was nice to catch up on their latest adventures; we all hope they attend more regularly in the future. The conversation, both before and after dinner, was animated and it seemed an excellent time was had by all.

FORMULA 1 NEWS

Re-Cap of the 2018 Season and Introduction to 2019

Although the second half of 2018 was not as great (especially for Ferrari) as the first, it still offered some serious racing and tense moments. Ferrari, Mercedes, and Red Bull duked it out to the end, with Mercedes and Lewis Hamilton taking top honors. As a reminder, the final points tally for 2018 looked like this.

Drivers Manufacturers
Hamilton 408 Verstappen 249 Mercedes GP 655
Vettel 320 Bottas 247 Ferrari 571
Raikkonen 251 Ricciardo 170 Red Bull Racing 419

Shortly after the 2018 season ended, changes began. Certainly the biggest change in team management was Ferrari’s dismissal of team principal Maurizio Arrivabene. While many fans of the scarlet cars welcome this change, I question it. Arrivabene took over a team in turmoil and, in a few years, effected great improvement. Was he as good as Toto Wolff and Niki Lauda at Mercedes? No. Was he better than most of the other team principals? Yes. Let’s just hope that Ferrari’s new team principal, (former technical head) Mattia Binotto, is an upgrade rather than a return to the chaotic, oh so Italian, ways of old.

With respect to driver changes, the big news was again at Ferrari. As was common knowledge late in the 2018 season, Kimi Raikkonen is out (exiled to Sauber) and youngster Charles Leclerc (last year with Sauber in his rookie season) is in. Again, I have mixed feelings regarding this move. Is the kid ready for the big time, for the pressure? He drove very well for Sauber last year, exceeding expectations. This year expectations will be far higher, and his teammate (the first standard for comparison) is 4 time world champion Sebastian Vettel. If Leclerc does well, the Italian media will lionize him. If not, they will feed him to the lions. A colosseum has been built expressly for this purpose. Also of note was Daniel Ricciardo’s switch from Red Bull to Renault. I can understand Ricciardo’s frustrations with the unreliability of the Red Bull, but it seems he has only downgraded his competitive position with this move. Also, we welcome the return of Robert Kubica (sidelined from F1 by injury since 2010); he will drive for back-marker Williams.

Red Bull made the big headlines on the equipment front. As expected, last year’s third place squad shook things up, switching from Renault to Honda power. I see this as a parallel move, but it seems justified because Honda is improving, while Renault seems to be threading water.

Another change of note concerns how the various tire compounds are named. There will no longer be super-softs, ultra-softs, hyper-softs, ultra-super-hyper softs etc. Instead, Pirelli will select what it believes to be the three best compounds for the race, and will supply them to the teams. These will be simply identified as the softs, mediums, and hards (for that race), and they will always have sidewall markings in red, yellow, and white respectively. This should greatly reduce confusion and is seen as a good move.

In any case, we begin 2019 much where we left off in 2018. Mercedes seems to still be the team to beat; they have won 74 of the last 100 races and don’t seem to be losing any steam. For the first time in a long time, Ferrari mounted a serious challenge to the Germans in 2018. Can they challenge again? Can they make it over the top? Will Honda power make Red Bull a consistent contender, or will the team fade into the pack chasing the leaders? Will traditional ‘best-of-the-rest’ Renault move up into the lead group, or remained mired in the pack?

Answering these questions will determine the course of the 2019 season. Ladies and gentlemen, strap in, don your helmets, and START YOUR ENGINES!

Testing in Barcelona

As usual, testing in Spain began in mid-February. Testing times are virtually impossible to evaluate because the teams can so easily manipulate their times to be slower than they should be. No one wants to show their maximum speed so early in the game. Nevertheless, after the first week, the consensus opinion had Ferrari at the front, with Mercedes and Red Bull tied for second. Great for Ferrari, but probably not of great importance. However, the surprise was Renault, which seems to have jumped from ‘best-of-the-rest’ to ‘worst-of-the-best,’ if that makes any sense.

The second week of testing saw more meaningful results. It also saw Sebastian Vettel losing control of his Ferrari and having a significant shunt. Naturally, the observers dissected the lap times using all manner of theoretical formulae, and then concluded that, under similar conditions, the Ferraris were about 0.5 seconds a lap faster than second place Mercedes, which were followed closely by Red Bull, Haas, and Toro Rosso, all within one second a lap of the Ferraris. Renault, McLaren, and Alfa-Romeo (formerly Sauber) were not far behind, with Racing Point (formerly Force India) and Williams bringing up the rear.

Two rookies looked comfortable, capable, and quick – Alexander Albon in the Toro-Rosso and Lando Norris in the McLaren. On the other hand, George Russell (Williams) looked a bit over his head in these waters.

March 17: GP of Australia (1)

As usual, the land down under (where summer is winter, and vice versa) hosted the first race of the season at Albert Park, a 3.2 mile track that is pretty quick. 58 laps were scheduled.

The three Practice sessions were generally uneventful. The Mercedes were generally fastest, but the silver arrows looked twitchy and nervous, requiring constant steering input to remain on track. The Ferraris, conversely, seemed well planted and far more stable; but they were definitely slower than the Germans. The experts speculated that the red cars were deliberately hiding their true speed. The real surprise came from Haas; the American team was right on the tail of the big three (Mercedes, Ferrari, Red Bull).

On a sad note, it was learned that Charlie Whiting, long time FIA F1 Director, died of natural causes on March 14.

And, a change in scoring was announced: one point each will be given to the manufacturer and driver who have the fastest lap of each race.

Qualifying did not go well for Ferrari. All of their supposed hidden speed failed to materialize, and Mercedes ran away with the proceedings. Hamilton and Bottas set the fastest times, each going 0.7 of a second or more (that’s a lot in this game) faster than Vettel (third), Verstappen (fourth), and Leclerc (fifth). The Haas teammates (Magnussen and Grosjean) did well to grab sixth and seventh. Of note, McLaren rookie Lando Norris did well to claim eighth, while home country hero Ricciardo could do no better than 12th for his new team, Renault…a great disappointment to the masses in the grandstands.

Most of the front runners started on the soft rubber, while a few in the mid-pack opted for the mediums. The start was mostly clean and uneventful, save for the spectacular jump Bottas got on everyone, most notably Hamilton. The Finn stormed ahead of the 5 time world champion and made the pass for the lead stick…effortlessly. Meanwhile, Ricciardo, through his own fault, severely damaged his front wing and was soon in the pits for a new one. Then something truly unexpected happened: Bottas, in the lead, proceeded to set fast lap after fast lap, pulling away to a significant lead over his teammate Hamilton and everyone else. After 10 laps, Bottas was clear of the field by more than 5 seconds over Hamilton in second, Vettel, Verstappen, Leclerc, and the Haas duo (Magnussen and Grosjean).

Both Vettel and Hamilton stopped for new tires (going to the mediums) on lap 15, which was significantly earlier than predicted. This proved to be pivotal, as Bottas and most of the other leaders continued on their original tires for many more laps before stopping. Moreover, they, especially Bottas, seemed able to lap as fast, or faster, on their worn soft tires than Vettel and Hamilton could lap on their new mediums. As a result, when Bottas finally stopped for new tires on lap 23, he easily resumed at the front, with a nice gap in hand. With the newest tires and a big lead, he was clearly in the catbird seat. Verstappen in the Red bull, who had delayed his stop to lap 25, rejoined behind Vettel, but with the advantage of newer rubber was able to catch and pass the Ferrari quite easily (lap 31). Meanwhile, Bottas was cruising out front with a 20 second lead.

The ensuing laps saw some good battles for position in the mid-field, and Verstappen, on newer tires, slowly catching up to Hamilton. However, he was not able to pass the Mercedes. Leclerc, also on much newer tires, was able to catch Vettel, but he resisted the urge to force his way past his more experienced teammate. He did look good though…his day will come.

The final finishing order: Bottas, Hamilton, Verstappen, Vettel, Leclerc, and Magnussen.

Not an auspicious start to the season for Ferrari.

March 31: GP of Bahrain (2)

Little of real note transpired during the three Practice sessions. Yes, it was hot and a bit windy, but that was to be expected. Ricciardo was perhaps slower than anticipated, while the Ferraris, after their dreadful showing in Australia, were faster. The M-B were still nervous and twitchy, and still fast.

Once again, the new tire supply and identification system was in use, and boy is it an improvement: soft = red, medium = yellow, hard = white. The race was scheduled for 57 laps over the 3.6 mile desert circuit. The soft tires were about a second a lap faster than the mediums, so everyone was essentially forced to use them (and thus to start the race on them) in order to advance in the Qualifying sessions. But they were actually starting to noticeably degrade during their first fast lap!

Qualifying began in the late afternoon, with the sun setting and temperatures dropping, which created rapidly changing track conditions, which made tire temperatures and pressures very important. The Renaults were disappointing, with both Ricciardo and Hulkenberg failing to make Q3. Meanwhile, the Ferraris were cruising at the front, seemingly without a care. When it was all over, the front of the starting grid looked very promising for Ferrari fans: the Ferrari teammates of Leclerc and Vettel occupied row 1, followed by Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen (Red Bull), Magnussen (Haas), and Sainz (McLaren). Of interest: Leclerc becomes the second youngest pole sitter. The youngest you ask: Vettel.

The commentators raised a significant point: The performance of the cars is now so close that much of the overall differential between them is due to tires and how the cars manage them (pressure and temperature during qualifying, and degradation during the race). Interesting.

It was oddly cool, very windy, and thus the track was sandy and dusty on the evening of the race. Traction would be at a premium, and the pundits were predicting low grip and thus high tire degradation. A two stop race was foreseen. It was a very exciting start: some got grip on the slippery track, while others got none. Vettel made an excellent start and passed Leclerc for the lead. Bottas, also with good grip, passed Hamilton for third, and then passed Leclerc for second. Then Hamilton challenged Leclerc, but failed to make his pass stick. After all of that excellent action, things settled down a bit, but not for long. On lap 2 Leclerc passed Bottas, and then Hamilton passed Bottas as well. Meanwhile, just a few yards behind those epic battles, Sainz and Verstappen were having a war of their own. Leclerc then caught Vettel (lap 5) and quickly passed him (lap 6) to retake the lead. Moreover, there were many battles going on in the mid-field, far too many to list. Just a great show.

As Leclerc began to pull away, Verstappen was the first of the leaders to stop for new tires, on lap 12…earlier than everyone expected. Bottas, Leclerc, Hamilton, and Vettel did the same soon thereafter, with Hamilton opting for a different strategy. He fitted a new set of soft tires (thus committing to two stops) rather than the mediums that everyone else selected. In the next few laps, Bottas managed to pass Verstappen, and Hamilton (on the faster soft tires) did the same to Vettel. At lap 20, the running order was Leclerc, Hamilton, Vettel, Bottas, and Verstappen.

Then, Hamilton began to pay the price for choosing the soft tires for his second stint. They degraded fast, really fast. By lap 23 (less than 10 laps after stopping for tires), Hamilton was complaining of worn tires and was slowing noticeably. This allowed Vettel to catch him and, after a good battle, pass him. Meanwhile, there were many good fights throughout the mid-field. This was truly shaping up as a race for the ages. Who says there is no passing in F1?

By lap 33, the leading drivers were beginning to make their second stops, and most of them chose the mediums again, as the soft tires had shown they had no durability at all. Then, on about lap 40, disaster struck for Ferrari. With Hamilton and Vetted meshed in a tight battle, the cars touched and Vettel spun, damaging his tires and his front wing. He had to pit and rejoined in 8th. From then on, Vettel worked his way quickly back up the field, but could never catch the leaders.

Lap 47 brought more disaster for Ferrari. Leclerc was experiencing engine problems (loss of cylinder, it turned out) and slowed dramatically. As he limped around the track, first Hamilton (lap 48), and then Bottas (lap 54) passed hm. Only the deployment of the safety car during the final 4 laps of the race prevented Verstappen from doing the same. After 57 tough laps, the finishing order was Hamilton, Bottas, Leclerc, Verstappen, Vettel, Norris (McLaren), and our old friend Raikkonen in the Alfa Romeo. Of note: Leclerc and Ferrari each got the extra points for fast lap.

This marks another race that Ferrari could have, should have won. Instead, our squad had to settle for third and fifth. Another sad day, but at least a day with hope. Unlike Australia, where the Ferraris were slow, they were fastest of the field in Bahrain. With a little luck, the Scuderia will be winning some races soon.
Meanwhile, the points situation after two races:

Drivers Manufacturers
Bottas 44 Leclerc 26 Mercedes GP 87
Hamilton 43 Vettel 22 Ferrari 48
Verstappen 27 Raikkonen 10 Red Bull Racing 31

John Ratto

The Ratto Report – FCLV 2018 Biannual Review 2

The Ratto Report
FCLV 2018 Biannual
Review 2

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Opening Commentary

We began the second half of 2018 in pretty much the same situation as we opened the year. The Democratic hue-and-cry concerning some of the President’s policies continued, but little has actually resulted from it. The highly questionable policy of separating migrant-refugee children from their parents has been set aside, but that seemed inevitable. Of greater long term significance was the retirement of another Supreme Court Justice, creating an opening that Trump filled with a rather controversial nominee.

Other than that, things continued to hum along in July-August. The economy remained strong and unemployment low. The stock market was stable. Our houses are worth significantly more than last year. Ferrari prices continued to be stable. Times were good. Clouds on the horizon in mid-2018? Are we in a growing bubble that will burst? Will the looming trade/tariff battle scuttle the global economy and bring recession? Is the sharp rise in government and corporate debt a subject of great concern?

But, forget all of that…the good and the bad. The most important thing in July 2018 was Formula 1, mid-way through an epic season. It was close…and it was exciting…and Ferrari and Sebastian Vettel were in the lead!

With that in mind, here is a recap of what transpired in the second half of 2018. Your Board of Directors hope you were able to attend a few of these events, and that you will attend some future events over the next few months. Springtime is just around the corner, and it will be time to exercise the horses! Meanwhile, don’t forget to visit our NEW! IMPROVED! website at ferrariclubvegas.com for the latest news and information.

July 10: Board Meeting at The Pasta Shop Restaurant

With 6 Board members (Chuck Damus, Ted Schlazer, Dan and Jan Fogle, Scott Howard, and John Ratto) and two guests present, we had a good turn-out. Unfortunately, it was confirmed that former Board member Elda Fanucchi has retired after a most successful tenure. We would welcome her back with open arms. With our Treasurer, Scott Howard, in attendance, we got the financial report from the Cavallino’s mouth, so to speak. In short, our balance has grown slightly. A list of new members, renewing members, and non-renewing members was reviewed, along with our less than rewarding relationship with our dealer, Towbin Motorcars. We need to have more interfaces with them. It was then noted that we have come to an agreement with Jeff Wenger regarding the Website issues; it is nice to see this matter concluded…hopefully. Finally, future events, including the Holiday Party, were discussed.

Late July: Death of Sergio Marchionne

When Sergio Marchionne, CEO of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles, the parent company of Ferrari, last appeared in public on June 26, in Italy, he appeared fatigued and clearly not well. FCA subsequently announced Marchionne had taken medical leave for shoulder surgery.

It was well known that Marchionne had suffered from shoulder pain for several years and had been diagnosed with an invasive sarcoma, the severity of which he concealed from his colleagues while he underwent treatment. The shoulder surgery, done as part of this treatment, was considered a high-risk operation. During the operation in mid-July, Marchionne suffered severe brain damage and lapsed into a coma. He was given little chance of recovery.

Consequently, immediately after the surgery, FCA released a notice saying that Marchionne would not return to his position (essentially an announcement of his retirement) due to post-surgical complications. On July 21, due to the gravity of his condition, Marchionne was officially replaced at FCA and Ferrari, as well as other subsidiaries.

Sergio Marchionne died on July 25; he was just 66 years old. He is survived by his former wife Orlandina, his current partner Manuela Battezzato, and his two adult sons, Alessio and Tyler.

How this all will affect Ferrari is yet to be seen. The future is unknown.

August 2: Social at Marche Bacchus

Considering it was a dark and stormy evening, we had a fantastic turnout for this event, held at a popular Summerlin hot spot. Located on a man-made lake, Mache Bacchus is relatively unknown outside its immediate locale, but we Ferrari people know good food (and fabulous ambiance) when we eat it, so we have been heading there for years. They set up a large square table for us (as opposed to the typical long tables we are usually given at other establishments) that allowed everyone to talk with everyone else, which maximized the social aspect of our dining experience. Be sure not to miss this one the next time.

Mid-August: Notice of the Demise of the Siena Car Show

This was a sad day – the day we learned that the annual Columbus Day car show at Siena Ristorante has been cancelled. We thank Antonio and his staff, especially Kumiko, for their massive efforts to make this such a wonderful event. Thanks for the memories, friends.

September 26: Social at Vintner Grill

We had an excellent turnout (more than 20) for drinks and dinner at this Summerlin hot spot. And we fit right in with all of the beautiful people. Of note was attendance by 3 new, never before seen, members: John Mautner, long time Ferrari owner Doug Daniels and his wife Joy, and Willian Zavison (spelling?). This is good news for the club as ‘fresh blood’ is the life blood of an organization such as ours. We welcome our newbies and hope to see them again soon. Meanwhile, long time members Jan and Dan Fogle wowed us with a new addition to their tribe, a beautiful grey F599 Fiorano. It made my mouth water! Congratulations on the acquisition.

October 11: Board Meeting at the Home of Chuck Damus and Kerri Howard

The Board thanks Chuck and Kerri for their fine hospitality in hosting this meeting, especially given that we had a giant turnout…13, including 5 members of the Board. After a bit of socializing and a nice Italian (naturally!) dinner, the Board got down to business. The first matter discussed was our relationship with our local dealer, and ways that it could be improved. Subsequently, we reviewed recent problems (apparently caused by hackers) with our website, which seem to be in the process of being corrected; dates and locations for the Holiday Party; and upcoming socials, drives, and activities. Finally, I would like to say that it was a real pleasure to have Marshall Buck, who has recently moved to Las Vegas, in attendance. Back in the olden days, Marshall was one of the first ‘Ferrari Crazies’ in the US, and was instrumental in the creation of the Los Angeles based Ferrari Owners’ Club. He had some great tales to tell.

November 29: Board Meeting at Siena

Although this was an important meeting to elect next year’s board, relatively few members attended. In any case, potential new board members were nominated and voting information was e-mailed to club members a few days later. Did YOU vote?? Other than that, the main topic of discussion concerned the Holiday Party and the lack of timely member response. EVERYONE NEEDS TO RESPOND TO THESE RSVPs!!

December 1: Shooting at Green Valley Range

This event was well attended and everyone that attended seemed to have a great time. We even had a few relatively new faces (hello John Mautner, Takuya Ishida, and Bill Zavison/Marilyn Scarsella) and generally unseen members show up, and several long standing members brought guests. We thank long standing member Lindsey Freeman for making the arrangements and making it all happen, despite being precluded from actually attending while recovering from an operation.

December 8: Holiday Party at Canyon Gate Country Club

After some hand wringing concerns regarding attendance, the turnout was quite good, and everyone seemed to like the food, always a good thing. Even new Las Vegas Chapter member Marshall Buck and wife made a welcome appearance to liven up the proceedings. Outgoing Chapter president Chuck Damus gave a short, but poignant, goodbye speech, and the White Elephant gift exchange proved to be a great success. A nice evening with old friends is always most welcome in the hub-bub of Holiday Season.

Wrap-Up – July through December 2018

The political battles in Washington continued unabated throughout the second half of 2018, with healthcare, immigration, building a border wall, tariffs, possible impeachment, etc., etc. leading the list. Heck, as this goes to press we have a partial government shut-down. The stock market finally reacted to all this non-sense, producing numerous gut-wrenching drops (one on Christmas eve – talk about bad timing!) that have been generally followed by sharp (but lesser) recoveries. The Democrats made important gains in the mid-term elections, and will take control of the House in January. This should make the situation even more contentious-interesting. As the year comes to an end, there seems to be uncertainty everywhere. But, I guess, that’s part of what makes life worth living.

UPCOMING EVENTS

Socials will resume in January, after the holiday season is fading in the rear view mirror. Meanwhile, be sure to visit our new website for the latest information. FerrariClubVegas.com.

FORMULA 1 NEWS RECAP

Season Status after 9 Races

We opened the second half of the season with EXCITEMENT in the air. This has been a great year for Formula 1 … and an excellent year for Ferrari. At the front (the so called big 6), the races have been ultra-competitive, and the point situation reflects that. The points standings going into race 10 of the year:

Top Constructors Top Drivers

Ferrari 247 Vettel (F) 146 Ricciardo (R-B) 96
Mercedes 237 Hamilton (M-B) 145 Verstappen (R-B) 93
Red Bull 189 Raikkonen (F) 101 Bottas (M-B) 92

Yes, it is THAT close. After 9 races one point separates Vettel and Hamilton. One point! This spells exciting racing ahead. Be sure to watch, at home on ESPN or at Siena, with the rabid Ferrari fans and that good Italian food.

With the cars so equal, tires, and tire strategy, have become crucial. The cars (the Red Bulls) that can manage/conserve their tires have a significant advantage over those that cannot (Mercedes seems the worst of the top 3). The teams that time their pit stops judiciously have a similar advantage. However, these factors seem to favor different teams in different races. Very interesting.

July through November: F1 Viewing at Siena and other venues

July 8: GP of Britain (10)

The entire weekend was held under clear, sunny skies and very hot temperatures. The normally lush green grass areas were dry and brown. These conditions are completely unusual for Silverstone, England, and represent the best evidence of global warming I can point to. The track though, remained the same. It is long (3.6 miles – 52 laps), very fast, and its ultra-high speed corners challenge the bravery of those that dare attempt to tame it. Tracks like this favor Mercedes and to a degree Ferrari, and punish Red Bull, whose Renault engines rank third in the horsepower war. Ferrari supplied the team with new aero pieces in hopes of nullifying the advantage Mercedes had gained at Austria with its upgraded engines. Pirelli supplied the hard, medium, and soft tires.

Practice was relatively uneventful, the only incident of note being Verstappen’s encounter with one of the tire barriers. All of the top teams opted to contest Q2 on the soft tires, and therefore start on them. The strategy was for a one stop race, with the soft tires going about 15-20 laps and then a switch to the mediums. At the end of Q3 the starting order was predictable: Hamilton, Vettel, Raikkonen, Bottas, Verstappen, and Ricciardo; the Haas duo managed an excellent 7th and 8th.

Perhaps encouraged by the lack of the normal English rain, or perhaps because their native son (Hamilton) was on pole, the crowds were huge on race day Sunday. The start of the race, as is becoming usual, was eventful. Vettel, Raikkonen, and Bottas all made excellent starts, while Hamilton bogged down and became an obstacle in their paths. Vettel and Bottas managed to pass the pole sitter in the first 100 yards, but Raikkonen was stuck directly behind him and a slight collision occurred between Raikkonen’s front wing and Hamilton’s rear tire. Hamilton spun and by the time he got straightened out, he was last. Raikkonen meanwhile suffered wing damage that he complained about for the rest of the race. He also lost a spot to Verstappen, and then was given a 10 second penalty for being judged the perpetrator of the collision. At the end of lap 2, when the dust had settled a bit, the running order was Vettel, Bottas, Verstappen, Raikkonen, and Ricciardo. Hamilton was 17th and slicing his way through slower traffic back to the front. By lap 10 he was up to 7th and clearly a man on a mission.

Raikkonen was the first to pit, on lap 14, at which time he also served his 10 second penalty. He resumed on new medium tires and mired in heavy mid-field traffic. The other fast cars stopped for tires (all choosing the mediums) progressively thereafter, with Hamilton being the last to do so, on lap 25. At this point, the running order was Vettel, Bottas, Verstappen, Ricciardo, Raikkonen, and Hamilton. Unhappy with his second set of tires, Ricciardo stopped again (lap 31); this time he rejoined the fray on the soft tires. Then, on lap 33, Ericsson (Alfa Romeo-Sauber) hit a wall, bringing out the Safety car, and prompting Vettel, Verstappen, and Raikkonen to pit for new tires. Ricciardo, who had pitted just a few laps earlier, persevered with the tires he had, as did the Mercedes duo, clearly choosing to proceed on a different strategy – choosing track position over fresh tires. This was clearly a difference of opinion, as another accident again brought the Safety Car out just a few laps later with the Mercedes duo continuing on their worn tires. However, it must be pointed out that the slow laps behind the safety car were an advantage to the Mercedes drivers as the tires degrade less in such conditions.

When racing resumed on lap 41 the (bunched up) running order was Bottas, Vettel, Hamilton, Verstappen, Raikkonen, and Ricciardo. With everyone now nose-to-tail, a terrific battle ensued at the front with everyone having a go at everyone else. Taking advantage of his Ferrari’s superior horsepower, Raikkonen passed Verstappen on lap 44, and soon thereafter Ricciardo did the same. At this point it became clear that Verstappen was having mechanical problems; he was out soon thereafter. Meanwhile Bottas was beginning to struggle on his worn tires, and was passed by Vettel on lap 47. Hamilton and Raikkonen both managed to do the same in the final few laps, giving a final finishing order of Vettel, Hamilton, Raikkonen, Bottas, and Ricciardo.

Hamilton pouted throughout the post-race festivities, clearly implying that his collision with Raikkonen was a Ferrari plot. But he had little to complain about as he was going so slowly at the start that a collision with someone seemed inevitable. Rather, he was lucky that no real damage was done and that he was able to finish second, something that would not have happened absent Raikkonen’s penalty. This result slightly increases Vettel’s lead in the drivers’ championship and Ferrari’s lead in the constructors’ championship. Let the games begin

July 22: GP of Germany (11)

Once again, it was blazing hot and very dry in a country known for being cool and wet. The grass around the circuit was brown and sere, where it is normally emerald and lush. Pirelli supplied the medium, soft, and ultra-soft tires, skipping the super-softs, for the 67 lap race around the windy but fast, 2.8 mile track at Hockenheim.

The big news on Friday Practice was that Ricciardo had been again forced to replace portions of his Bed Bull’s power unit, and would thereby start last. The other big news was that the ‘silly season’ had officially started, with rumors rife of possible driver movement, and news of driver signings. We learned that both Hamilton and Bottas had resigned with Mercedes, but that Raikkonen was apparently persona non grata at Ferrari. Meanwhile, the rumors had LeClerc going to Ferrari, and then Ricciardo making that move instead. Innuendo swirled around many drivers of the mid-pack as well, with the futures of Romain Grosjean, Esteban Ocon, Carlos Sainz, and others the subject of discussion. But the important news concerned tires, which were wearing very fast in the stifling heat and of the possibility of rain on race day.

The skies opened on Friday night, bringing some much needed rain to the area; unfortunately, it also washed away much of the grip producing rubber that had been laid down during Practice. So, in Qualifying, the cars were slipping and sliding while trying to set the fastest times possible. Strangely, Hamilton was having more trouble than most; he ran off track several times in Q1 and wound up jarring the car so badly that it suffered an hydraulic failure and died on track. Unable to get the car back to the pits, he would start 14th. When Qualifying was over, the starting order was set: Vettel, Bottas, Raikkonen, and Verstappen. The Haas duo did very well to grab 5th and 6th. All the front runners qualified and would start on the ultra-soft tires. Hamilton, down in 14th, was free to choose any tire available; he opted for the longer lived softs. Ricciardo, starting last, had the same choice; he chose the medium rubber. The word on pit lane was that all the front runners were on a one pit stop strategy, hoping that that the tires would have enough life to make this possible. Many of the pundits were skeptical.

It was hot again for race day, but the weather report predicted rain as well. Hallelujah – the cars made it through lap one without incident. The early laps saw few, if any, changes at the front, but Hamilton and Ricciardo were moving up fast through the back markers. They were 7th and 13th, respectively, by lap 10, by which time the front runners were beginning to experience degradation to their ultra-soft tires. Raikkonen was the first to pit, on lap 15 (certainly earlier than he hoped), but most of the other leaders (Vettel, Bottas, Verstappen, in that order) managed to get to lap 25 to 30 before stopping. They all mounted the soft tires. Hamilton, meanwhile, seemed quite content to proceed on his original soft rubber. At lap 30 the running order was Raikkonen, Vettel (who had a slow pit stop), Hamilton (who had not stopped), Bottas, and Verstappen.

At this point, Ferrari made a tactical error. Raikkonen, on much older tires, was clearly holding up Vettel, who was looking for a way past his teammate. Rather than directing Raikkonen to move aside for the faster Vettel, the Ferrari brain thrust did nothing, leaving Vettel in Raikkonen’s dirty air, which wore his new tires quickly. Meanwhile, the cars behind Vettel were gradually closing the gap to the two leading Ferraris. The directive to let Vettel by was not given until lap 39, by which time the damage to Vettel’s tires had been done.

While this was playing out at the front, the skies were darkening and rain seemed inevitable. Hamilton, who was on some seriously worn tires, was clearly hoping for the rain to come soon so he could make his stop for wet tires at the same time as everyone else. However, when the rain did not come, Hamilton was forced to stop, which he did on lap 43. Here, Mercedes made a critical and brilliant decision, they opted to provide Hamilton with a set of the ultra-soft rubber, reasoning that they might last for the remaining 20+ laps, but also considering that the ultra-softs might have enough grip to survive a period of light rain. This is exactly was happened. Light rain started on lap 47, prompting some to switch to the intermediate wet tires. But the rain generally ceased on lap 49, though residual moisture and a few isolated cloudbursts kept the track wet and slick for many laps thereafter. During this period, most of the front runners managed to safely circulate, albeit at reduced speeds, on their worn soft compound tires. On lap 49, Bottas passed Raikkonen, whose tires were the oldest and slowest in the field. But Hamilton, running fourth behind Vettel, Bottas, and Raikkonen, on new ultra-softs, was going much faster than anyone else and was quickly catching, and threatening the leaders.

Then, on lap 52, Vettel seemed to suffer momentary brain fade. Pushing on his worn tires to stay ahead of the charging Hamilton, he approached the hairpin where the conditions were damp and slippery and simply missed the braking and turn-in point, was unable to save it, and drove straight off the track and into the barriers. He was out! Then, two laps later, to cause further Ferrari misery, Raikkonen was forced to pit for new tires. When the race ended, the final finishing order was Hamilton, Bottas, Raikkonen, Verstappen, Hulkenberg (Renault), and Grosjean, and another golden opportunity for Ferrari had been squandered. Instead, Hamilton and Mercedes reclaimed the leads in the championships. A sad day.

July 29: GP of Hungary (12)

Practice on Friday was run in very hot and humid conditions on the tight, twisty, slow track (2.7 miles, 14 turns, 70 laps) outside Budapest, a track that was expected to favor the Ferraris and Red Bulls. As expected, these two teams dominated the lap times during the Practice sessions, with the Ferraris clearly fastest. The Mercedes, meanwhile, were seriously off the pace.

Pirelli supplied medium, soft, and ultra-soft tires, which looked to have short life spans in the very warm weather conditions. Everyone was hoping to complete the race with only one stop, but it looked doubtful.

But, the real bombshell did not concern tires. Nor did it concern the weather. Nor did it concern Ferrari…or Mercedes. Instead, it concerned Daniel Ricciardo, who announced he was leaving Red Bull and moving to Renault for the 2019 season. What a ballsy move! Or was it simply stupid? Or did he simply have no other reasonable alternative? Riccardo was not challenging for a championship with Red Bull, and his overall future there was less than rosy. Red Bull has not been able to win consistently with the best chassis (consensus opinion), two excellent drivers, and the Renault engine package. Next year they will be switching to Honda power, which at this point does not look like an improvement. There are no other engine choices, as neither Ferrari nor Mercedes want to supply engines to a potential threat to their supremacy. So, looking strictly at the hardware, the move seems reasonable. Then there is Ricciardo’s (soon) former Red Bull teammate Max Verstappen, who is younger, perhaps faster, certainly more audacious, and clearly more popular with the fan base and perhaps with management as well. Red Bull signed Verstappen a long term extension a few weeks earlier, while Ricciardo’s contract negotiations were put on the back burner. This was certainly no vote of confidence for the Aussie. Going to Renault would immediately crown Ricciardo as team leader, on a factory team that is perhaps more stable and that will be certainly be more appreciative than Red Bull. It also indicates that Ricciardo had little hope for the competiveness, at least in the short term, of the Red Bull-Honda marriage. I’m sure there were also some big euros thrown in. So, the move was not crazy overall, and we’ll have to wait until next year to see if it made any sense at all on the track. There is one thing that may have given Ricciardo the confidence to jump ship. About five years ago Hamilton was driving a somewhat competitive McLaren when he inexplicably switched to non-competitive Mercedes-Benz. That move turned out pretty good. In fact it now seems prescient.

It rained hard on Saturday morning, and conditions were unsettled and changing as Qualifying began Saturday afternoon. The track was drying but still quite wet, and more rain was forecast as the cars rolled out for Q1. At first, everyone opted for intermediate wet tires, but when the rain did not come and the track continued to dry, the bolder drivers switched to slicks. Despite the uncertainty, the fast 6 were able to advance to Q2, during which the rapidly changing conditions caught Ricciardo out and relegated him to 12th of the grid. Meanwhile, the Mercedes were looking strong in the wet. A few moments later, when Q3 began, it was pouring, and everyone was out on the full wet rubber. Yet, when all had been said and done, the starting order was not too surprising: Hamilton, Bottas, Raikkonen, Vettel, and Carlos Sainz (Renault).

Race morning dawned very hot and humid, but with no rain in the forecast. Since Qualifying had been run in wet conditions, everyone was free to start the race on whatever tires they chose. Vettel (starting behind the Mercedes duo) and Ricciardo (starting 12th) opted for the soft rubber, while most of the others chose the ultra-softs. During a pre-race interview Hamilton said something prophetic: The Ferraris are probably faster than us, but not enough faster to pass us. The start was relatively uneventful, with some wheel banging but no real collisions; at the end of the first lap the order was Hamilton, Bottas, Vettel, Raikkonen, and Verstappen; Ricciardo had fallen to 16th. The first few laps saw Hamilton pulling away from Bottas, who was blocking Vettel’s attempts to pass. The only real action was provided by Verstappen, whose engine failed on lap 6, and Ricciardo, who was moving up the field fast. Raikkonen was the first to stop, on lap 15, for new tires, with Bottas doing the same on lap 16; both mounted soft tires, hoping they would last to the end, some 55 laps. Meanwhile, little had changed at the front, where Bottas was clearly trying to prevent Vettel from passing him so that he could challenge race leader Hamilton. Most of the other cars in the field stopped for fresh tires between laps 20 and 30, by which time their ultra-softs had come to the end of their useful lives. All chose to switch to the soft rubber. However, Vettel and Ricciardo, who had started on the soft tires, continued without stopping. At lap 30, the running order was Vettel, Hamilton, Bottas, Raikkonen, and Ricciardo, and the game was clearly on.
The first indication of possible tire problems was on lap 39, when Raikkonen, who had been the first to make a stop and who had then worn his soft tires pushing Bottas for 3rd place, made a second stop (for another set of soft tires). Immediately thereafter, Vettel, who had been having difficulties lapping the backmarkers on his worn out soft tires, made his first stop, (for new ultra-soft tires), and it was a slow one. As a consequence of these two factors, he rejoined behind Bottas instead of ahead of him. He would be stuck there, unable to pass, for the next 20+ laps. Ricciardo, meanwhile, delayed his first stop to lap 45. So, as Vettel, on relatively new tires, was being held up by Bottas, Raikkonen (also on newer tires) was catching both of them. These three proceeded to run nose-to-tail, and relatively slowly, for the next 20 laps or so. The Ferraris on their newer tires were clearly faster than Bottas on his worn out tires, but not enough faster to pass him. On lap 65, with the end in sight, a very frustrated Vettel made his move: he pushed past Bottas and took second place. However, Bottas, driving on cords rather than rubber, incomprehensively refused to concede the spot and tried, in desperation, to repass the Ferrari. In the process he slid wide and damaged his front wing, which allowed Raikkonen to also sail past the Mercedes. Ricciardo was the next to catch the ailing Mercedes, and he too had to fight Bottas tooth-and-nail for the position before finally making a move stick on the final lap of the race. The finishing order was Hamilton, Vettel, Raikkonen, Ricciardo, Bottas, and Gasly (! Toro Rosso).
After the race Bottas complained about Vettel’s pass, but he really had no axe to grind. He had been blocking Vettel, Raikkonen, and Ricciardo for more than 20 laps, and could not expect his pursuers to simply let that happen indefinitely. This is racing, not follow the leader. And, his blocking was effective as it allowed Hamilton to control his pace and save his tires with no challenge. Which means that, in the end, Hamilton extends his points lead and another golden opportunity for Ferrari was wasted.

August: The Summer Break

In what has now become a yearly tradition, the teams must take a mandated summer vacation. During this time there is (supposedly) to be no work on the cars or any other efforts made to improve performance. Engine development is OK, though. That does not stop the news machine from cycling. For example, in August we learned the following:

Alonso was offered (according to him) and declined Ricciardo’s vacant seat at Red Bull. Instead, he will be leaving Formula 1, most likely for the greener pastures of Indy Car, where he hopes to win the Indianapolis 500. We wish one of the all-time greats the best of luck.

Next year, current Toro Rosso rookie Pierre Gasly will take the empty seat at Red Bull. Gasly has performed quite well his year, but this promotion is a windfall for him.

Carlos Sainz, cast aside at Renault to make room for Ricciardo, will take Alonso’s vacant seat at McLaren in 2019.

The ownership/management of the Force India team has been reorganized, and now will be led by Lawrence Stroll, father of Williams driver Lance Stroll. From this point forward the team will be named Racing Point Force India. It is anticipated that driver Stroll will move to Force India to join father Stroll, either later this season or for the beginning of 2019. That leaves current Force India pilot Esteban Ocon looking for a ride, something he deserves to get.

August 26: GP of Belgium at Spa (13)

The circuit at Spa is one of the most famous and beloved (by both drivers and fans) in Formula 1. Winning here means a lot, perhaps more than even at Monaco. At 4.4 miles, the track is the longest on the calendar, and it is ultra-fast. Pirelli supplied the medium, soft, and super-soft tires for the 44 lap test of speed and endurance.

The Ferraris, sporting an updated power package, were clearly quickest in the three Practice sessions, with the Red Bulls (and their underpowered Renault propulsion) off the pace. Mercedes was second best. To add to Mercedes’ woes, Bottas had to change the power unit in his car, and he (along with Hulkenberg of Renault) was relegated to starting at the back. Then, Qualifying threw a curve ball. It was cool and windy, and rain seemed inevitable. When would it arrive? The skies opened up just as the cars were coming on track for Q3, and no one set a fast time before the track was so wet as to preclude that. The cars came in for intermediate tires, but nothing could be done to change their aero-settings for the maximum downforce demanded by the conditions…They tried again but again failed to set quick lap times. Then, as quickly as it arrived, the rain was gone, the clouds dissipated, and the track dried. This led to a mad scramble to change tires and get out on track to set fast times. In the confusion, Raikkonen’s car was not ready and he sat in the pits fuming while the others were driving. Vettel too seemed unprepared. Meanwhile, Hamilton and the Force India duo were on track and going fast. When it was over, the starting order looked a bit strange: Hamilton, Vettel, the Force India duo of Ocon and Perez, Grosjean (Haas), Raikkonen, Verstappen, Ricciardo, and Magnussen (Haas).

Race day was cool and cloudy, but no rain was forecast. All of the top 10 qualifiers started on the super-soft tires, while the bottom 10 were on the soft rubber. Nico Hulkenberg, starting from the back, got a little over exuberant and caused a massive crash immediately after the start. In the process, Raikkonen and Ricciardo came together, and, after masking gallant efforts to continue, both were forced to retire. However, the carnage did not affect the front runners, where a real battle was in the offing. For a short time, Hamilton, Vettel, Ocon, and Perez going at it hammer-and-thongs, and were actually running pretty much side-by-side, battling for the lead. When things settled down, Vettel was first, followed by Hamilton, Perez, and Ocon. Then the safety car was deployed to address the debris scattered near the start line. When racing resumed on lap 4, the running order was Vettel, Hamilton, Perez, Ocon, Verstappen, and Grosjean, with Bottas still near the back of the field.

With Vettel slowly but surely pulling away from the field, Verstappen’s heroics became the center of attention. He passed Ocon on lap 7, and then did the same to Perez on lap 10. On lap 22 (when the running order was Vettel, Hamilton, Verstappen, Perez, Ocon, and Grosjean), Hamilton was the first to pit for fresh tires. He switched to the softs. Vettel matched the strategy by stopping on lap 23; he also chose the softs. Over the next several laps, most of the front runners also stopped. Bottas, who had started on the soft tires, delayed his stop to lap 30, by which time he had worked his way up to 6th. From this point forward, the race turned into a bit of a parade. Vettel had been faster than Hamilton on the super-soft tires, and he was even quicker on the soft rubber. The Ferrari simply cruised for the second half of the race and won comfortably. Most of the others simply followed, maintaining their positions but not able to mount a challenge on the cars ahead. Only Bottas managed to make any headway. The final order was Vettel, Hamilton, Verstappen, Bottas, Perez, Ocon, Grosjean, and Magnussen.

The Ferraris looked seriously fast at Spa. Absent Raikkonen’s crash, a one-two finish was likely for them. Now the question becomes, can they maintain the speed advantage they showed in Belgium, or will Mercedes produce an updated engine package to challenge the red machines. Next up is Monza, another very fast track. Tune in next week for the next chapter of this drama.

The points situation:

Mercedes 375 Hamilton 231
Ferrari 360 Vettel 214

September 2: GP of Italy (14)

The cars were simply blazing around the 3.6 mile Monza track, hitting 220 mph at the end of the long straight, and averaging better than 160 mph laps. Given these speeds, everyone was using low downforce aero packages, which means higher tire degradation. Pirelli supplied the medium, soft, and super-soft rubber for the 53 lap race. During the Practice sessions, the Force India duo was again near the top of the time sheets – what has gotten into these guys? Meanwhile, the Red Bulls were clearly off the pace, as was to be expected due to the nature of the track and their horsepower deficiency. Ericsson (Alfa Romeo-Sauber) also raised a few eyebrows with a spectacular high-speed crash during Free Practice 2 that saw his car barrel roll down the track, looking much like a stunt aircraft. It seemed amazing that he was unhurt and permitted to continue driving the next day. As is becoming usual, Ricciardo was forced to replace portions of the power unit of his Renault engine, and would start from the back. Hulkenberg (also Renault powered) suffered a similar fate. In the end, though, the Ferraris were the overall fastest during Practice, maintaining the advantage they had shown at Spa the previous week.

Qualifying was cloudy and humid, with rain possible. Top speeds were so fast that teammates were slipstreaming each other to gain the last possible iota of top speed. The times were close and Q3 ended in dramatic fashion with the top four cars all in the same TV frame completing their final, fastest laps. The start order would be Raikkonen, Vettel, Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Grosjean (Haas), and Sainz (Renault). Advantage Ferrari!

Race day was cloudy with a bit of drizzle. All of the top qualifiers were planning only one stop, and all were starting on the super-soft tires. The drivers towards the rear of the field were on the soft tires. It was a highly contested start, with Raikkonen and Vettel side-by-side, and Hamilton, in their combined slipstream, charging fast. Hamilton, looking to pass, and Vettel, looking to block, came together; Vettel spun – disaster!. Luckily, none of the other cars hit him, but Vettel was forced to pit for a new nose, and in the process mounted the soft tires. In the confusion, Verstappen, ever the opportunist, passed Bottas. This incident plus a few others at the start caused the Safety Car to be deployed; when racing resumed Hamilton, again using the slipstream, passed Raikkonen, who returned the favor a moment later. Meanwhile, Vettel and Ricciardo were at the rear of the field, quickly working their way forward. Exciting stuff. After 5 laps the running order was Raikkonen, Hamilton, Verstappen, Bottas, and Grosjean (Haas); Vettel was 16th, Ricciardo 15th.

Scheduled pit stops began on lap 21, with Raikkonen being first to stop. A few laps later, with his engine smoking badly, Ricciardo made an unscheduled stop and retired. Will his wretched luck improve at Renault? Will it be out of the frying pan, into the fire? Soon thereafter, the other leaders, except Bottas, stopped. Now leading the race, but on worn tires, Bottas deliberately blocked Raikkonen’s progress to the advantage of third place Hamilton. Vettel, who had already stopped once, stopped again on lap 32, switching to the super-soft tires for a sprint to the finish. At this point, Bottas, Raikkonen, and Hamilton were nose-to-tail, all being held up by the leading Mercedes on worn out rubber. Raikkonen made several futile efforts to pass, all thwarted by Bottas’ questionable tactics. Bottas finally stopped on lap 36, by which time Raikkonen had damaged his tires running in the Mercedes’ wake and in trying to pass it. With his worn tires, Raikkonen could then not defend against Hamilton, who passed the Ferrari on lap 45. Great strategy by Mercedes, but certainly vexing.

When it was over, the final order was Hamilton, Raikkonen, Bottas, Vettel, Verstappen (who was given a 5 second penalty), Grosjean (Haas), and Ocon (Force India).

So, another opportunity lost. If Ferrari and Vettel finish second – again – in the championships this year, they cannot blame the car. Rather the blame will rest with bad strategy and sometimes poor and sometimes tentative driving. Vettel cruising at the front is a beast; Vettel fighting for position is a lamb.

September 15: GP of Singapore (15)

After a long stint in Europe, the circus moved to the Far East and encountered some real heat. It was hot and humid in this Asian city-state, and the drivers, tires, and cars suffered for it. They don’t run this race after dark for nothing. To make matters worse, the very tight and windy 3.1 mile circuit, much like Monaco, is laid out on city streets with unforgiving concrete barriers everywhere. It too is tough on the cars and the drivers. Pirelli supplied the soft, ultra-soft, and hyper-soft tires. It was so hot that in Free Practice 2 brakes, tires, and even wheels were combusting. Also during FP 2, Vettel bumped a wall a little too hard and spent the remainder of the session in the pits having his car repaired, losing out on valuable information gathering laps.

This week’s big news: Ferrari made it official – Kimi Raikkonen has been demoted to Sauber while Charles Leclerc will be promoted to Raikkonen’s seat at Ferrari, all beginning next year.

Everyone was hoping to complete the race with only one stop, and hoping to start the race on the ultra-soft tires. This was not to be: the hyper-softs were simply too much faster, and all of the front runners were ultimately forced to run them in Q2 (and thereby start the race on them) in order to get into Q3. This called into question whether only one stop was possible, as the anticipated life of the hyper-soft tires was only 15 laps. After a hard fought Qualifying, the start order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Vettel, Bottas, Raikkonen, and Ricciardo.

It was an exciting start, with Vettel challenging both Verstappen and Hamilton for the lead; he managed to make the pass on Verstappen stick and thereby took second place. A couple of accidents in the mid-field caused the Safety Car to be deployed, and racing resumed on lap 4. By lap 10 the running order was Hamilton, Vettel, Verstappen, Bottas, Raikkonen, and Ricciardo, with Hamilton stifling the pace, hoping to make his tires last. Vettel was the first to stop (lap 15); he chose the ultra-soft tires for his second stint and resumed in 7th, behind Verstappen. Hamilton stopped just one lap later, but chose a different strategy. He resumed on the soft tires, so the game was on. Ricciardo delayed his pit stop to lap 27, the last of the top 6 to change tires. On lap 30 the running order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Vettel, Bottas, Raikkonen, and Ricciardo.

As Hamilton continued to set a sluggish pace, the other leaders were running close behind him, which resulted in a bit of excitement as they all began to catch and lap the back-markers. Suddenly, on lap 38, the screen was filled with 6 or 7 (either lapping others or being lapped) cars all fighting for the same bit of track, and it seemed possible that in the confusion Hamilton might be passed by both Verstappen AND Vettel. However, normalcy prevailed and order was restored, and then little happened from then on. The final finishing order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Vettel, Bottas, Raikkonen, and Ricciardo.

Singapore was not a track where Mercedes was seen to have an advantage, yet Hamilton managed to win again. With the season slipping away, the points situation was a cause for sorrow.

Mercedes 415 Hamilton 281
Ferrari 390 Vettel 241

In the background, I hear the tifosi mumbling, ‘Wait ‘til next year.”

September 30: GP of Russia (16)

Mercedes and Red Bull dominated the three Practice sessions, consistently setting the fastest times; meanwhile, the Ferraris were clearly off the pace. Then, during Saturday Qualifying, we learned that both Red Bulls (Ricciardo and Verstappen) were taking engine change penalties and would therefore start 18th and 19th, respectively. Although the Ferraris were clearly improved for Qualifying, these penalties are what vaulted them to the second row of the grid. The starting order was Bottas (somewhat of a surprise), Hamilton, Vettel, Raikkonen, Magnussen (Haas), Ocon (Force India), LeClerc (Sauber), and Perez (Force India). This excellent result by LeClerc demonstrates why Ferrari is so high on him.

Sochi, home of the Russian GP, is quite a beautiful place; it is known as Russia’s vacation spot. The park area surrounding the track was home to the Winter Olympics a few years ago, so it is ultra-modern and littered with stunning architecture. Pirelli supplied the soft, ultra-soft, and hyper-soft (which the teams believed were too soft) tires for the 53 lap race around the 3.6 mile circuit. The top four started on the ultra-softs, while most of the rest started on the soft tires.

When the lights went out, Vettel made a great start, immediately challenging the two Mercedes ahead of him. However, Bottas and Hamilton took side-by-side positions into the first corners, essentially blocking the Ferrari from passing either of them. So, at the end of lap one the order at the front was unchanged: Bottas, Hamilton, Vettel, Raikkonen, and Magnusson. Meanwhile, the spectacular stuff was happening at the back of the field. Verstappen made an incredible start and, with some audacious moves, simply passing other cars left-and-right, was moving up fast. He jumped from 19th to 13th by the end of the first lap! He was 9th by lap 3, 7th by lap 5, and 5th by lap 8. Incredible! His teammate Ricciardo was also moving up the field, but at nowhere near this pace. Also in the field, a raging battle (that would last most of the race) developed over 7th place between Magnusson, Ocon, and Perez. Back at the front, Bottas and Hamilton were slowly pulling away from Vettel, who was driving a fine race but who clearly did not have the pace to challenge the two German cars ahead.

Bottas was the first of the leaders to pit (lap12), followed almost immediately by Vettel (13) and Hamilton (14). For once, the Ferrari strategy worked as Vettel was suddenly in 2nd place, ahead of Hamilton. However, Hamilton immediately caught him and then forced his way passed the Ferrari to reclaim his previous position. It was all very exciting, but not important in the end. Raikkonen was the last of the top four to stop (lap 18), and when he did Verstappen (still on his original soft tires) took the lead of the race. All who made stops at this juncture switched to the soft tires.

Then, the much maligned ‘team orders’ came into play. Bottas was instructed (lap 25) to allow Hamilton to pass him, and complied. Verstappen, still in the lead, made his first stop on lap 43. Although it would have seemed that switching to the hyper-soft tires for the final 10 laps was the strategic move, the Red Bull rejoined the fray (in 5th place) on a new set of ultra-soft tires. At this juncture the running order was Hamilton, Bottas, Vettel, Raikkonen Verstappen, Ricciardo, and Leclerc. Given that the top three were basically running nose-to-tail, with Raikkonen and Verstappen (on virtually new tires) only six and 14 seconds respectively farther back, it looked like an exciting finish was in store. Vettel did mount a challenge to Bottas for second, and Verstappen did make a valiant attempt to catch Raikkonen, but neither succeeded. The final finishing order was Hamilton, Bottas, Vettel, Raikkonen, Verstappen, Ricciardo, and LeClerc.

October 7: GP of Japan (17)

The track at Suzuka is unique; it is the only ‘figure 8’ (with an overpass) circuit on the schedule. It is 3.6 miles and 53 laps long and has hosted some of the most dramatic, tragic, and controversial F1 races in history. Pirelli supplied the medium, soft, and super-soft tires.

Free Practice 1 was run in cool, cloudy conditions, with the Mercedes duo dominating the lap times. Free Practice 3 on Saturday morning was run in warm, humid conditions, and began in wet conditions from overnight rains. Then, more rain interrupted the actual session. In these difficult conditions, Vettel and Raikkonen set times very close to those of Hamilton. Qualifying was also run in variable, changing conditions, with rain again disrupting the proceedings, in the all-important Q3. This time, though, Mercedes won the strategy battle, while Ferrari (and especially Vettel) fumbled the ball. The starting order would be Hamilton Bottas, Verstappen, Raikkonen, Grosjean (Haas), Hartley (Toro Rosso), Gasly (TR), and, finally, Vettel. Ricciardo, you may ask? He had engine related problems (again) and was relegated to 15th.

In addition to dominating the front row, the two Mercedes managed to qualify, and therefore start, on the longer lived soft tires, while most of the others were starting on the super-softs. When the lights went out, it was clear that Vettel was irate and on a mission: he passed 2 cars in the first 5 seconds of the race, and a few corners later forced his way past Grosjean for 5th. Then, Verstappen and Raikkonen bumped each other, which allowed Vettel to dart by his teammate to take 4th. The incident was blamed on Verstappen who was given a 5 second penalty, meaning that Vettel was now essentially 3rd. At lap 4 the running order was Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen (penalty not yet served), Vettel, and Raikkonen. Ricciardo was up to 11th. Vettel immediately began an assault on Verstappen, and tried to pass him on lap 9. Verstappen, a driver who simply refuses to cede a position, even to a clearly faster car, closed the door and the two bumped; so Verstappen had managed to touch both Ferraris! Unfortunately, Vettel came out the worse for the incident, and dropped to the very back of the field (19th). Meanwhile, Ricciardo continued to move up; he was fifth by lap 15, when the running order was Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Raikkonen, and Ricciardo.

Raikkonen was the first to stop for fresh rubber (lap 28), opting for the medium tires, which were projected to last 40 laps, meaning they should be OK to finish the race. He returned in 10th place, but on new tires moved up quickly; he was 7th by lap 21. Verstappen was next to stop (lap 22); he served his 5 second penalty and chose the soft tires. Both Mercedes and Ricciardo stopped on lap 24, indicating that the soft tires they had started on would not last much longer than the super-softs the others had started on. Vettel was the last of the fast guys to pit, delaying his stop to lap 27, and opting for the soft tires. He rejoined in 15TH and was thereby forced to work his way through the field again. The next 10 laps saw many exciting battles throughout the field, with cars on different tires and on tires of different ages battling for positions and points. Vettel’s progress through the field was quite astonishing, he commandeered 6th place (passing 9 cars) before the fray concluded with the final finishing order Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Ricciardo, Raikkonen, and Vettel.

October 21: GP of the United States (18)

And God said ‘let there be rain.’ It was cold, wet, and rainy in Texas the entire week leading up to the race weekend. Then it rained some more on Friday, and it was cloudy and cold on Saturday, disrupting Practice and Qualifying. These very un-Texas-like conditions prevented the teams from gathering tire wear and speed information. It didn’t, however, prevent the FIA from giving Vettel a 3 grid spot penalty for failing to sufficiently slow down during Free Practice 2 for a red flag.

Pirelli supplied the soft, super-soft, and ultra-soft tires for the 56 lap race on the 3.4 mile circuit, but on Friday and Saturday the wets and intermediates were the tires most often being used.

There was no rain during Qualifying, but the weather remained cloudy, windy, and cold. Verstappen (Red Bull) suffered a suspension failure, likely because he had been too aggressive riding over the curbs, during Q1, and then was given a 5 spot grid penalty for repairing the mess. He would start 18th. When all was said and done, the times at the front were incredibly close. Hamilton was quickest by 0.06 second over Vettel, who was 0.01 second quicker than Raikkonen in 3rd. After Vettel was assessed his penalty, the starting order became Hamilton, Raikkonen (who was staring on the ultra-soft tires while most others had opted for the super-softs), Bottas, Ricciardo, Vettel, and Ocon (Force India).

Race day dawned clear, sunny, and warm, meaning that all of the data gathered the previous two days was worthless. The consensus opinion was that the tires would be short lived, and that two stops might be needed. Hamilton made a bold move to block Raikkonen at the start, but Kimi, on his stickier tires and with no championship to lose, just motored ahead and took the lead; meanwhile, Vettel passed Ricciardo, who fought back leading to an encounter between the front wheels of the two cars. Ricciardo went on his merry way, but Vettel spun, naturally, and resumed at the rear of the field. More bad luck. At lap 2 the order was Raikkonen, Hamilton, Bottas, and Ricciardo. Verstappen was already up to 9th, while Vettel was 13th. Kimi seemed quite comfortable in the lead, perhaps because he was on the faster ultra-soft tires. But it was Hamilton who seemed to be having tire issues, not Raikkonen as would have been expected.

On lap 9, Ricciardo suffered yet another engine malfunction and retired at the side of the track, bringing out the Safety Car. This prompted Hamilton to pit early for new rubber (going with the softs, which seemed unlikely to have enough life to finish the race). However, when Hamilton rejoined in 3rd place, not far behind Bottas in second, his strategy looked brilliant. Racing resumed on lap 12, with the order at the front Raikkonen, Bottas, Hamilton (the only leader who had changed tires), Verstappen, and Vettel.

By lap 15, Raikkonen’s ultra-soft tires were fading, allowing Hamilton to catch the race leader and begin to pressure to pass. Raikkonen refused to give an inch, and some exciting racing ensued with Hamilton unable to follow the Ferrari closely enough (because of turbulence) to get past. This continued for many laps, which likely took a toll on Hamilton’s fresh tires. Raikkonen finally stopped on lap 21, switching to the soft tires. On the other hand, Verstappen stopped on lap 23 and opted to continue on the super-softs. Vettel, meanwhile, delayed his stop until lap 27, becoming the last of the front runners to pit. At that point the running order was Hamilton, Raikkonen, Verstappen, Bottas, and Vettel, with Hamilton’s tires already showing distress and Raikkonen, on newer tires, closing fast. On lap 37, Hamilton stopped for new tires once again, handing the lead to Raikkonen. At lap 41 the running order was Raikkonen, Verstappen, Hamilton (now on the freshest tires), Bottas, and Vettel, with all the leaders not far apart, and with Verstappen catching Raikkonen, Hamilton catching Verstappen, and Vettel catching Bottas. We were poised for an excellent finish.

Hamilton was the first to attempt a pass, challenging Verstappen for second. They fought tooth-and-nail, wheel-to-wheel for a quarter lap, but in the end Verstappen fought off the challenge. Excellent! Meanwhile, as those two were in a battle for second, Raikkonen was able to build up a bit of a lead and essentially cinch the victory. Then, it was Vettel’s turn to get bold. He mounted an attack on Bottas and managed to make a pass stick with a great move, again excellent stuff. So, once the dust had settled, the finish order was Raikkonen, Verstappen, Hamilton, Vettel, and Bottas.

This, my friends, was an epic motor race.

October 28: GP of Mexico (19)

This track is at high (8,000 feet +/-) altitude, thus there is no air in the air. That means reduced downforce, power, and cooling, both for engine and brakes. It also means lower air resistance, meaning higher speeds. Reduced downforce means the cars squirm around, meaning faster tire degradation. In other words, a lot of variables!

In response, Pirelli supplied the super-soft, ultra-soft, and hyper-soft (which were generally deemed useless) tires for the 71 lap race over the 2.7 mile track. What?? These 3 compounds are the softest and least durable. The teams used Free Practice 1 and 2 mostly to gather tire data and finalize aero setup on the cars. This was fortuitous as FP 3 was run in wet conditions, with little to be learned. The Adrian Newey designed Red Bulls are unquestionably the most aero efficient of the cars, and they showed it by dominating the lap times in these unusual conditions.

It was cloudy, cool, and foggy for Qualifying. The big 6 all ran Q2 on the ultra-soft tires (longer lived then the hyper-softs), so that they could start the race on them; they succeeded in passing through to Q3 on that rubber. Some of the others opted for the hyper-softs, while some others chose the super-soft rubber, going for the long game strategy. The order at the front was unusual, but to be expected given the times that had been set in Practice: Ricciardo, Verstappen, Hamilton, Vettel, Bottas, and Raikkonen.

Race day was warmer, and attracted a huge crowd of well over 100,000. One strange rendition of the Mexican national anthem was performed, with two short intermissions, music dominated by trumpets and drums, and a huge chorus of singing children.

When the race began, Hamilton immediately passed Ricciardo, who made a terrible start, and then Bottas drove off track. Raikkonen also made a poor start and dropped to 7th place. At lap 3, once things had settled down, the order was Verstappen, Hamilton, Ricciardo, Vettel, Bottas, and Raikkonen. But, by lap 10, Hamilton’s tires were fading, allowing Ricciardo to press for second place. Hamilton and Bottas pitted on lap 12, both choosing to continue on the super-soft rubber (the hardest available). The two Red Bulls stopped immediately after the Mercedes, and were soon challenging for the lead, prompting both Ferraris to head for the pits and new rubber. At lap 20 he running order was the same as it had been at lap 3.

At this point, with some 50 laps to go, the front runners were pacing their cars, trying to save their tires so that another stop would not be required. Vettel, however, was the exception to the rule. With the championship still possible, but slipping way, he threw caution to the wind and challenged Ricciardo for third place. He passed Ricciardo on lap 34, and then caught and passed Hamilton for second place on lap 39. Then he was on Verstappen’s tail, pushing for the lead. A few laps later, Ricciardo also caught Hamilton, whose second set of tires were fading fast; he managed to get by the Mercedes on lap 47. This was some exciting stuff. All of this speed meant that everyone’s tires were dying, and both Vettel and Hamilton made second pit stops on lap 48, with both choosing the ultra-soft rubber. On lap 49 Raikkonen joined the ‘let’s pass a Mercedes club’, disposing of Bottas for 4th. Immediately thereafter, race leader Verstappen and Bottas both stopped for the second time, meaning that Ricciardo and Raikkonen were the only two of the leaders who had not made a second stop.

All of this chaos created some interesting battles through the end of the 71 lap race, with drivers on different rubber, newer and older rubber, and different strategies. Ricciardo’s engine failed on lap 62 (can this guy catch a break?) producing a finishing order of Verstappen, Vettel, Raikkonen (who made only one stop), Hamilton, Bottas, and Hulkenberg (Renault).

This clinched Hamilton’s fifth world championship and a place for him among the immortals. The guy is in the wrong car (go red, my man), but he sure can drive.

November 11: GP of Brazil (20)

Pirelli supplied the medium, soft, and super-soft tires for the 71 lap race at the famous, and famously fast, 2.7 mile Interlagos circuit. Soon after Practice began, the fast guys were lapping in just over one minute…what is this? NASCAR?

Rain was forecast for Qualifying, so everyone was out on the track at the turn of the lights, hoping to get a fast lap in before the skies opened, which happened about halfway through Q1 and continued intermittingly through Q3. The Ferraris managed to officially qualify on the soft tires, while most of the others were on the super-softs. This was seen as an advantage, as the super-soft rubber was expected to have a half-life of about 10 laps. The top 6 qualified as follows: Hamilton, Vettel (with the threat of a ridiculous penalty that never materialized), Bottas, Raikkonen, Verstappen, and Ricciardo (who would start 10th due to a change of gearbox penalty…can this guy catch a break?).

The sun finally made an appearance on race day and in response the rabid Brazilian race fans turned out by the bazillions. The grandstands were packed. Bottas, with the tire advantage, passed Vettel at the start, and Verstappen (also with the tire advantage) worked his magic to pass Raikkonen and Vettel a few moments later. Then Raikkonen passed Vettel, and Ricciardo was rocketing up through the field, so there was a lot of action at the front. At lap 6 the running order was Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Raikkonen, Vettel, and Ricciardo.

By lap 10, the super-soft tires that all were running except the Ferraris were beginning to fade, meaning that the Ferraris now had the tire advantage. Unfortunately, although Verstappen managed to get by Bottas, Bottas succeeded in holding up everyone else, especially the now fastest in the field Ferraris. He finally pitted for fresh tires on lap 19, finally letting the faster cars behind him through. Hamilton stopped for fresh tires on lap 20. Both the Mercedes were now on the mediums. On lap 20 the running order was Verstappen, Raikkonen, Vettel, and Ricciardo, with Hamilton 7th and Bottas 9th.

The Ferraris pitted on about lap 30, but the Red Bulls continued to run on their original tires, and were now leading the field. They finally stopped for new tires on about lap 38, going to the softs rather than the mediums, as Mercedes had done. After rejoining the fray, Verstappen on his faster, newer tires quickly caught and passed Hamilton, whose second set of tires were already fading. At lap 40, the running order was Verstappen, Hamilton (fading fast), Bottas (also fading), Raikkonen, Vettel, and Ricciardo.

Then, something strange happened. Ocon (Force India) made a second stop, which put him directly behind (but a lap down) race leader Verstappen. Suddenly the fastest car in the field on spanking new rubber, Ocon made a move to pass Verstappen and un-lap himself. But, rather than let the unimportant Force India by, Verstappen challenged the pass and a collision resulted, sending Verstappen momentarily off track and allowing Hamilton to pass him. In the remaining laps, Ricciardo battled and passed Vettel, and then passed Bottas as well, Raikkonen passed Bottas, Vettel made one more pit stop to put himself out of contention, and Ricciardo passed Bottas. With only 4 seconds covering the top 4, the final order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Raikkonen, Ricciardo, Bottas, and Vettel.

With this result, Mercedes-Benz won the manufacturers’ championship.

November 25: GP of Abu Dhabi (21)

Pirelli supplied the super-soft, ultra-soft, and hyper-soft tires for this late evening race (the last of the season), at the Yas Marina track (3.4 miles, 55 laps) in the United Arab Emirates. Qualifying was noteworthy for two things: no grid penalties for a change and ultra-competitive times from the top 6. The start order would be Hamilton, Bottas, Vettel, Raikkonen, Ricciardo, and Verstappen, with all six posting times within 0.8 second. Five of the top 6 started on the ultra-soft tires, with Verstappen on the (faster/shorter lived) hyper-soft rubber. The rest of the field was divided between all 3 of the tire choices.

Verstappen made a poor start, and immediately dropped to 10th place. Meanwhile, Leclerc passed Ricciardo, and Hulkenberg (Renault) had a huge accident that brought out the safety car. When racing resumed on lap 5, Verstappen embarked on an epic battle to pass the two Force Indias ahead of him, which was a pleasure to see. Unfortunately, Raikkonen’s Ferrari died on lap 7, leading to Hamilton and many in the mid-field (including Leclerc) to take the resulting virtual safety car period as an opportunity to pit for new rubber. At lap 10 the running order was Bottas, Vettel, Ricciardo, Verstappen, Hamilton, and Ocon, with only Hamilton having made a stop. Most of the others in the lead group stopped for new tires (super-softs) between laps 15 and 20, with race-leader Ricciardo being the noteworthy exception. He delayed his stop to lap 34, but also chose to proceed on the super-soft tires. As a result, the running order at lap 35 was Hamilton (on the oldest tires), Bottas, Vettel, Verstappen, and Ricciardo (with brand new shoes), with everyone in close proximity. Then the passing began, and it was exciting. Bottas’ tires were fading which allowed first Vettel, and then Verstappen, and finally Ricciardo to force themselves by the slowing Mercedes. Then, this trio tracked down race-leader Hamilton, but it proved impossible for them to get by. The final finishing order was Hamilton, Vettel (only 3 seconds back), Verstappen, Ricciardo, and Bottas.

The final points tally:

Drivers Manufacturers
Hamilton 408 Verstappen 249 Mercedes GP 655
Vettel 320 Bottas 247 Ferrari 571
Raikkonen 251 Ricciardo 170 Red Bull Racing 419

F1 RECAP – 2018

Another year goes into the books without a championship for Ferrari. How long has it been now…10 years? 12? Longer? What really hurts is that 2018 was a year that Ferrari could have won the championship(s), maybe even should have won them. It was all foiled by poor strategy, bad luck, and a bit of stubbornness.

When the season opened an eternity ago, there was little to choose between the Ferraris and the Mercedes. It was essentially a dead heat between them in terms of overall performance. Given that Hamilton is probably a touch faster than Vettel that meant that Ferrari’s car was just a bit better. This conclusion is reinforced by the fact that Raikkonen, in the second Ferrari, was clearly faster than Bottas in the second Mercedes. It is also verified by the fact that Ferrari, with some good strategy, jumped to an early lead in the points. In fact, Ferrari’s lead should have been greater than what it was, but no matter, a lead in the points was an occasion to celebrate.

Then, with 3 or 4 races in the books, Mercedes struck back. The factory put out a set of improvements that erased Ferrari’s advantage and gave the edge to the German team. With the edge back to Mercedes, the pressure at Ferrari was up and they responded poorly, making several tactical errors concerning tire and pit stop strategy that proved disastrous. Over the course of the next several races, Mercedes clawed its way up the point ladders, and suddenly Ferrari’s early lead was gone. But the Italians were not ready to throw in the towel. Instead, Ferrari delivered its own improved parts, and suddenly, at race 10 in England, the advantage swung heavily back to the red cars. The Ferraris were clearly superior at Silverstone, and in the following several races (Germany, Hungary, Belgium, and Italy), but they didn’t get the points boost they deserved. Vettel did win in England, but Hamilton was second. Poor strategy and a big error by Vettel handed the German race to Hamilton, with Vettel scoring a big fat zero. Rain during Qualifying in Hungary led to a poor start position for Vettel, which undermined his race, allowing Hamilton to take the win. Vettel dominated in Belgium, but Hamilton finished second; an accident at the start doomed Vettel in Italy; he finished fourth while Hamilton won. So after 5 races in which the Ferraris were clearly the fastest cars, Mercedes actually increased their point leads.

Then, things got worse for Ferrari. Additional ‘improvements’ provided by the factory turned out to be just the opposite. The team’s failure to acknowledge this led to the ‘improvements’ being used for longer than they should have been. And, suddenly, the advantage on track swung back to Mercedes; the German cars were now fastest and they stretched their lead. Ferrari righted the ship in the last few races, but never really recovered. It was too little, too late.

With the 2018 season in the books and fading in memory, we must bid a fond farewell to Kimi Raikkonen who had an excellent career with the Scuderia. While the Finn was often abrupt, terse, and curt, he provided a certain sense of humor to the proceedings that no one else could seem to manage. His fans, especially those in Europe and Asia, loved him. And he was a top-notch driver, winning one championship, and nearly a second. He will be driving the Sauber-Alfa Romeo next year, and likely will be making some noise.

So, enough of the past 6 months. Forward we go – the future awaits. Lets all have a great 2019.
Happy New Year

John Ratto

The Ratto Report – FCLV 2018 Biannual Review 1

The Ratto Report
FCLV 2018 Biannual
Review 1

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Opening Commentary

We open 2018 in pretty good shape considering the divisiveness that grips the country. Is Trump doing an ‘A’ job, or an ‘F’ job? Those seem to be the only choices. Meanwhile, the economy seems to be doing well (always a plus for a luxury goods manufacturer like Ferrari) and the stock market (spurred by tax revisions) is up big since the new president took office (another plus for Ferrari). However, success seems to have emboldened Trump to take some strong and controversial positions concerning tariffs which have caused some turmoil in the markets and some loss in economic confidence. And, allegations of impropriety (of little importance to me) and collusion (more important) continue. So, once again, we are all waiting to see the outcome of all this to-do.

In retrospect, it seems clear that the market for classic Ferraris peaked about 2-3 years ago, and has undergone a 10-15% correction since. This correction is likely a good thing so that a bubble was averted. Confidence in the market is evidenced by the fact that prices have remained stable now for the past 18 months, or so.

With that in mind, here is a recap of what transpired in the first half of 2018. We sincerely hope you were able to attend a few of these events, and that you will attend some future events over the next few months. Meanwhile, don’t forget to visit our NEW! IMPROVED! website at ferrariclubvegas.com for the latest news and information.

January 16: Board Meeting at the home of Dave and Elda Fanucchi

With 6 Board members (Chuck Damus, Elda Fanucchi, Ted Schlazer, Dan and Jan Fogle, and John Ratto) present, we had a good turn-out. New Board member Jan Fogle was seated as secretary and Elda Fanucchi was repositioned to event chairperson. Several non-Board members also attended, as they (and you!) are always welcome to do. Our financial situation was discussed, with an increase in the bottom line noted. It was especially nice to see that the Holiday Party generated some income. Other than that, the subject matter was the same as it has been for the previous several meetings: creating and selling merchandise to generate income, new members, past events (including the Holiday Party which all deemed a huge success and for which we thank the efforts of our Dealer – Towbin Motorcars), future drives and other events, and the progress of the Website, which is mostly complete and ready to be used. The next Board meeting was scheduled for March at the Bravo Cuccina Italiana in the Galleria Mall.

January 25: Social at Brio in Town Square

A good turnout was experienced despite the cold and blustery weather, and the rampant flu bug that forced several members to cancel attending at the last moment. The popular restaurant was quite crowded on a Thursday evening, so the atmosphere was festive and a nice evening was had by all.

February 22: Social at Mastrioni’s Italian Restaurant on Hualapai

By all reports, it was an excellent turnout and an animated evening of good food, excellent wine, and fine conversation at this local hot spot, known for its gourmet Italian cuisine and high priced wines. It might have even been better if the persistent flu bug had not reduced our numbers (we were part of the group that called in sick this time).

March 13: Board Meeting at Bravo Cucina Italiana in the Galleria Mall

With 6 Board members in attendance, along with 4-5 regular members to boot, we had a stellar turnout. In fact, it seemed like half the entire club was there, and more like a social than a Board meeting, especially since this is such a nice restaurant with quite good food. If you are looking for a nice affordable Italian place, check Bravo Cucina Italiana out. Most of the meeting was devoted to discussion on updating and maintaining the website (ferrariclubvegas.com – check it out), our relationship with Towbin Motorcars (our dealer), and future events and activities. One of the attending members, Gentille Chhun, presented an idea being considered by several Hollywood producers for a series of TV lifestyle programs centering on the Ferrari mystique. This was discussed and we generally agreed to participate, with further discussions and considerations to be held if the concept develops toward reality. Sounds interesting!

March 22: Social at The Bootlegger

After an extended period of mingling at the bar during which everyone ‘got in the mood,’ our large group moved in for the main course. A highlight of the evening was Oz passing around a phot of his 20 year-old self beside a 1948 Buick, his first car. Then, he passed around another photo of his present self with the same car, which he still owns. Wow! In the investing world that is known as a maximum buy-and-hold strategy.

April 22: Concorso Ferrari in Pasadena

After two disappointing years with little participation by the older, classic Ferrari models, this year saw a spectacular turn out of a massive number of ‘the greats.’ There were numerous examples of 250 Series 2 PF Cabriolets, 250 GT Lussos, 275 GTBs, 330 GTCs, and Daytonas and Dinos. Then there were a few real rarities: an exquisite Series 1 250 PF Cabriolet, certainly a one-off, a Vignale bodied 212, and even a 166 coupe (one of the very first Ferraris ever built). For the younger crowd, there were the modern supercars: several 288 GTOs, at least one F40 and one F50, a couple of Enzos, and a slew of La Ferraris (open and closed). In all, these lovelies made up about a third of the 150+ cars on display. The others were your run-of-the-mill (by Ferrari standards anyway) 308s, 328s, 360s, 550s, etc. Most impressive and I have to take my hat off to our brethren of the Southwest Region for making this happen. Bravo! Forza! To boot, the 328 GTS owned by one of our members, Lindsey Freeman, kicked butt and took names to the tune of 99 points (of a possible 100) in the tough FCA judging.

In short, if you missed this one, you missed a great show. And, admission was free.

April 26: Social at the Italian-American Club

We had a strong turn-out of nearly 20 members for this excursion into the world of fine Italian dining. We began with drinks at the commodious bar, and then moved to a private VIP room set aside for our group. The food was excellent and moderately priced, and the service was spot-on. The conversation was animated and jovial. A fine evening was had by all.

April 29: Drive to Seven Magic Mountains and the Pioneer Saloon

On a perfect late April Las Vegas morning, 13 members set forth in their intrepid steeds to visit one of Las Vegas’ lesser known, but most interesting, attractions, the Seven Magic Mountains, a massive display of modern art just 8 miles south of the M Resort. After some photos, and a few hijinks, the group saddled back up and drove to the Pioneer Saloon in Goodsprings for a fine lunch and one or two high octane jots to their tanks. Everyone seemed to have a great time, as is evidenced by the photos displayed on our website (go to NEWS and then DRIVES).

Late April/Early May: Michael Obradovich

We were stunned to learn that Michael Obradovich, a guy who seemed hale and hearty, had suffered a stroke. Michael chose to counter this setback the way he does everything – full tilt. As a result, it now seems that he has overcome the malady and is well on the way to a full recovery. We all send our prayers and well wishes to Michel and his wife, Karen, for a speedy recovery.

May 8: Board Meeting at the Home of Jan and Dan Fogle

We thank Dan and Jan for hosting the Board. Several guests attended to spice up the proceedings, but the usual issues, including ways to generate income and potential future events (including the upcoming drive to Echo Bay), dominated the discussion. Website maintenance costs were also addressed, and it was noted that our Chapter has several new members.

May 20: Drive to Lake Mead – Echo Bay and Lunch at Lake Las Vegas

Las Vegas is a place where nothing stays the same – we all know that. But, sometimes the changes are so fast and furious (would that make a good name for a movie franchise, maybe one about fast cars and street racing, I wonder) that it is impossible to stay ahead of them. Our first starting point was pre-empted by the Electronic Daisy Festival. Our planned route was pre-empted by the EDC and Project Neon road closures. In response, to avoid these snafus, we completely revised the drive, and in the process changed the original destination from The Valley of Fire to Echo Bay. So, a disaster, right? Nope, it was a great event even though only 4 cars participated. The road along the Lake was deserted, virtually no traffic and no smokies. And the temperature, which could have easily been over 100 degrees, was in the low 90s. The cars all ran without fault. And, everyone gave a big thumbs up to the food at our lunch spot, Luna Rossa in Lake Las Vegas. A good event to close out Spring 2018.

May 31: Social at Table 34

We had a strong turnout (15 – 20) for this social at one of the Club’s favorite restaurants. As usual, we started with appetizers (delicious and kindly provided by Table 34) on the patio. A bit later, we judged the evening so pleasant that the attendees voted 100% to also have dinner al-fresco. Everyone seemed to love the food and congenial conversation – a good time was had by all.

But the real highlight of the evening was the attendance of Michael Obradovich and his wife Karen. Only a month after suffering his stroke, Michael looked great and seemed to be in excellent spirits. We all welcome him back and wish him well in his path to a 100% recovery.

UPCOMING EVENTS

Socials will resume in September, after the heat of summer is a fading memory. The big Columbus Day event at Siena Restraint should be in mid-October. Meanwhile, be sure to visit our new website for the latest information. FerrariClubVegas.com

WRAP UP – JANUARY THROUGH JUNE 2018

We have all survived another 6 months, relatively unscathed. Despite many dire predictions, life and society are moving forward in measured steps and the sky has not fallen. The stock market is at about the same level as it was in January, and I don’t think many would have predicted that.

So, everything is progressing well except for this nasty TRADE WAR thing that seems to be the new, number one issue of discussion.

FORMULA 1 NEWS RECAP

Introduction to the 2018 F1 season

The word emanating from testing in Spain was that the cars are faster than ever (when it wasn’t snowing!), and that the top teams are very close. As two weeks of testing drew to a close, Mercedes still looked like top dog, but Ferrari and Red Bull were hot on their tail. It seemed a different manufacturer ‘won’ each practice session. Sound familiar? Yes, that’s basically what I said last year. But, that should make you happy because 2017 was a great, competitive year on track. In fact, at the midpoint of 2017 I said, “This is one of the best seasons in recent memory.” So, let’s have more of that in 2018 – with Ferrari on top this time! Then, on the penultimate day of testing, Vettel, in the Ferrari, set what would be the fastest overall time of all. Then, on the last day of practice, Raikkonen, in the second Ferrari, set the second fastest overall time (just 4/100 of a second slower than Vettel). This doesn’t mean a lot, but it is certainly better than not having the fastest times. The other big news concerns McLaren’s switch to Renault engines, which (along with top driver Fernando Alonso) should bring a perennial powerhouse back to the front of the field. Also, Pirelli has added a new tire compound, the hyper-softs, which is even softer than the ultra-softs (super-hyper-ultra-soft tires will be coming next year).

Another big change – F1 is on a different network this year. ESPN will be our new provider, and it is different. The announcers (with Martin Brundle and someone known as ‘Crofty?’ in the booth) and Paul De Resta doing commentary) with Martin Brundle are different, the graphics and the music are different, the F1 logo is different. Leigh Diffey is gone. David Hobbs and Steve Matchet are gone. It all feels younger and hipper. Strangely, ESPN butchered the first race of the season with commercials, and then broadcast the next races with virtually no commercials at all. Have no fear as to what may transpire on this front though; you can always find kindred souls at Siena on Sunday mornings watching Qualifying and the races – with the commercials deleted!

This year will see 21 races, tying 2016 for most ever. While the Malaysian GP has been removed from the schedule, GPs have been added in France and Germany, two stalwarts that have been absent in recent years. The race in the US will be run on October 21.

As for changes concerning the cars and drivers, there are a few including two rookie drivers. The Saubers are now the Alfa-Romeo Saubers, with corresponding Alfa-Romeo livery and (again) with Ferrari engines; the Red Bulls are now the Aston Martin Red Bulls. Toro Rosso has switched to Honda engines, the only team that will be using them. Rookie drivers include Frenchman Charles Leclerc (the highly regarded, reigning F2 champion who will team up with Marcus Ericsson at A-R Sauber) and Russian Sergey Sirotkin, who will join last year’s impressive rookie, Lance Stroll, at Williams-Mercedes, which performed terribly at Barcelona testing. Last year’s new comers, Pierre Gasly and Brandon Hartley will drive for Toro Rosso. Felipe Massa is retired; Daniel Kvyat has been banished to the minor leagues. There are still 20 cars in the field.

Oh, and one more thing: the cars have some sort of a protective frame (called the Halo) in front of and around the driver’s cockpit for additional protection. It looks really, really weird, almost as strange as Sebastian Vettel’s new punk-rock haircut.

March through June: F1 Viewing at Siena and other venues

March 25: GP of Australia (1)

Pirelli supplied the soft, super-soft, and ultra-soft tires for the 58 lap race around the 3.3 mile circuit in Melbourne. It didn’t matter much as everyone was on the intermediate wet tires for most of the rain plagued practice sessions. Despite treacherous conditions, local favorite Daniel Ricciardo (Red Bull) managed to earn a 3 grid spot penalty for failing to slow sufficiently quickly for a red flag. Meanwhile, the Red Bulls, along with the McLarens, looked to be fasted in the wet.

It was sunny and cool for Qualifying, and the times were very close, with Ferrari and Mercedes quickest in Q1 and Q2, followed closely by Red Bull-Renault and Haas-Ferrari!, our own American team (as Jim Nabors would say, ‘surprise-surprise!’). Bottas in the Mercedes had a massive shunt at the start of Q3, and was out of the fray. To add insult to injury, he damaged his transmission in the crash and was penalized 5 grid spots (to 15th) for changing it. His mechanics did manage to repair the car so that he could participate in the race. With Qualifying drawing to a close, Hamilton did a ‘perfect’ lap and grabbed the pole while Vettel made a small mistake and had to settle for third. The starting order would be Hamilton, Raikkonen, Vettel, Verstappen (Red Bull), Magnussen and Grosjean (both for Haas), and Ricciardo (demoted to 7th as a result of the aforementioned penalty). The Red Bulls opted to start on the super-soft tires while every other team chose the ultra-softs.

Race day brought out the famous Australian sunshine and it was very warm, quite different conditions than during Practice or Qualifying. The start was tight and highly contested, but there were no collisions and the running order remained unchanged at the end of lap 1, except that Magnussen in the Haas passed Verstappen for 4th place. Of greater significance, after the first few laps were completed, Hamilton was not pulling away from the Ferraris, and the leaders were not pulling away from the rest of the field. The top 7 or 8 cars were all running at pretty much the same pace. Perhaps of even greater importance, Bottas was still mired in 15th. Was his rebuilt car having problems? Or, have the Mercedes lost their advantage over the field? Very interesting.

After 10 laps were in the books, the running order remained Hamilton, Raikkonen, Vettel, Magnussen, Verstappen, Grosjean, and Ricciardo, all running relatively close together. Bottas, meanwhile, had moved up to 13th, not much progress. On lap 18, Raikkonen was the first to stop for fresh rubber, switching to the soft tires, which everyone believed would make it to the end of the race. Hamilton and Verstappen stopped for tires in the next few laps (also choosing to go with the softs), leaving Vettel in the lead over Hamilton (about 13 seconds behind) and Raikkonen (a few seconds behind Hamilton) and the two Haas-Ferraris (several seconds farther back). Then, starting on lap 23, both the Haas cars stopped, and all hell broke loose. First, Magnussen stopped, rejoined the fray, discovered that one of his wheel nuts had not been properly tightened, and parked his car at the side of the track. Then, two laps later, the exact same calamity hit Grosjean in the other Haas. Faulty air gun(s)? Faulty wheel nuts? Idiots in the pits? Whatever the cause(s), it was a cruel blow to Haas, which was experiencing its finest hour ever. And, there were now two cars stranded beside the track. Consequently, the Virtual Safety Car was deployed (lap 26).

Naturally, Vettel pitted for tires (softs) immediately and, because Hamilton was going so slowly on track to conform to the requirements of the VSC, he was able to rejoin still in the lead! Riccardo also pitted (softs) and also gained an advantage over the cars ahead of him. Then, the real Safety Car was deployed and the field bunched up behind it, which gave a further advantage to the Red Bulls who by this time had dropped some distance behind the leaders. When real racing resumed on lap 31, the running order, all nose-to-tail, was Vettel, Hamilton, Raikkonen, Ricciardo, Alonzo (McLaren), and Verstappen. With the retirement of both Haas cars, Bottas jumped to 9th.

From that point to the end of the race, it was advantage Vettel. Running in clear air and on fresher tires, he was able to hold off Hamilton despite Hamilton’s ability to use the DRS to gain a speed advantage on the straights. Hamilton mounted a few challenges, but he never got close to passing Vettel. He eventually had to drop back to preserve his tires, and at the end of the race was being pressured by Raikkonen for second. The final outcome was Vettel, Hamilton, Raikkonen, Ricciardo, Alonso – in the rejuvenated McLaren, Verstappen, Hulkenberg (Renault), and Bottas. Rookie Charles Leclerc, driving quickly and smartly, managed 13th in the A-R Sauber-Ferrari,

The Australian Grand Prix was great for Ferrari…and not so great for cars powered by Mercedes engines. Yes, Hamilton finished second, but Bottas had a most difficult time working his way up the field after starting 15th. Last year he would have finished 4th, not 8th. The Force India-Mercedes cars were a threat for podium finishes last year; they were far off the pace in Australia, qualifying poorly and finishing out of the points entirely. The Williams-Mercedes were back-markers in Australia, not even in the mid-pack where they ran last year. And, last year, Hamilton, with the superior power of his Mercedes engine and so many laps to do so, would have simply forced his way by Vettel to take the lead and the win. This year in Australia, Vettel was able to defend his position from Hamilton’s advances, and Haas, with Ferrari power, was challenging for the podium. So, this all begs the question: Has the Mercedes engine lost the horsepower advantage it has enjoyed for the past 5 years??

April 8: GP of Bahrain (2)

Pirelli supplied the medium, soft, and super-soft tires for this 57 lap, night race in the hot Middle East. The Ferraris looked to be fastest in the Practice sessions, while the Mercedes looked to be having cooling problems in the heat of the day. To make matters worse for Mercedes (and better for Ferrari), Hamilton was given a 5 grid spot penalty for changing his transmission.

Verstappen in the Red Bull crashed heavily in Q1, and was relegated to 15th on the starting grid. In response to his penalty, Hamilton contested Q2 on the soft tires (everyone else in the top 10 qualified and would start on the super-softs), meaning he would start on the softs, and indicating he planned for a long first stint and a one stop strategy. With the Mercedes cars running better in the cooler evening temperatures and Raikkonen complaining of traffic, the Qualifying order was Vettel, Raikkonen, Bottas, Hamilton (who would start 9th, on the soft tires, after his penalty), Ricciardo, Pierre Gasly (of all people) in the Toro Rosso-Honda (of all cars-engines), and Kevin Magnussen in the Haas (another surprise). The Mercedes powered Force Indias and Williams were non-factors in Qualifying, lending credence to the belief that the Mercedes engine has lost its horsepower advantage. In the post-Qualifying interviews, it was obvious that Vettel was most happy with the characteristics and performance of the car, always good to hear.

Except for Bottas’ pass of Raikkonen in the first corner, the first lap was relatively uneventful. On lap 2, though, Verstappen, who had made an amazing start, tried to push by Hamilton, resulting in a collision and a punctured tire for Verstappen. He had to pit, and immediately thereafter retired from the race due to unspecified issues. His teammate, Ricciardo also parked his Red Bull (electrical gremlins) at about the same time. In response to all the dead Bulls strewn about the track, the Virtual Safety Car was deployed. When racing resumed on lap 4, a series of wheel-to-wheel tussles broke out that were most entertaining to watch. These continued through lap 12, when Magnussen and Alonso were the first to stop for fresh rubber, both switching to the medium compound tires, indicating they planned a one-stop race. By lap 18, Vettel was clearly slowing and having tire problems. In response, he stopped for fresh rubber, opting for the soft tires, indicating he planned a two stop race. This prompted a rash of stops, including Raikkonen on lap 20 (to the softs) and Bottas on lap 21 (mediums). Clearly, the Ferraris and the Mercedes were on different strategies. At lap 22, the running order was Hamilton (no stops), Vettel, Bottas, Raikkonen, and Gasly.

Hamilton, who had started on the soft tires, delayed his pit stop to lap 27. Like his teammate, he also switched to the medium rubber and was good to the end of the race. He rejoined in 4th place and now on the freshest tires of the leaders, began to reel them in. Then, on lap 36 something really bizarre happened. Raikkonen made his second stop and there were problems. A wheel refused to come off…a mechanic was struggling with it…Raikkonen got the signal to go…and the mechanic was smacked (broken leg). (All I can say is that when 2 second pit stops are de-rigour, there will be occasional problems.) When the dust settled, Raikkonen was out and Ferrari decided to switch Vettel’s to a one-stop strategy, meaning he had to go to the end of the race on the soft tires that had been on his car since lap 18. Vettel had the lead, but could he hold it for 20 more laps from his pursuers who were on fresher and more durable tires?

With Vettel now nursing his worn tires and finding it difficult to pass lapped traffic, Bottas and Hamilton began to cut into his lead at about ½ second per lap. Initially, the Mercedes duo was making ground quickly, but then around lap 45 their advantage seemed to lessen, and Vettel’s lead was only diminishing by a few tenths of seconds per lap. Then, finally, on lap 55, Bottas (Hamilton never did mount a real challenge) caught the struggling Ferrari, but even with the advantage of the DRS and far superior tires he could not pass. Vettel wins! The final result was Vettel, Bottas, Hamilton (petulant in the cool-off room), Gasly (Toro Rosso), Magnussen (Haas), Hulkenberg (Renault), and Alonso (McLaren).

This was a tremendously exacting race, with all sorts of cloak-and-dagger plots and a finish for the ages. Vettel’s victory was just sort of miraculous, perhaps something ordained from the Vatican? With two wins in two races, his drive to the championship has had a resounding start. Is this year the ever hoped for ‘next year’ we have been waiting for?

One more note: After my complaints regarding too many commercials during the Australian GP, there were essentially NO commercials during the Practice, Qualifying, or the race this week. Very strange.

April 15: GP of China (3)

Practice sessions were run in cold and windy conditions. The lap times of the top 6 cars (Ferrari, Mercedes, and Red Bull) were very close in P1 and P2. Then, in P3 on Saturday morning, Ricciardo (Red Bull) experienced transmission issues, and then he blew his engine. It looked as if he would not be ready for qualifying that afternoon and therefore be out of the race. In addition, Hamilton had a massive spin (540 degrees) and was lucky not to have damaged his car.

Pirelli supplied the medium, soft, and ultra-soft (skipping the super-soft) tires for the 56 lap race over the 3.4 mile course. This track is known for being abrasive and wearing tires quickly. Either one or two stop strategies were being contemplated. It was still cold, windy, and damp for Qualifying on Saturday afternoon. Ricciardo’s pit crew managed to change engines in the few hours available and have him ready for the final minutes of Q1; he managed to set a quick enough time to squeeze into Q2. Meanwhile, the Ferraris topped the time charts. The Mercedes and Ferraris contested Q2 on the soft tires, meaning they could start the race on them, indicating they planned a one stop strategy. Most of the others, including the Red Bulls, opted to start on the ultra-soft rubber, indicating they planned two stops. Everyone contested Q3 on the ultra-soft tires, and the final order at the front of the grid was no surprise: Vettel, Raikkonen, Bottas, Hamilton, Verstappen, and Ricciardo. The surprise was that the Ferraris were ½ a second (a big margin) faster than the Mercedes.

Sunday was sunny and breezy, much warner than the previous days. The grandstands in Shanghai were notably packed (mainly with Kimi Raikkonen fans), a good sign for the sport in that country and that part of the world. Immediately after the start, Vettel veered hard right and cut off Raikkonen, which seemed a dumb move. In response, Kimi had to back-off, allowing both Bottas and Verstappen to pass him. So, Vettel had opponents instead of a friend behind him. Otherwise, the start was uneventful, and at the end of lap 1 the order was Vettel, Bottas, Verstappen, Raikkonen, Hamilton, and Ricciardo. The order remained the same at lap 10, by which time Vettel had established a three second lead over Bottas (who was applying no pressure to the leader) in second, and Hamilton seemed to be falling progressively farther behind Raikkonen. It looked as if Vettel would win easily at this point. Despite the lack of action at the front, there were several heated battles in the mid-field that were worthy of attention.

Verstappen and Ricciardo, who had started on the ultra-soft tires, were the first of the lead group to stop (lap 18), but Hamilton also stopped on the following lap. Bottas then stopped (a quick one) on lap 20. Rejoining in clean air and on new tires, he proceeded to set a blistering lap (I bet Vettel wished he had Raikkonen between them to ward off Bottas’ charge), and managed to wrest the lead from Vettel who stopped (a slow one) on lap 21. Everyone mentioned switched to the medium tires, indicating all were planning one stop strategies. So, on lap 25, the running order was Raikkonen, who had not stopped, Bottas, Vettel, Verstappen, Hamilton, and Ricciardo. Bottas and Vettel, both on fresh tires, then quickly tracked down Raikkonen and passed him easily (on lap 27) for the lead, at which point Raikkonen stopped for fresh tires and rejoined in 6th place. Therefore, it seemed that both the Mercedes and the Red Bulls had used superior pit stop timing to snooker both of the Ferraris!

Then, on lap 31, all previous strategies were thrown out the window. It started out innocently, with the two Toro Rossos contesting a corner and colliding softly, causing damage to their front wings. But, the damaged wings scattered sharp debris across the track, forcing the safety car to be deployed (lap 32) so that the debris could be removed. Blind luck put the two Red Bulls just a few hundred yards short of pit entry when the safety car deployment was announced. Shrewd, quick thinking led to them being called into the pits for fresh tires while everyone else stayed out and paraded slowly for a couple of laps. The Red Bulls rejoined the fray on brand new soft tires (everyone else was on worn mediums) having lost almost no track position, Verstappen in fourth (lost one spot) and Ricciardo in sixth (ditto). They were now sharks on a feeding frenzy to the front of the pack. It was fast and furious – absent Vin Diesel.

On lap 37: Ricciardo blew past Raikkonen for fifth place.

On lap 39: Verstappen attempted to pass Hamilton, failed, slowed, and was in turn passed by Ricciardo.

On lap 41: Ricciardo caught and passed Hamilton (with an audacious move) for third.

On lap 42: Verstappen re-caught Hamilton and passed him for fourth. Ricciardo passed Vettel for second. Meanwhile, Raikkonen (who was the last to stop for medium tires and therefore had the best of those) caught Hamilton and was challenging him for fifth.

On lap 43: Verstappen caught Vettel (running third) and made an ill-advised attempted to pass him. They collided. Both came to a virtual stop. Vettel’s car and tires were damaged and Verstappen was given a 10 second penalty. Despite having to swerve and slow down to avoid contact, Hamilton was able to pass them both, but this allowed Raikkonen to cruise by Hamilton and claim third place. With a compromised car, Vettel slowed and was never again a factor. He finished eighth.

On Lap 45: Ricciardo passed Bottas for the lead.

On lap 48: Verstappen passed Hamilton for fourth on the track, but fifth considering his 10 second time penalty.

So, did you get all of that? Substitute begetting for passing and it could be the Book of Genesis. But, seriously, these were probably the most tense and exciting 10 laps of F1 racing ever. After all of this strangeness, the final official finishing order was Ricciardo (who barely made it into Qualifying), Bottas (extremely lucky to place this high), Raikkonen (whose day was compromised by bad team strategy and Vettel’s strange antics at the start), Hamilton (who was never on the pace or a serious contender), Verstappen (with his 10 second penalty, if he had bided his time he could have won), Hulkenberg, Alonso, and Vettel (the God’s didn’t favor him today, that’s for sure).

Poor strategy and bad luck robbed Ferrari of a deserved 1-2 finish in China. To win the championship, a team must win the races where it has the fastest cars. Down the road, Ferrari may come to lament its poor race management in China.

Vettel still leads the driver’s standings with 54 points. Hamilton (45) and Bottas (40) are now close behind him. Mercedes (85 points) and Ferrari (84) are in a virtual dead heat atop the constructors’ standings, with Red Bull significantly behind (55 points). This is getting interesting.

April 29: GP of Azerbaijan (4)

Qualifying was contested in cool, breezy conditions, meaning it was hard to get the tires up to temperature…resulting in low grip. This made for scary conditions on a street circuit with little run-off area and top speeds well over 200 mph. Pirelli supplied the soft, super-soft, and ultra-soft tires for the 51 lap race over the 3.7 mile circuit. The drivers, meanwhile, believed that the new hyper-softs might have been best. After the dust, and more than a few raindrops, had settled, the starting order was Vettel, Hamilton, Bottas, Ricciardo, Verstappen, and Raikkonen, who would have been much closer to the front absent a big spin in Q3. Of note: Raikkonen was to start on the ultra-soft rubber, while all of the other top cars would be on the super-soft tires.

Race day was even colder and windier than Qualifying. Grip was going to be a serious concern, especially if tires were cold. Meanwhile, there was a large crowd at Siena to view the proceedings. They were treated to the de-rigor collision on lap 1. Sirotkin (Williams) smacked Ocon (Force India) who veered into Raikkonen. Both Sirotkin and Ocon were out, while Kimi had to pit immediately for new tires (he opted for the softs, which might be good to go to the end of the race) and a new nose. The Safety Car was deployed, and when racing resumed on lap 6 the order was Vettel, Hamilton, Bottas, Ricciardo, and Verstappen. Sainz and Hulkenberg, who had started on the (faster) ultra-soft tires, were moving fast and immediately challenged the two Red Bulls, while Raikkonen was near the rear of the field. A real battle royal then developed between the Red Bulls themselves and also between the Red Bulls and the Renaults over positions 4 – 7. Sainz squeezed by Verstappen, and then Hulkenberg passed Verstappen and Ricciardo (who both seemed to be having issues with their electrical motors). Meanwhile, the two Red Bulls were going at it lap-after-lap, wheel-to-wheel (including banging wheels several times) between themselves as they fell further behind the leaders. Very exciting stuff! While all of this was happening, Vettel was serenely in the lead and pulling away from the field, and Raikkonen was picking off the cars ahead of him, working his way back to the front. He was 8th by lap 15 and 6th by lap 17.

Despite the fact that lap times were not slowing, meaning that the super-soft tires were long-lived, Hamilton stopped early for new tires on lap 22, opting for the soft rubber. He returned in third place, and his out lap was slow, emphasizing the point that cold tires were slow tires. All the others soldiered on, waiting for something to happen (an accident and Safety Car period) to gain an advantage in their pit stop. On lap 25, the running order was Vettel, Bottas (10 seconds behind), Hamilton (18 seconds farther behind, but on new tires after his stop), Ricciardo, Verstappen, and Raikkonen (who had stopped on lap 1). Hulkenberg was out after hitting a wall; Sainz had stopped for fresh tires. Of note was that the two Red Bulls were still running in lock step and battling tooth-and-nail for 4th place, far behind the leaders. Although lap times continued to be consistent, Vettel stopped for tires (he opted for the soft rubber-the safe choice, although the ultra-softs were a reasonable alternative at this point in the proceedings) on lap 31. He rejoined in second place (behind Bottas) and, like Hamilton had to suffer through a couple of slow laps while his new tires came up to temperature. Meanwhile, Bottas (who had not yet stopped) consolidated his hold on the lead. On lap 38, Ricciardo, the leading Red Bull, stopped for tires (going to the ultra-softs). He also experienced a slow out lap, and lost 4th place to Verstappen who stopped (going to ultra-softs) on lap 39. With Verstappen now on the colder, slower tires, Ricciardo caught him quickly and made several attempts to pass, all of which Verstappen countered most aggressively. Finally, on the long straight, Ricciardo moved into Verstappen’s slip stream and tried to dispatch his teammate on the right – rebuffed, and then the left – rebuffed, and then on the right again – BIG collision. Both Red Bulls were out!

With the Safety Car deployed to allow the course workers to remove the massive amount of debris on the track, everyone pitted and mounted new ultra-soft tires. All this was a huge advantage to Bottas, who got to make only one stop, and in a Safety Car speed environment to boot. He was thus able to retain first place. Then, as the cars were moving slowly behind the Safety Car, Grosjean (Haas) had brain fade while swerving about to try to warm his tires; he smacked the wall. Result? A lot more debris on the track and an extension to the Safety Car period. Now everyone’s tires were really cold.

Immediately after the Safety Car left the track on lap 48 (only three laps from the finish), Vettel tried a bold move to pass Bottas and regain the lead. It looked good, but his tires were cold and he failed to maintain control, sliding across the track, allowing both Hamilton and Raikkonen to pass him. To add insult to injury, Vettel’s new ultra-softs were flat spotted and he could no longer challenge those ahead; instead he was passed by Perez (Force India) for fourth place. Then, to heap some further insult, race leader Bottas ran over a piece of debris that was inexplicably missed in the clean-up effort, and shredded a tire. He had to stop immediately. If Vettel had bided his time, he would have won! After all of that action, the final two laps were without further incident and the final finishing order was Hamilton, Raikkonen, Perez, Vettel, Sainz (Renault), Leclerc (Alfa-Romeo Sauber-Ferrari), and Alonzo (McLaren).

So, Vettel and Ferrari were robbed of another victory that was seemingly ‘in-the-bag.’ This is becoming an old tale, and a disheartening one. At the end of the season, will Ferrari, and Ferrari fans, be looking back at these results and crying over what might have been? Meanwhile, Hamilton, who has really done very little this year, leads the championship battle over Vettel by 4 points, with Raikkonen third, Bottas fourth, and Ricciardo fifth. Crash Verstappen is eighth, 52 points in arrears.

The church bells were not ringing in Maranello this Sunday.

May 13: GP of Spain (5)

Pirelli supplied the medium, soft, and super-soft tires for the 66 lap race over the 2.9 mile track in Barcelona, a venue the drivers were familiar with as it hosted winter testing. It was so windy during Friday practice that the handling of the cars was being affected. That, combined with the fact that the track had recently been resurfaced – reducing grip, resulted in difficult conditions and problems bringing the tires up to temperature. As a result, there was little difference between times set on the soft and super-soft rubber. Raikkonen had some engine issues in Practice 2 that were an omen for problems to come.

Qualifying was run in cool, cloudy, and windy conditions with rain possible, meaning that tire temperature and grip problems continued to plague the cars. Virtually every car ran Q2 on the soft tires so that the race could be started on them. Conversely, everyone chose the super-softs for Q3, but the resulting times were not much faster. It seemed that the teams were hoping that one stop at about lap 20-25 (and switching to the mediums at that point) would be sufficient. The starting order was Hamilton, Bottas, Vettel, Raikkonen, Verstappen, Ricciardo, Magnussen, and Alonso, not a surprising result as this was seen as a track were Mercedes would do well.

After a big rain on Saturday night that washed the track clean of its built up rubber (further reducing grip), race day was cool, cloudy, and windy, with rain possible. Vettel managed to pass Bottas into corner one, but the obligatory collision in the mid-field (due partly to the lack of grip) was postponed to corner 3, eliminating Grosjean, Hulkenberg, and Gasly. The Safety Car was deployed and racing resumed on lap 6. On lap 10, the order was Hamilton (pulling away slowly from the field), Vettel, Bottas, Raikkonen, Verstappen, and Ricciardo. Barcelona is a track where it is notoriously difficult to pass, and not much happened at the front until lap 18, when Vettel was the first to stop for fresh tires, switching (as expected) to the mediums. The question: would they make it to the end of the 66 lap race? Bottas was the next to stop (lap 20), also switching to the medium rubber. Raikkonen’s iffy engine gave up on lap 25, and he was out; at about the same time Hamilton stopped for new tires.

Meanwhile, having delayed their stops, the Red Bulls were now out front. They finally stopped for fresh tires on laps 34/35, also mounting the mediums. So, with everyone now having stopped, the running order was once again Hamilton (unchallenged at the front), Vettel, Bottas, Verstappen, Ricciardo, and Magnussen. Not much happened until lap 41, when Ocon (Force India) suffered an engine failure that caused the Virtual Safety Car to be deployed. Sensing a possible advantage and that running his existing tires (on since lap 18) to the end was risky, and thinking that the Mercedes might also need to make second stop, Vettel pitted for new medium tires (why not softs?). His stop was longer than normal and Vettel returned in fourth place behind ‘Crash’ Verstappen, a driver who is notoriously difficult to pass. At first, it seemed that Verstappen would make matters simple. As soon as the green flag flew, he immediately tried to pass lapped traffic, and, in a crazy move, ran his front wing into the rear of Lance Stroll’s Williams. He was lucky: the damage was minimal, and he managed to continue and to maintain third place ahead of Vettel, who was clearly faster but unable to get close enough in Verstappen’s dirty air to make a move. The final result: Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Vettel, Ricciardo, and Magnussen (Haas).

The pundits predicted that Mercedes would do well at Barcelona, and they were proved correct. At the completion of Qualifying, there was little doubt that Hamilton would win, absent extenuating circumstances. On the other hand, unlucky Vettel and Ferrari were again dealt a strange hand. Stuck in second place with the oldest tires in the field, making a second pit stop under the Virtual Safety Car seemed the correct thing to do. It might put Vettel in a position to challenge Hamilton at the end, and it almost certainly would lock-up second spot over Bottas. It did neither. The slow stop dropped Vettel behind both Bottas and Verstappen, and Vettel was unable to pass either of them. I still wonder why they chose to mount the mediums instead of the (faster) softs, but that was obviously what the Ferrari engineers deemed best at the time.

So, once again, Ferrari failed to score the points they deserved, and now Hamilton has a 17 point lead over Vettel in the Drivers’ championship.

May 27: GP of Monaco (6)

Pirelli supplied the super-soft, ultra-soft, and hyper-soft (the first time these have been made available) for this 78 lap race through the streets of the principality, where the path is narrow and twisty, and passing is tres difficile. It was hot during the Practice sessions, when the Red Bulls set fastest times, and it looked like the hyper-softs would be fast, but very short lived. ‘Crash’ Verstappen was up to his tricks and had a massive shunt in P3. His car could not be repaired for Qualifying, and he was relegated to the back of the field.

Temperatures were again high for Qualifying, when even the fast drivers (the top 10) were essentially forced to run (and thereby start the race on) the new hyper-soft rubber to make it into Q3. When all was said and done, there were no surprises in the starting order: Ricciardo, Vettel, Hamilton, Raikkonen, and Bottas. Verstappen would be last, but on the more durable ultra-soft tires.

The Gods threw a weather curve-ball for the race; it was cloudy, cool, and windy, with rain possible. The start was clean with no collisions, and the leaders finished lap 1 in the same order they started. It looked as if Ricciardo was not pressing at the front, but was still managing to pull away slowly from Vettel. Meanwhile, Verstappen was progressively passing the cars ahead of him. He was 16th by lap 7, and 14th by lap 8.

As expected, the hyper-soft tires faded fast. Hamilton was the first to stop for tires (lap 12), mounting the ultra-softs (which, given the temperatures, might make it to the end). Soon thereafter, Vettel, Ricciardo, Raikkonen, and Bottas also stopped, all opting for the ultra-softs except Bottas, who made a more conservative choice, the super-softs. Not much changed as a result of these stops, and the running order was still Ricciardo, Vettel, Hamilton, Raikkonen, and Bottas at lap 25.

Then, on about lap 30, things got interesting. Ricciardo was having problems with his hybrid power unit and losing overall power, and slowing down. Vetted caught him easily, but passing proved impossible. In the process, Vettel wore his tires and had to drop back. Although he tried to pass Ricciardo several more times, he never really mounted a serious threat and simply had to give it up. Meanwhile, all the other front runners, also on ultra-softs, were also experiencing greater tire degradation than expected, and slowing down. Only Bottas, who had chosen the super-softs, looked like he would make it to the end without another pit stop. As a result, the leaders were slowing and the field was bunching up behind them. At lap 50, the running order was Ricciardo, Vettel, Hamilton, Raikkonen, and Bottas, all running in close formation. Verstappen, who had delayed his first pit stop to lap 48, was in 11th, and had the best tires that allowed him to set the fastest lap times.

This set up a dilemma for the team strategists. Would the leaders need to stop again? If so, were they staying out in hopes that a Safety Car period would mitigate their time penalties for such a stop? Were they delaying such a stop to about lap 60, when they could switch to the hyper-soft tires for a last, mad sprint to the finish? In the end, they all did nothing. The wisdom said that stopping for tires and then being able to go significantly faster would be more than countered by needing to pass the field of bunched up cars that they would be behind when they rejoined the race.

In the end, the field crawled around the track behind the leaders and the finishing order was much the same as the starting order: Ricciardo, Vette, Hamilton, Raikkonen, and Bottas. Verstappen was 9th. And so, with respect to points and championships, the status quo was essentially maintained. It is close!

June 10: GP of Canada (7)

Pirelli chose to supply the super-, ultra-, and hyper-soft tires for this 70 lap race around the very fast 2.7 mile circuit in Montreal, a speed-horsepower track that should favor the Mercedes and diminish the Red Bulls. Despite the northern clime, it was warm and sunny pretty much all weekend, and the fans turned out in droves. Not much of significance happened in any of the Practice sessions; most of the teams had revised doo-dads for their steeds, and were trying to sort their cars to accommodate them. Surprisingly, Verstappen in a Red bull was fastest in all three Practice sessions.

Grosjean suffered some sort of major engine failure in the first seconds of Q1 in his Haas-Ferrari and was out. He would start last. Subsequently, strategy and fakery dominated Q2. The Ferraris and Mercedes set their initial fast times on the longer lived ultra-soft tires, hoping that these times would be fast enough to get them through to Q3. Then, both Ferrari and Mercedes tried to fake each other out by coming out on the hyper-soft rubber at the very end of Q2. However, this was merely a ploy as both Ferrari and Mercedes aborted their last laps, choosing to start on the ultra-softs, and handily making it into Q3. With all trickery in the rear view mirror, Q3 was a mad dash for pole with everyone on the hyper-soft rubber. The starting order was a mixed bag: Vettel, Bottas, Verstappen, Hamilton, Raikkonen, and Ricciardo; under half a second covered the top 6. It is close.

The cars rolled to their grid positions with most of the cars (including the Red Bulls) on the faster hyper-soft tires, while the Mercedes and Ferraris were on the longer lived ultra-softs. Perhaps this assisted Ricciardo, who managed to pass Raikkonen in the first set of corners. Nothing could help Stroll (Williams) and Hartley (Toro Rosso), who collided and were out of the race almost before it began. The Safety Car came out for a short time, and racing resumed on lap 4. Then, things settled down and at lap 10 the running order was little changed: Vettel, Bottas, Verstappen, Hamilton, Ricciardo, and Raikkonen, with Vettel slowly pulling away from everyone. This essentially meant that Red Bulls’ strategy had failed. They could not move up the order on the faster tires, and would have to stop earlier as well.

The first pit stops of note were on laps 17 and 18, when both Red Bulls (on the hyper-soft tires) stopped. Numerous others who had started on the hyper-softs also stopped before lap 20. Hamilton, who was experiencing overheating, also stopped for tires at this time, but what he really needed was some bodywork modifications to help cool his engine. Raikkonen was the first of those who started on the ultra-soft tires to stop, but much later, on lap 33. Then Bottas and Vettel both stopped a few laps later. All the leaders chose the super soft tires, hoping they would be good to the end. At lap 40, after everyone had stopped at least once, the running order was Vettel, Bottas (6 seconds behind), Verstappen (6 seconds further back), Ricciardo, (5 seconds), Hamilton (2 seconds), and Raikkonen (3 seconds). So, it was pretty close at the front; from this point forward threats were mounted and rebuffed, but not much happened and the running order at the end remained unchanged.

So, this was a pretty uneventful race. Vettel finally won a race he clearly deserved to win. Red Bull’s variant strategy accomplished little if anything, and the Mercedes were never a serious threat on a track where they normally dominate. All of this bodes well for Ferrari’s hopes for a championship season. Overall, Vettel retakes the lead in the drivers’ championship, by one point over Hamilton. The constructors’ championship is also close: Mercedes 206, Ferrari 189, and Red Bull 134.

Meanwhile, back in the pack, rookie Charles LeClerc again drove well to finish 10th in his Sauber-Ferrari. The pundits have anointed him a future star, and rumor has him replacing Raikkonen at Ferrari next season.

June 24: GP of France (8)

After a 10 year absence, the GP circus returned to southern France and Circuit Paul Ricard; they were greeted with high heat and sweltering conditions that persisted throughout the weekend. Pirelli supplied the soft, super-soft, and ultra-soft tires for the 53 lap race around the 3.6 mile track, which looked spectacular, but which is known for wearing tires quickly.

The Mercedes (running their upgraded engines) were quickest in Practice with the Red Bulls close behind; the Ferraris were off the pace. The rains finally arrived on Saturday morning (before Qualifying), cooling the air but washing away the grip providing rubber build up from the track surface. As a result, despite attempts otherwise, none of the leaders was able to qualify on the soft tires. The Qualifying order would be Hamilton, Bottas, Vettel, Verstappen, Ricciardo, and Raikkonen, with the Mercedes and Red Bulls on the super-soft tires and the Ferraris on the faster but shorter lived ultra-softs. The situation looked bad for the Ferraris, who, like all the others, were planning only one stop.

As is becoming the norm, there was much contact in the first couple of turns. Bottas and Vettel were but two that came together; both stopped for new nose cones. In the process, they both also switched to the far more durable soft tires, hoping to go to the end without stopping again. When the Safety Car exited the track on lap 6 and racing resumed, the running order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Sainz (Renault), and Ricciardo, with Vettel (19th) and Bottas (20th) at the very back of the field. In response to the situation, Vettel went wild, driving like a demon and passing left, right, and center (well, maybe not center). By lap 10, he had jumped to 11th, and by lap 22 he was back up to 5th overall! Impressive! Unfortunately, these antics compromised his tires and he could no longer make much headway.

Verstappen was the first to make a scheduled stop for new tires (lap 26), with Ricciardo, and Hamilton following soon thereafter. All chose the soft tires. Raikkonen, however, delayed his stop several laps and chose to take a shot on the super-soft rubber. On lap 35, after all of the leaders had stopped once, the running order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Ricciardo, Vettel, Raikkonen, and Bottas, and it was a sprint to the end. Meanwhile, there was an inordinate amount of passing throughout the field, perhaps more than I have ever seen in a F1 race. These cars are closely matched, and they are fighting tooth-and-nails for points, and the money they bring. At the front, Raikkonen, on his faster and newer tires passed Vettel on lap 41 (at which point both Vettel and Bottas stopped for fresh tires), and then did the same to Ricciardo on lap 47. At the end of a most entertaining race the order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Raikkonen, Ricciardo, Vettel, Magnussen, and Bottas.

With this result, Hamilton reclaims the lead in the drivers’ championship by 14 points over Vettel (with Ricciardo, Bottas and Raikkonen not far behind) and Mercedes takes a 23 point lead over Ferrari in the constructors’ championship (with Red Bull not too far back). A close competition it is, and that makes for an exciting season.

July 1: GP of Austria (9)

The track in Austria is short (2.6 miles) and fast (lap times are just over a minute, giving an average speed of nearly 150 mph). Pirelli opted to supply the soft, super-soft, and ultra-soft rubber for the 71 lap race. It was cool and cloudy for Practice on Friday, and the ultra-soft tires responded by refusing to get to temperature; the soft tires were giving lap times nearly as fast. This put a big question mark over the data being gathered (both as to speed and tire life). In any case, two things seemed obvious: the Ferraris weren’t that fast, but their tires seemed to last longer than anyone else’s, and everyone was planning a one stop strategy.

All of that was interesting, but the real news that came out of Practice was that Red Bull has decided to use the Honda engines next year. On the surface, that is a bold move. But really Red Bull had no choice. Neither Ferrari nor Mercedes would supply engines to such a close competitor, and the engines Renault has been supplying to Red Bull are neither powerful nor reliable enough to consistently run out front, even when mounted in one of the very best chassis. This move is the first salvo in the war that will be the 2019 season.

Saturday Qualifying was also run in cool, cloudy conditions, meaning that no new information regarding tire wear or relative lap times could be gleaned. Mercedes decided to run Q2 (and therefore start the race) on the super-soft tires (indicating that they were not happy with their tire wear), while most of the others (including Ferrari and Red Bull) opted for the ultra-soft rubber. After everyone put in their best efforts in Q3, the starting order was set: Bottas, Hamilton, Vettel, Raikkonen, Verstappen, Grosjean (Haas), and Ricciardo, clearly a poor result for the Red Bulls.

Wow, what a difference a day makes. First, race day dawned clear and hot, and getting hotter by the hour. This meant that all data that had been collected was worthless and the plans made based on that data were now subject to change. And second, Vettel was penalized three grid spots for inadvertently blocking another car during Qualifying. He would start 6th.

When the lights went out, Raikkonen made a fabulous start and passed Bottas, whose start was marred by excessive wheel spin which allowed Hamilton to squeeze by as well. Unfortunately, Kimi was carrying too much speed into the initial turns and slid a bit, allowing Bottas (and Verstappen) to pass him back. In the end, Ferrari lost a spot, but it sure was exciting. At the end of lap 1 the running order was Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Raikkonen, Ricciardo, and Vettel. Things then settled down a bit until lap 14, when Bottas experienced a gearbox failure and came to a stop at the side of the track. This brought on a Virtual Safety Car period during which most of the cars pitted for new tires, with everyone mounting the softs, hoping they would last to the end. Race leader Hamilton, however, missed this opportunity to pit due to a snafu by his strategy team, and he was suddenly on a different strategy than everyone else. Shortly thereafter, Ricciardo, on a charge, managed to pass Raikkonen on lap 20.

Hamilton, slowing down on worn tires and being caught by his pursuers, finally made his pit stop on lap 26 (15 laps later than the others) and rejoined in 4th place. The running order was Verstappen, Ricciardo, Raikkonen, Hamilton (all pretty much nose to tail), and Vettel. To me it seemed Hamilton had the advantage because he was only about 10 seconds behind the leader and was on much newer tires than everyone else. If he took his time, he could pick off the cars ahead and win. Instead, Hamilton berated his team over the radio for the pit stop snafu, and proceeded to try to force his way past Raikkonen with no regard for the life of his tires. At about this point, an unpleasant realization hit the teams: the hot weather was bad for tire life and it was unlikely that the soft tires most had mounted on lap 11 would make it to the end. Instead, they were beginning to show serious degradation on only lap 30. Ricciardo’s tires were the first to blister, perhaps because of his charge to pass Raikkonen many laps earlier, and he began to slow significantly and then made a second stop on lap 38, opting for the super-soft rubber. Hamilton was next to experience tire woes (surprising since his tires were virtually new), likely the result of his antics in trying to pass Raikkonen. He had to slow down and was summarily passed by Vettel. The next to experience tire woes was the leader, Verstappen. But his degradation was mitigated because, as leader, he was always running in clean air and was never attempting to pass a contending car. What was clear was this: the Ferraris, as hinted in Practice, were far more gentle on their tires than the other front runners. They alone had managed to post decent lap times without blistering their rubber. But, by about lap 50 (when the running order was Verstappen, Raikkonen, Vettel, Hamilton, and Ricciardo), everyone, including the Ferraris, was experiencing significant tire degradation and another pit stop seemed in the cards.

In fact, Hamilton stopped again on lap 53, just as Ricciardo experienced an engine problem and dropped out. Meanwhile, Raikkonen was now catching race leader Verstappen, Vettel was catching Raikkonen, and Hamilton (on fresh rubber) was catching everyone. It was tense because the Ferraris were walking a fine line – they had the speed to catch Verstappen (whose tires were shot), but if they used that speed their tires might not make it to the end of the race. Then, on lap 63, Hamilton experienced an engine failure and dropped out of the race. With this, everyone relaxed a bit and cruised to the end. The finishing order was Verstappen, Raikkonen, Vettel, and Grosjean and Magnussen (both in the Ferrari powered Haas cars).

F1 Recap (January through June 2018 – Races 1 – 9

With the season nearly half complete, we can draw some conclusions:

The performance of the top three teams, Ferrari, Red Bull, and Mercedes-Benz, is very close, and significantly better than the rest of the field. Any of these cars can win at any time.

The performance of the rest of the field is very close as well.

Individual tracks favor individual cars.

Tires, and relative tire wear, are of great significance. The Mercedes seem to be harder on their tires than the Ferraris and Red Bulls. With performance being about equal, tire management may decide both championships.

After 9 races, the standings look like this.

Top Constructors Top Drivers

Ferrari 247 Vettel (F) 146 Ricciardo (R-B) 96
Mercedes 237 Hamilton (M-B) 145 Verstappen (R-B) 93
Red Bull 189 Raikkonen (F) 101 Bottas (M-B) 92

Yes, it is THAT close. This spells exciting racing ahead. Be sure to watch, at home on ESPN or at Siena with the rabid Ferrari fans, and that good Italian food.

Meanwhile, back in the pack…Force India has fallen from ‘best-of-the-rest’ to just average. They have 28 points…McLaren switched engines (from Honda to Renault) but they still languish near the back of the field. They have scored 40 points, but that is mostly due to the brilliance of Fernando Alonso, who has tallied 32 of them…The Haas cars (our American team!!) have been competitive, but have made so many mistakes (most notably the wheel nut SNAFU) that they have little to show for it. They have scored 27 points, but should have many more.

Looking at the new drivers, Pierre Gasly (who has scored 18 points in a Toro Rosso) and Charles LeClerc (11 points in a Sauber) must be lauded for making lemonade from their lemons. Meanwhile, our old buddy ‘Crash’ Verstappen deserves a mention. This guy is ungodly fast and bold, and his car control is sometimes astonishing, but he often shoots himself in the foot with idiotic maneuvers. He should have many more points than he does, which must anger Red Bull to no end. But, like a train wreck, he sure is exciting to watch.

So, enough of the past 6 months. Forward we go – the future awaits.

John Ratto