The Ratto Report – FCLV 2019 4th Quarter Review Pt 3/3

The Ratto Report
4th Quarter 2019 Pt 3/3

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FCA NEWSLETTER
DESERT REGION – LAS VEGAS CHAPTER
4th Quarter 2019 Pt 3/3

November 17: GP of Brazil (20)

The Interlagos track, located outside Sao Paulo, is relatively short (2.7 miles) and pretty fast; laps were being turned in less than 1 minute and 10 seconds while speeds topped 215 mph. But nothing like that was being achieved in Practice 1, when the rain was pouring down. Instead the cars were tip-toeing around, trying to gather pertinent data without damaging the bodywork. Meanwhile, some important information was coming from behind the pit wall: Albon will return in the Red Bull in 2020, and Pierre Gasly and Danny Kvyat will do the same at Toro Rosso. It was also announced that Charles Leclerc was given a 10 spot grid penalty for changing his engine.

Weather conditions improved for Practice 2 and 3, but continued to be problematic. There was finally some sun for P3 on Saturday morning, but the track was still quite damp. The only thing that could be said was that the times were very close. Qualifying was still cool, but at least everything had dried out. Leclerc, with his penalty, decided to start the race on medium tires (everyone else of note would be on softs) and still managed to make it to Q3. The Qualifying order was Verstappen, Vettel, Hamilton, Leclerc (penalized to 14th on the grid), Bottas, and Albon.

Race day was sunny, warm, and very windy, meaning that tires would not last as long as might have been projected based upon data gathered during Practice. In a daring move at the start, Hamilton immediately passed Vettel; meanwhile, Leclerc (from 14th) attempted to, and finally did, pass Norris after a tense fight. From that point onward, Leclerc sliced through the field and was 6th by lap 10. At the front, Verstappen, in the lead, was slowly pulling away from Hamilton in second. So, the topic of discussion became strategy and pit stops, would two be necessary or could the race be won making only one tire change.

Hamilton (to another set of softs), Verstappen (ditto), Albon (mediums), Vettel (mediums), and Bottas (hards) all stopped (in that order) for new tires between lap 21 and 27. Leclerc continued to lap 30 on his fading medium tires and opted to switch to the hards. Clearly, there was a wide divergence in strategy. Which would prove to be best? After all the leaders had made their first (and for some perhaps only) stops, the running order was Verstappen (clearly the fastest car in the field), Hamilton, Vettel, Bottas, Leclerc, and Albon.

By lap 40 it was becoming very clear that one stop was not going to cut it, and, between laps 42 and 45, Bottas, Hamilton, and Verstappen all stopped for a second time; they all opted to continue (finish) on medium tires. After these stops, the running order was Vettel (having stopped only once), Verstappen, Hamilton, Albon (one stop), Leclerc (one stop and hoping to make his hard tires go to the end), and Bottas. Bottas, on new medium rubber was clearly quicker than Leclerc, and he set about getting by the Ferrari. Despite many strong attempts – it was a wonderful battle to behold – Bottas could not make a pass stick, and then had his engine overheat and detonate to reward his efforts (lap 53). Both Albon and Vettel made their second stops on lap 50, after which the running order was Verstappen (mediums), Hamilton (mediums), Vettel (mediums), Leclerc (hards), and Albon (softs). All had made two stops except Leclerc.

Then the wild card was dealt: the safety car was deployed on lap 54 (for Bottas’ car), slowing and bunching the field, and prompting Verstappen and Albon to make a third stop, and Leclerc to make a second. When racing resumed after a long break, the order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Vettel, Albon, and Leclerc. But that didn’t last long as Verstappen on new tires just simply blew by Hamilton to retake the lead, while Albon passed Vettel. Vettel attempted to re-pass the Red Bull, but failed, and then seemed to lose concentration for a moment, allowing his teammate (Leclerc, on new tires) to pass him easily. Then the disaster card was dealt: Vettel tried to repass Leclerc and the two Ferraris collided. Both were out with only 5 laps to go! This prompted the Safety Car to be deployed again, which led Hamilton to make an ill-advised third stop for new soft tires. He rejoined in 5th and while he managed to get by several cars in the final laps, he collided with Albon (who spun and finished 15th) to thwart his hopes for the race win. The surprising final order was Verstappen, Gasly (Toro Rosso), Hamilton (who was subsequently penalized for his collision with Albon), Sainz, and Raikkonen.

Pit stop strategy scrambled the field, but in the end Verstappen and Hamilton climbed the podium, pretty much as expected. But the failure to finish by Bottas, Vettel, and Leclerc resulted in some unusual names in the top 5.

So we come to the Vettel-Leclerc collision. While the merits and faults of both were debated, the pundits concluded that neither was fully at fault or fully innocent. However, in the eyes of Ferrari, and of Ferrari fans, Vettel must be seen as the clear perpetrator of the crime. He had already attempted and failed to pass Albon, and Leclerc (clearly faster on fresher tires) had easily passed Vettel just moments prior to their crash. Vettel was only able to attempt to regain his position because he had the DRS advantage. He should have let Leclerc by so that he could try to pass Albon. That was the move that a teammate should make. Instead, Vettel precipitated a crash that eliminated both Ferraris. Simply inexcusable.

December 1: GP of Abu Dhabi

So…finally…we come to the last race of the season. With all of the championships decided, only pride and bragging rights were at stake, and the only imperative was to put on a good show for the fans. The Yas Marina circuit is home to Ferrari World, an internationally famous theme park; but this race has been no friend to Ferrari, which has never won here. Since the site is in the ferociously hot Middle East, the 55 lap race is run at night, while the Practice sessions and Qualifying are held in the late afternoon. The track is long (3.4 miles) and fast (laps under 1:40 are common).The Practice sessions were mostly run without incident. The teams seemed to generally ignore them because the afternoon temperature conditions would be so different from those during the actual race. One, or really two, things of interest did occur: Bottas had two engine failures. He was relegated to starting from last place. Qualifying was also pretty much uneventful. The only tidbit of interest concerned Vettel’s decision to start on the soft tires while all of the other top runners opted for the mediums. The Qualifying order was Hamilton, Bottas (who would be penalized to last), Verstappen, Leclerc, Vettel, and Albon. Then, a potential bombshell: the stewards found that Ferrari had declared a significantly different fuel level than was actually present in Leclerc’s car. While the information provided was scant, there was talk that Leclerc might be disqualified. In the end, sane minds prevailed and Ferrari was handed a stiff fine for the seemingly innocent error.

The start was clean and uneventful except for Leclerc’s bold pass of Verstappen for second place. Immediately thereafter, Verstappen came under high pressure from Vettel, and these two battled for a few laps before the Ferrari dropped back to reassess the situation and save its tires. Meanwhile, Hamilton was slowly pulling away from the rest of the field. At lap 5 the running order was Hamilton, Leclerc, Verstappen, Vettel, and Albon. Bottas had clawed his way up to 11th.

Pit stops began on lap 12, with Ricciardo, Leclerc, Vettel, and Albon stopping in quick succession. All opted to continue on the hard tires. Conversely, Verstappen, Hamilton, and Bottas delayed their first stops to laps 25 – 30, but they too chose the hard tires for their second stints. After all the leaders had stopped, the running order was Hamilton, Leclerc, Verstappen, Vettel, Albon, and Bottas. Beginning on lap 32, Verstappen mounted an attack on Leclerc, and finally managed to get by the Ferrari a few laps later. Leclerc made a valiant effort to get second place back, but ultimately failed to do so. By lap 38, it was becoming obvious that the hard tires would not make it to the end for those who had stopped early (around lap 13), and they began to make second pit stops. Leclerc stopped and continued on soft tires, while Vettel chose to continue on mediums. From there to the end not much of significance occurred. At this point Leclerc and Vettel (on newer, softer tires) were the fastest cars on the track, but they were too far behind to catch and pass most of the cars ahead of them, although Vettel did manage to pass Albon. The final finishing order was Hamilton, Verstappen, Leclerc, Bottas, Vettel, and Albon.

With this relatively uneventful race, the season ended with a whimper rather than a bang.

Wrap-Up – Races 17 through 21

Given its excellent showing after the summer break, Ferrari entered the final portion of the season with great hopes to go out with a bang. But the sizzle failed to materialize. Mercedes circled its wagons and was once more king of the rodeo. And Red Bull (or at least Mad Max Verstappen) was suddenly in position to claim title to best of the rest. Hamilton and Mercedes won the championships handily, and Ferrari’s top driver was only fourth in the points.

Formula 1 2019 in Review

For Ferrari, 2019 must be viewed as a great disappointment. We can easily recall winter testing, when it seemed that Ferrari would be the class of the field. Back then, everyone seemed to agree that 2019 would be the year for an Italian renaissance. It wasn’t to be: instead Mercedes dominated the early portion of the season while Ferrari staggered about wondering what had happened.

Then, after the summer break, hope sprang up again. Maybe not hope for the championship, that boat had sailed. But hope for a strong finish was in the air as the Ferraris headed the field in several races. Once again, though, those red dreams faded as Mercedes rededicated its efforts and slowly took back the advantage as the season dwindled to a close.

So, another very disappointing season. The cars themselves were very fast in a straight line, but clearly slower than both the Mercedes and the Red Bulls in the corners. Of perhaps even greater importance was that the Ferraris used up their tires (due to lack of traction in the corners?) faster than both the other top teams.

As the laps ticked off, the Ferraris became progressively slower than the competition. This is an aerodynamic problem that must be addressed in next year’s car.

As for the drivers, Vettel was certainly partly to blame for Ferrari’s failure to score points in 2019. During the middle third of the season he seemed to lose his passion for the sport…and his concentration; at times he seemed to be in a daze. In the final third of the season he sporadically regained his fire, but only at certain races and in certain circumstances, as the long season petered out. He must either return for 2020 with passion, or consider retiring…or Ferrari should begin to ponder replacing him. Leclerc, on the other hand, performed better than could have been expected. From the beginning of the season he challenged Vettel in both speed and race craft. The only fault I find with him is that he seems a bit of a cry-baby…when things don’t go his way, he whines. I say to him, “That is the time to bear down and drive faster, not cry about what happened 6 laps ago.” Nevertheless, he outscored Vettel in the drivers’ championship, a result that would have seemed impossible before the season began.

So, let’s have a look at the points situation at season’s end:

Drivers

Hamilton 387…Bottas 314…Verstappen 260…Leclerc…249…Vettel 230

Manufacturers

Mercedes GP 701 … Ferrari 479 … Red Bull 391 … McLaren 140

What is that I see, McLaren finished fourth in the constructors’ championship? Yes, the orange cars are back, and Formula 1 will be more exciting for it. But that just means that there will be more dogs fighting for the points and the podiums next year.

And so once again, we must satisfy ourselves with the convenient balm…WAIT ‘TIL NEXT YEAR!!

The Ratto Report – FCLV 2019 3rd Quarter Review

The Ratto Report
3rd Quarter 2019

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FCA NEWSLETTER
DESERT REGION – LAS VEGAS CHAPTER
3rd Quarter 2019

Written by John Ratto
Edited by Chuck Damus

The 3rd quarter of 2019 saw the Club in a relatively quiet period, not unexpected as summer is the season when Las Vegas hibernates. Despite this, we hosted or participated in various events as detailed below. We hope you were able to attend a few. If not, make plans to participate in future activities. We would love to see you!

OPENING COMMENTARY

The Stock Market hit record highs in July, but then seemed to tread water for the next three months. It seems that this extended rally (more than 10 years and counting) is fueled largely by ultra–low interest rates, and is juiced by either further reductions…or rumors of further reductions. It will be most interesting to see if this one-down-manship can continue.

Meanwhile, the President’s tariff battles continue. No real progress seems to have been made; no deals have been finalized. This has caused certain aspects (farming mainly) of the economy to suffer, but has not seemed to cause any widespread downturn. This is another issue that remains.

Meanwhile, the horde of Democratic hopefuls remains just that, a horde. Few have been eliminated. New recruits have joined the fray. The two top runners both have serious problems: Elizabeth Warren seems too liberal while Joe Biden seems too old. Where is Goldilocks when you need her (him)?

Tensions with Iran and North Korea remain high. Some military action against Iran seemed inevitable in early September, but there has been none to date. Again, I would warn that there is little to gain by engaging countries that have nothing to lose. Painting them into a corner and then crowing about it does not seem a winning strategy.

In late breaking developments, the Democrats have initiated impeachment proceedings against President Trump. I thought the actions against Bill Clinton were a bid ludicrous and definitely ill-advised. I don’t think much more of these. Where is Don Quixote when you need him?

IMPEACHMENT – the musical
Coming soon to a theatre near you!

July 10: Board Meeting at Tommy Bahama’s

After a series of Board Meetings that seemed more like Socials due to high membership attendance, this Meeting, with only 9 present, felt like a Meeting again. The upcoming Drive to Mt. Charleston was discussed, as was the advisability of holding Drives and Socials during the hot summer months. In addition, all of the other typical issues were debated, along with a call to our members to provide some good photos of their car(s) for the website.

July 14: Drive to Mt. Charleston and Lunch

As it was scorching hot, it wasn’t too surprising that everyone in Las Vegas decided to copy us and drive to the coolest place around, Mt. Charleston. Add in some road construction and it meant that we were not only driving in the heat, but also in nasty traffic as well. Then, we were greeted with full parking lots once we arrived at the top of the hill. The triple whammy. Anyway, the less said, the better.

July 25: Social at The Grape Vine restaurant

It really didn’t start out optimistically… It seems someone alerted Bianca to this spot in the far north of Summerlin, and then the ball got rolling, and then a Social was scheduled. Then your Board members started to question whether we should have an event at a spot that none of us had ever tried. Too much like Russian roulette? But – the die was cast and we had a nice turn out despite the uncertainty. And….and….the place was great and the food was fabulous. Everyone seemed so pleased that the conversation(s) continued long past when the food had been eaten and the checks (surprisingly small ones) had been paid. Maybe we’ll play Italian Roulette again.

August 23: Towbin Ferrari Unveiling the New F8 Tributo – Fashion Show

Our Dealer put on quite shindig at the Fashion Show on the Strip to commemorate the debut of the new F8 Tributo. The party, including appetizers, a full bar, and a fashion show, was enjoyed by all, but the big star of the evening, the new ‘small’ Ferrari, stole the proceedings. It is a beauty.

September 11: Board Meeting at Towbin Motorcars

Our dealer, Towbin Ferrari, was gracious to allow us to use one of their conference rooms to hold our Board Meeting, and to supply a cornucopia of pizzas to assuage our hunger. We thank them profusely. As is becoming the norm, we had a good turnout of both Board and regular members and two special visitors (including Rich Kansky from Towbin’s service department and David Mortin of Mecum Auctions).

We discussed the odd absence of new members in recent months, and planned to investigate why. We also tied down Saturday, December 7 as the date for our Holiday Party. The show at Red Rock Country Club (September 28) was also mentioned; we hope some of you were able to attend. Chuck Damus mentioned that we really need more photos of members and their cars for our website. He encouraged that photos for the website be sent to the following: john@tunevision.tv. The upcoming elections of new Board Members will be addressed at the next Board Meeting, currently scheduled for November 13. But, we saved the best for last: David Mortin of Mecum Auctions gave us a most interesting presentation on the auction process in general and some real tidbits concerning the upcoming Mecum extravaganza (October 10 – 12) at the Convention Center right here in Las Vegas. As members of the Ferrari Club we will receive special treatment (including free bidder registration) and VIP pampering, so be sure to visit Mecum’s website for information as to how you can attend this event.

September 26: Social at Siena Trattoria

We had another excellent turnout; despite a few last minute no-shows we nearly filled Siena’s banquet room with about 20 hungry members. It was especially nice to have Paul and Shawna’s daughter in attendance for part of the evening…we old men will need to pass the torch sooner or later. Given that many millennials seem dis-interested in driving at all, I was very glad to learn that she wants to learn how to drive a manual transmission. There is hope. In any case, the food was very good, as usual, and the company was excellent. The room was abuzz with conversations, many centering on upcoming events our club will be holding. See you there and then.

September 28: Vegas Auto-Fest at Red Rock Country Club

I admit some doubts concerning this event, but I must eat my words…and I am happy to do so because this proved to be an excellent day. The weather (predicted to be very windy) turned out to be about perfect and the automotive turnout was spectacular. Hundreds of delectable rides were splayed across various lush fairways of the Red Rock Country Club, and the variety was noteworthy. Ever heard of a Pagani? Maybe you have…but have you ever seen one? Well, they are stunning…and there were 2 in attendance. Then there were Ferraris, Lamborghinis, and Porsches galore…offset by a cornucopia of American iron to satisfy anyone’s lust for cubic inches. The entire event was well organized and the creature comforts provided were top notch; everyone in attendance (and there was a nice crowd) seemed to have a great time. Don’t miss it next year!

Put it on your calendar!

Here is a list of upcoming events. For more information please see our website at ferrariclubvegas.com. That is where you will find the latest dirt on what is happening.

October 3 – 5: Barrett-Jackson Auction at Mandalay Bay

October 10 – 12: Mecum Auction at the Convention Center
Mecum is offering our members some nice perks, so if you plan to attend be sure to review Mecum’s Bidder Registration website to claim yours.

November 6 – 10: Annual Meet Hosted by the Desert Region in Arizona

November 5 – 7: SEMA Show at the Convention Center
Very difficult to obtain passes, but well worth the effort.

November 13: Board Meeting
An important one – new Board members will be elected.

December 7: Holiday Party at Towbin Motorcars

FORMULA 1 NEWS

The Situation in Early July

Nine races are in the books, almost half the season, and Ferrari has yet to win a single one. I guess that about says it all. Our boys have been regressing rather than progressing.

Those German cars continue to be a bit faster and the German team continues to be smarter…and much luckier. What do they say about making your own luck…? Meanwhile, the Ferraris have been very quick at certain tracks, but when push comes to shove (and there has been a lot of shoving) they have been consistently out gunned and out smarted. And, truth be told, they have been snake bit in the luck department. But they have also snatched defeat from the jaws of victory in a few cases due their own errors.

Some of the races have been quite boring, but – again – that is the luck of the draw. Perhaps the fabulous race in Austria was a silver cloud on the horizon, a ray of hope for better racing to come. I hope so, because better racing spells more enjoyment in watching, and hopefully some good finishes by our red team.

So, with nine races in the books, let’s have a look at the points situation, as bad as it might be.

Drivers
Hamilton 187 … Bottas 151 …Vettel 111 … Verstappen 100 … Leclerc 87

Manufacturers
Mercedes GP 338 … Ferrari 198 … Red Bull 136 … McLaren 39

Alas, I see Mercedes with a comfortable lead (140 points) over Ferrari, and Red Bull hot on our tail.

Can Ferrari right the ship and get back in contention? Or can they at least keep it interesting? Hold on to second place? The races coming up will tell the story.

July 14: GP of Britain (10)

As usual, the mighty track at Silverstone (a former WW2 airfield) hosted the British GP. This track is long (3.6 miles) and, with three long straights, hyper fast (average speed over 150 mph). The track had been recently resurfaced, so it was a bit oily and quite slippery. High speeds and low grip…sounds like an interesting combination to me.

The Practice sessions were run in cool, windy, and cloudy conditions, with some drizzle, as might be expected in England. This only further decreased grip; the cars were doing some slipping-and-sliding, providing a bit of welcome excitement. The top Practice times set by the top 6 were very competitive, leading to expectations for a good race. Qualifying went the same way; the times were very close. In the end, the grid order was Bottas, Hamilton (6/1000 of a second behind), Leclerc (7/100 off pole), Verstappen, Gasly, and Vettel. Ferrari opted to start on the soft tires, while most of the other top teams selected the mediums. No one seemed to know which strategy would prove best.

Despite cool, cloudy conditions and the prediction of rain, the race day crowd was announced at 140,000. They were expecting a great race, and they got one. So buckle up your seatbelts, because this was a barnburner.

The start saw a lot of wheel-to-wheel jockeying for position, but only Vettel, on his stickier soft tires, managed a pass; he got by Gasly in the first 100 yards. In the laps that followed Hamilton consistently dogged Bottas for the lead, managing to pass him a couple of times, only to have the Finn take the lead back on the ensuing corner. Great stuff. By lap 5 the order was Bottas, Hamilton, Leclerc, Verstappen, and Vettel; Hamilton had dropped back a bit from Bottas to save his tires. After a few laps of follow the leader, the four cars behind the two leaders were bunched up, and this led to an epic battle between Leclerc, Verstappen, Vettel, and Gasly for third place. These four were battling each other, going at it wheel-to-wheel, passing-and-re-passing one another for about 5 laps before Gasly blinked and headed for the pits for new tires. Leclerc and Verstappen followed shortly thereafter (lap 14), and in the process Verstappen managed to get ahead of the Ferrari (a slow pit stop – will the errors ever stop?). His advantage was short lived, however, as Leclerc pushed by the Red Bull on the next lap. These two then proceeded to fight for position for the next 5 laps. Again, great racing action. Most of the early stoppers chose to continue on the hard tires, hoping they would make it to the end of the 53 lap race. Bottas, however, chose a new set of medium tires, meaning he was committed to making another stop.

Hamilton was the exception to rule; he continued to circulate, now in the lead, without making a pit stop. His perseverance paid off as a safety car period on laps 21-25 slowed down the field, allowing Hamilton to pit for new tires and retain the lead. Again, this man is Mr. Good and Mr. Lucky. Meanwhile, most of the other top runners, who had pitted for tires less than 10 laps earlier, also made another stop during the safety car period for fresh rubber. In the process, poor Ferrari strategy (timing) dropped Leclerc from third to sixth in the field behind the safety car. When racing resumed, the running order was Hamilton, Bottas, Vettel, Gasly, Verstappen, and Leclerc, all running pretty much nose to tail. It looked like a very exciting end game was in the offing. And we were not disappointed.

Initially, Leclerc and Verstappen staged a huge battle for fifth place, a battle in which Verstappen prevailed. In the process both caught and passed Gasly who had been in fourth spot. Leclerc’s pass of the Red Bull was an amazing move that had to be seen to be believed. By lap 35 Verstappen had caught Vettel, then running in third place, and began to pressure the Ferrari for the final podium position. Verstappen managed to pass Vettel on lap 38, but Vettel refused to concede the place and the two crashed. Vettel spun, suffered some damage, was assessed a 10 second penalty, and headed for the pits for repairs; he was never a factor again and finished 16th. Verstappen was far luckier, and was able to continue at reduced speed. He finished fifth. Meanwhile, Bottas was able to pit again in the closing laps without losing second place. The finishing order was Hamilton, Bottas, Leclerc, Gasly, and Verstappen.

This was an absolutely fabulous race with on track battles and passing and re-passing throughout. Mercedes won again, but when the racing is this good, I can live with that.

A quick note: I have long felt that Hamilton was an arrogant pup who showed open distain to the sport. He often acted as if the unwritten rules did not apply to him, and that he deserved to win every race. In reality, he was just plain very lucky to have switched from McLaren to Mercedes just prior to Mercedes becoming the best team, and McLaren one of the worst. But, I must say Hamilton has really matured, and he is now probably not only the fastest driver, but also the most measured and deliberate. Moreover, based on his skill and temperament he has become the face of F1; he truly deserves all of his success. Well done young man.

July 28: GP of Germany at Hockenheim (11)

Everyone arrived in Germany abuzz about how great the last two races had been. Could another epic be in the offing?

The Ferraris set the pace during Practice, both on Friday when it was very hot and on Saturday morning when it was cool and cloudy. Being fastest in both weather conditions seemed important, as rain was predicted for race day. In other words, things looked great for the red cars. Then, Ferrari’s bubble burst…bad luck…again! First, Vettel’s car experienced turbo-related problems and was unable to set a time in Qualifying 1: he would start 20th, dead last. Then, just before Q3, Leclerc’s car also had problems: he would start 10th. So, what looked at noon to be a Ferrari lock-out of the front row became a miserable qualifying at 2 pm. Ferrari’s absence from the front rows opened spots for the mid-field runners, and the top five grid spots seemed, shall we say, a bit strange: Hamilton, Verstappen, Bottas, Gasly, Raikkonen (our old buddy in the Alfa Romeo), and Grosjean (Haas).

Race morning was quite wet, as predicted. The grandstands were full of Dutch Verstappen fans, mostly bedecked in orange. As the start time approached, the rain was abating, so questions loomed as to strategy and tire choice. Full wets, or intermediates? This was but the first of many variables that affected the race. In the end, the race was quite unusual, and so we’ll review it in an unusual manner.

Weather and Track Conditions: Weather and track conditions changed many times during the course of the 67 lap race. They varied from rain and a wet track, to drizzle and a damp track, to partly sunny and a mostly dry track. No track condition lasted for more than about 10-15 minutes, they were always in flux.

Tires: When the track was wet, full wet tires were necessary. Intermediate tires were best for a damp track, and soft slicks proved best for the mostly dry track, which seldom happened until the end.

Lap Times: The cars that were on the correct tires for the conditions were able to lap quickly and mostly under control. The cars that were not on the correct tires lapped much slower (3 – 4 seconds a lap slower!) and were slipping and sliding and spinning off into the barriers or the gravel, from which some were able to return to the race, sometimes after visits to the pits for repairs. Those that accurately anticipated changes in track conditions and changed to the best tires for them before their competitors reaped huge advantages.

Spins and Crashes: The cars running on the wrong tires, and even some running on the right tires, for the conditions were prone to off track adventures. These happened to everyone, from the young and inexperienced, to the sage old-timers. Drivers that lost control and crashed included Perez, Leclerc (!), Hulkenberg, Bottas (!), and Gasly. Hamilton and a host of others spun (some several times) into the gravel but were able to continue after unscheduled pit stops for repairs. The Safety Car was deployed 6 times to allow the marshals to remove damaged cars and/or remove debris from damaged cars.

Pit Stops: At most races, the drivers plan to stop once, and only once, for new tires. They occasionally stop twice, either due to different tire strategy or unforeseen circumstances. So, on average there might be about 30 pit stops per race. At this race, there were 78 pit stops, mostly to change tires due to the changing weather conditions or to repair damage suffered in off-road excursions…about 4 per driver. Hamilton, for one, made 6 (!) pit stops. The eventual winner made 5.

When the race was finally started (a bit late), all the cars were on the full wet tires, which were best for the still very wet track. Three laps were run behind the safety car (reducing the number of race laps to be run from 67 to 64) to suck and spray some of the surface water from the track. Then the cars moved to form the typical grid and the normal standing start was taken. Given that there are often accidents at the start in the best of conditions, and the wet conditions present, everyone got off well and the first lap was run without much incident except for the fact that both Red Bulls spun their tires, moved off slowly, and lost several positions.

We didn’t have to wait long for the first crash; it happened on lap 2, and brought out the Safety Car which prompted most to make their first pit stop, switching to intermediate tires. Meanwhile, Vettel and Leclerc were making up places after starting 20th and 10th respectively. Vettel was 10th by lap 5, and Leclerc 4th. The leaders were Hamilton, Bottas, and Verstappen. Lap 15 saw another Safety Car period, during which Leclerc stopped for new intermediate tires, which allowed him to run fastest in the field for the next 5 or 6 laps. But, by about lap 22, the rain had stopped and the track was drying; in response a few brave souls (including Vettel, Verstappen, Bottas, Leclerc, and Hamilton) switched to soft or even medium slicks. Then the rain started to come down hard, and all who had switched to slicks had to pit (number three for most of them) for intermediates. Some, like Leclerc and Hamilton, did not do so quickly enough; they spun on the wet track and were out (Leclerc) or in the pits for major repairs (Hamilton). All of this action meant that on lap 32 we had a quite unusual leader board: Verstappen, Hulkenberg (Renault), Bottas, Albon (Toro Rosso), Hamilton, Sainz (McLaren), Raikkonen, and Vettel, all running on the intermediate wet tires.

The next relatively dry period began at lap 36, leading to many exciting battles for position in the still damp conditions, conditions which caused Hulkenberg to lose control (lap 40) and smack a barrier. This caused the Safety Car to be deployed yet again, and most of the contestants to stop again for different tires. Upon removal of the Safety Car the bunched up field proceeded to wage many fights for position, especially because the top finishing places were suddenly within sight of drivers that would not normally even sniff them. How strange was the running order you ask? It was this strange: on lap 47 Lance Stroll in the Racing Point was leading the damn race. After another round of pit stops, most were on the soft slicks and the track seemed to be dry enough for a final sprint to the finish. At this point, lap 50, the running order was Verstappen, Kvyat, Stroll, and Bottas, with Vettel 7th and Hamilton 12th. Then, bad luck…finally…side-swiped Mercedes. Hamilton spun and had to pit (lap 54) and Bottas spun (lap 57) and had to retire. There would be no Mercedes drivers on the podium today…hallelujah free at last. All of these off track hi-jinx naturally caused the Safety Car to be deployed again, bunching up the field again. In the melee after the re-start, Vettel passed Sainz and then Stroll and then Kvyat, all within three laps. The final finishing order was Verstappen, Vettel, Kvyat (Toro Rosso), Stroll(Racing Point!), Sainz (McLaren), and Albon (Toro Rosso). Hamilton finished 11th. Neither Bottas nor Leclerc were even classified. Astonishing.

This race had a little bit of everything, but mostly excitement and unpredictability and surprises…so many surprises. It was great. It was heartwarming to see Vettel with a big smile after his stunning drive (last-to-second); I’m sure he exorcised a few demons after a string of disappointing finishes. It was stunning to have Lance Stroll (who has been struggling in the Racing Point) almost reach the podium. And two Toro Rossos in the top 6?…heavenly. And no points for Mercedes…simply poetic justice; it was the Germans’ turn for a bit of bad luck.

Another brilliant race goes into the books. Can this run continue?

August 4: GP of Hungary (12)

The drivers love this tight 2.7 mile circuit despite the fact that it is relatively slow and that passing is difficult. Every one of the 70 laps presents a real challenge. The pundits opined that the track would suit the Red Bulls. This was the final race before the summer break, so everyone had that to look forward to.

All three Practice sessions (two on Friday and one Saturday morning) were run in cool damp conditions, meaning that little meaningful information was gathered. Saturday afternoon Qualifying saw high winds and skittish cars; Leclerc spun in Q1, hit a barrier, and suffered a bit of light damage. The top six all ran Q2 on the medium tires (and all were successful in getting to Q3 on them), meaning that they would start on slower but more durable rubber. Q3 was highly contested, but the results were predictable: the starting order would be Verstappen, Bottas, Hamilton, Leclerc, Vettel, and Gasly (the big 6).

The weather on race day was unexpected: sunny and warm. The Dutch (Verstappen) fans were bedecked in their orange livery, and it positively glowed in the sun’s rays. Speaking politically, Max’s win at Germany energized his base. The start was hard fought, with Bottas and Hamilton coming into contact. As usual, Mr. Lucky Hamilton suffered no real damage while Mr. Not-So-Lucky Bottas lost several places and a portion of his front wing. He was able to continue, however, and the running order at the end of lap 1 was Verstappen, Hamilton, Leclerc, Vettel, and Bottas. Bottas managed a few more laps with his damaged front wing, but then opted to pit on lap 6 for a new nose and a set of hard tires, hoping that they would survive the remaining 64 laps of the race. He rejoined the race in last place.

As the laps reeled off, Verstappen and Hamilton began to gradually pull away from the two Ferraris in their wake, and it began to look like a two horse race. Verstappen began complaining about lack of grip due to degenerating tires, and as he began to slow a bit Hamilton jumped on the perceived opportunity to try and snatch the lead. He pressed Verstappen for five laps, attempted several passes, but was unable to overtake the Dutchman. Very good stuff. Verstappen’s strategists finally gave the order, and the Red Bull stopped for new tires (hards) on lap 25. He managed to rejoin ahead of both Ferraris, indicating how big a margin the two leaders had amassed in the early laps of the race. Hamilton managed to make his original tires last until lap 31, when he stopped for a new set of hard slicks. During this period, many interesting battles for position were being waged in the mid-field, which kept everything exciting.

By lap 34, second place Hamilton was closing in on leader Verstappen; the Mercedes was clearly faster than the Red Bull, but could Hamilton get by it? He had already failed in his previous attempt. A massive battle for the lead between these two raged for the next 6 laps, with Verstappen rebuffing each of Hamilton’s attempts to pass, and there were many. This was F1 at its best. Finally, Hamilton went wide and off track in a passing attempt, and he reluctantly dropped back to reevaluate his situation. Meanwhile, Vettel made his first pit stop on lap 40, and rejoined the proceedings on soft tires, hoping to be the fastest car on track by a big margin for the final 30 laps.

After a period of relative stability, the Germans rolled the dice. They pulled Hamilton (on lap 49) into the pits for another new set of tires (mediums) and sent him off to catch the leading Red Bull. He rejoined in second place on new tires (Verstappen’s were already 30 laps old), some 20 seconds behind Verstappen. Could the Mercedes catch the Red Bull in the remaining 20 laps? Could it overtake the Red Bull if it was able to catch it? This could be a very exciting finish, with the pro-Verstappen crowd willing him to the finish line.

On track, Hamilton was charging and Verstappen was trying to go as quickly as possible while being gentle to his aging tires. As the laps rolled by, Hamilton closed the gap: it was 15 seconds at lap 57, 10 seconds at lap 61, and 3 seconds at lap 65, just 5 laps from the finish. Hamilton was epic while Verstappen was tense, wondering if his dying tires could manage another 10 miles. Hamilton caught Verstappen on lap 66 and swept past the helpless Red Bull on lap 67. Meanwhile, Vettel was engrossed in his own mission; he managed to pass Leclerc on lap 68 for third place and a spot on the podium. The finishing order: Hamilton, Verstappen, Vettel, Leclerc, and Sainz (McLaren). Bottas was 8th.

September 1: GP of Belgium at Spa-Francorchamps (13)

Many questions greeted the teams as they returned from the summer break.

Who will be driving what next year? Alex Albon was promoted (effective immediately) from Toro Rosso (the scrub team) to Red Bull. I like the young Thai driver a lot, but wonder if he is ready to have ‘Mad’ Max Verstappen as a direct benchmark. Pierre Gasly (Max’s former partner) wilted under that pressure, was deemed lacking, and demoted from Red Bull to Toro Rosso. Nico Hulkenberg (a so-so driver who is approaching his ‘sell-by’ date) was not renewed at Renault, but Valteri Bottas was renewed at Mercedes (a no-brainer). Renault tabbed Esteban Ocon (an up and comer) to take Hulkenberg’s seat in 2020.

Would this streak of fabulous races continue? We shall see.

Could Max Verstappen keep his recent string of excellent finishes going? Has a seismic shift occurred in the pecking order? The Dutchman, with two wins and a second place in the past four races, has been hot-hot-hot. Will he continue to challenge Hamilton in the remaining races? Is he a championship contender?

The track at Spa-Francorchamps is majestic, 4.3 miles of undulating, snaking black top located in what looks to be a mountainous wilderness. Plus, it has two of the longest straightaways on the F1 calendar, making it very fast, to the advantage of the horsepower king Ferraris. Given these circumstances, it came as no surprise that the Ferraris topped the timing charts during all of the Practice sessions. Of note: Hamilton had a significant crash in Practice 3, but his team managed to repair the car before Qualifying later that day.

With all of the top contenders on the soft tires, Qualifying was fast and tense. In the end the grid order had a few surprises, but was mostly as to be expected: Leclerc, Vettel, Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, and Raikkonen. As has become the norm, a bevy of penalties were doled out for changing mechanical components: Sainz (McLaren), Ricciardo (Renault), Hulkenberg (Renault), Albon (Red Bull), Stroll (Racing Point), and Kvyat (Toro Rosso) were all dropped to the rear of the field for perceived infractions to the durability constraints.

Sunday dawned cool, cloudy, and damp, a complete reversal from the weather of Friday and Saturday. This would mean less grip, and an advantage to the Mercedes. The drag race to the first corner, less than 500 yards from the start line, was hotly contested, with much swerving and some outright jostling for position. Verstappen, after a slow start, was passed by Raikkonen; when Max tried to repass the Finn at the first corner they came together and the Red Bull was significantly damaged. Mad Max was out with less than a mile in the books. Just like that, Max fell off the gravy train and into the dog pound. Meanwhile, Hamilton and Vettel were going at it tooth and nail: Hamilton passed the German at the first corner, but Vettel returned the favor at turn two. Good hard racing, and very exciting. Seconds later the Safety Car was deployed so that Verstappen’s car could be removed from the premises, allowing things to settle down a bit. When the Safety Car was removed on lap 4 the running order was Leclerc, Vettel, Hamilton, Bottas, and Norris (McLaren). At this point the top 4 began pulling away from the cars in the bunched-up mid-field runners, who were staging numerous aggressive battles for the remaining points paying positions. There seemed to be multiple passes every lap, leading to excellent viewing.

Vettel, who had flat spotted one of his tires during his lap 1 battle with Hamilton, was the first of the leaders to stop for tires, on lap 15. He switched to the mediums. The other leaders managed to extend their first stints significantly longer: Leclerc to lap 21, Hamilton to lap 22, and Bottas to lap 23. However, Vettel, who had been running on new tires in the meantime, had gained the advantage; he was now in the lead by 3 seconds over Leclerc, who was 7 seconds ahead of Hamilton. But, now everyone behind Vettel was on new tires, and they began to run down the lead Ferrari. Vettel moved aside to let his teammate (Leclerc) pass (lap 27), but properly refused to grant Hamilton the same courtesy. An epic battle ensued between the two multi-time world champions that was simply racing at its very best. Hamilton finally forced his way past the Ferrari on lap 32, but by that time Leclerc had managed to build a significant lead over everyone behind him. Shortly thereafter Vettel made a second pit stop (switching to new soft rubber), hoping that a final assault on the new leaders could be mounted. Meanwhile, on lap 35 Albon pulled off a colossal pass on Ricciardo (Renault, and a man who isn’t passed easily) that seemed to justify the faith Red Bull had so recently placed in him.

At this point, a Leclerc victory looked to be a certainty…but Hamilton never concedes. He pushed his Mercedes to 11 (maybe 12) and set about catching the leading Ferrari. And, with slightly fresher tires, Hamilton was accomplishing his goal. By the penultimate lap (43 of 44), the Mercedes was within 2 seconds and looking for a place to overtake the Ferrari. But Leclerc kept his cool and rebuffed Hamilton’s challenges more like a seasoned veteran that the young sophomore that he is. The final finishing order: Leclerc, Hamilton, Bottas, Vettel, and Albon.

This marks the first Formula 1 victory for Leclerc, and it would seem that there will be many more in his future, which looks very bright for him: he is very quick and very calm, especially for one so young. Leclerc is already challenging four time world champion Vettel for the position of team leader, something that could not have been expected when this season began. Keep up the good work!

It must further be noted that Albon, the newcomer at Red Bull, drove an especially fine race. He started 17th (due to penalties) and managed to avoid misadventure while working his way up through the field to finish fifth (including a stunning pass of veteran Daniel Ricciardo). An excellent day at the office. BRAVO!

September 8: GP of Italy at Monza (14)

With lap speeds averaging 160 mph and top speeds of 225 mph, the 3.6 miles of Monza are the fastest on the F1 calendar. THAT’S ITALIAN, especially since the long straights are to the advantage of Ferrari, the horsepower king.

The two Friday Practice sessions were run in cool, damp, cloudy, and wet conditions, so not much pertinent data was collected, and no conclusions regarding speed could be reached. Rather, cars were sliding about and having off track adventures in the low grip conditions, meaning that the overall number of laps run was significantly less than usual. Practice 3 on Saturday morning was conducted in much better conditions; moreover it saw an interesting strategy being practiced. The drivers were practicing slip-streaming their teammates in an attempt to have the resulting ‘tow’ increase the speed of the car following the leader. Essentially, they were trying to nullify Ferrari’s speed advantage on the long straights. From this, you might guess that the Ferraris were fastest during Practice 3. You would be right.

As is becoming the norm, a raft of penalties was handed down for violating the mechanical equipment durability standards: Verstappen and Raikkonen were relegated to the very back of the field while Gasly, Norris, and Perez were also demoted down the grid.

Qualifying started out as normal, with the top drivers and teams easily moving into Q3. Then, things got very strange indeed. About midway through Q3, after most of the top 10 had set a fast (but not scintillating) time, Raikkonen crashed, which temporarily stopped the session while his car was removed from danger. When the session resumed, with about 5 minutes remaining, no one wanted to be the first one out of the pits for the final showdown for pole because the first one out would be ‘towing’ everyone else to higher speeds while not having the advantage of the ‘tow’ himself. So, everyone just sat and waited until someone went out onto the track…and they waited…and waited. Finally, one of the McLarens went out, and everyone else immediately followed. But the McLaren dawdled (and no one wanted to pass it) on its out lap, and by the time the bunched field crossed the start-finish line to start their fast lap, the session had ended. No new times would count. This wasn’t egg-in-the-face, it was an omelet shower. Talk about shooting yourself in the foot. Anyway, the grid would be based on the times set at the start of Q3: Leclerc, Hamilton, Bottas, Vettel, Ricciardo, and Hulkenberg. Two Renaults in the top six would normally be the news flash of the day, but the debacle concerning the timing of the final Qualifying laps overshadowed everything.

Race day was sunny and warm, meaning less grip and advantage to Mercedes and Red Bull. All of the front runners were on soft tires, but many in the rear two-thirds of the grid were on mediums. At the start, Verstappen, who had started last on the medium tires, brushed another car and was forced to stop for a new front wing; he also changed to soft tires.

After things settled down a bit, Albon (Red Bull) and Sainz (McLaren) started a multi-lap battle for 8th place that saw several passes and re-passes that certainly provided high entertainment value. Meanwhile, Vettel was closing in on Bottas for third place. Unfortunately, on lap 7, Vettel spun into the gravel and then was given a stop-and-go penalty for dangerous re-entry to the track. After a pit stop to repair his front wing and another to serve the penalty, Vettel was never a factor again. While all of this action was transpiring behind them, the leaders (Leclerc, Hamilton, Bottas, Ricciardo, and Hulkenberg) were motoring off into the distance. Only Verstappen, near the back of the field, was maintaining a competitive pace to them.

Hamilton was the first of the leaders to pit (lap 20) for new tires, followed closely by Leclerc, who, unlike most others that changed to mediums, opted for the hard tires. After his stop, Leclerc managed to return to the fray in first place, but just ahead of Hamilton. At this point Hamilton had the advantage of Leclerc’s ‘tow,’ the DRS, and the faster tires, but he still could not pass the Ferrari, despite many attempts to do so over the course of the ensuing 20 laps to do so. This was tense, side-by-side, and highly entertaining racing. Hamilton finally ran through the gravel in a miss-guided attempt to get by the Ferrari, and in the process fell far enough behind Leclerc to lose both the ‘tow’ and the DRS. The young Ferrari pilot had certainly shown his chops in this confrontation with the 5-time world champ.

Bottas was the last of the leaders to pit, delaying his stop to lap 28. He returned in 4th place, but was now on the freshest tires and primed to fight his way back to the front. On lap 42, Hamilton’s previously mentioned error and fading tires allowed Bottas to claim second place, and put him in position to track down the leading Ferrari. And, slowly-but-surely, he did just that. He was on Leclerc’s tail by lap 51, giving him 3 laps to find a way past. But, just like Hamilton, Bottas found it impossible to get by Leclerc, and the race victory went to Ferrari. The finishing order was Leclerc, Bottas, Hamilton, Ricciardo (Renault), Hulkenberg (Renault) and Albon (Toro Rosso). Verstappen, with his title dreams now effectively dashed, managed to finish 8th despite starting last, while Vettel failed to score points (13th).

So, this was a fantastic day to be a Ferrari fan. Not only did they claim victory at Monza, their home Grand Prix, but their up-and-coming star also drove a scintillating race, fought off both Mercedes lap-after-lap, and won his second race in a row. The only fly in Ferrari’s ointment was the dismal showing by Vettel, their fading star. Oh, and did I mention that the Italian fans were going crazy? Even Hamilton congratulated the winner with what seemed like genuine admiration for a job well done. But I’m sure he will want revenge at the next battle.

Also of note: Both Renaults finished in the top five. Was this an aberration or have they gained pace?

September 22: GP of Singapore (15)

The race at Singapore is different in many ways. First, its 3.2 miles are run on a street circuit that is bumpy and dusty with hard barriers poised to deliver punishment for errors. Then, there are turns…lots of them…and very little grip, both of which make it relatively slow and hard on tires, all of which are a disadvantage to Ferrari and an advantage to Mercedes and Red Bull. And, don’t forget the heat and humidity; Singapore is a challenge to both man and machine. Oh, and did I mention the race is run at night? Given all of this it is no surprise that Vettel loves this track and has raced most effectively upon it. (That is true, but baffling.)

In any case, Ferrari brought a new floor and a highly modified front nose/wing to the proceedings in an attempt to increase downforce, continue its recent successes, and overcome the inherent disadvantages noted previously. These upgrades proved to be effective and were used from Practice 2 onward; in fact the improvements allowed Ferrari to run at or near the top of the field throughout the Practice sessions, which was a huge surprise to all.

The pit lane at Singapore is also unusual: it is much longer than normal and has a much slower speed limit. This means that the time lost to make a pit stop is longer than at other tracks. This caused most of the teams to plan only one pit stop, and to plan to run most of the race on the hard tires, which have the longest life span. Deployment (how often and when) of the Safety Car was the wild card in all of these plans. Pitting for tires while the (inevitable given the conditions) Safety Car was slowing the field would be a huge advantage.

Not much transpired in Qualifying. The only surprise was the pace of the Ferraris, which was fast. With everyone of note on the soft tires, and everyone else on mediums, the front of the grid was dominated by the usual subjects, but in an unanticipated order: Leclerc, Hamilton, Vettel, Verstappen, Bottas, and Albon in the second Red Bull.

The start was clean and mostly uneventful; Vettel challenged Hamilton for second but was rebuffed. Ricciardo’s first laps were the exception; he started last due to some transgression and made some audacious passes. He was up to 15th before the first lap was completed. Then, something strange happened. Leading the field, Leclerc slowed the pace, obviously in an attempt to save his tires. And his followers seemed happy to allow this strategy to be employed; they did not challenge the Ferrari for the lead. This meant that the leaders did not pull away from the field as is normal; rather, after 14 laps the top 12 were covered by only 20 seconds. Given the 27+ second pit stop delta, this meant that if the top runners stopped for tires, they would return to the fray behind most of the mid-field, who could run many more laps because they had started on the medium tires. And so the race continued with little action at the front: everyone was postponing their stop, hoping for a Safety Car deployment that did not happen.

Vettel and Verstappen were the first to stop (lap 20), rejoining in 10th and 12th respectively, mired in the mid-field. Leclerc stopped on lap 21 and rejoined behind Vettel; Bottas stopped on lap 23. Hamilton, however, continued to circulate on his degrading soft tires, now in the lead. Meanwhile, those who had stopped were working their way back to the front on their new hard tires, hoping they would make it to the end of the 61 lap race. On lap 23 Vettel was 7th, Leclerc 8th, and Verstappen 9th. With no Safety Car deployment in sight, Hamilton stopped on lap 26, also opting for the hard tires. He rejoined in 8th and joined the other fast guys working their way through the slower cars on medium tires who had not pitted. By lap 35 everyone had stopped at least once and the running order was Vettel, Leclerc, Verstappen, Hamilton, Bottas, and Albon, all hoping their tires would make it to the end.

So, once everyone had given up on a Safety Car period, three occurred, one right after the other; they affected the course of the race for the next 15 laps. This slowed and bunched the field, but also provided a long period of relative respite for everyone’s tires. No more tire stops were necessary. When racing resumed on lap 52, Leclerc challenged Vettel for the lead, but was unable to get by his teammate. The finishing order was Vettel (ecstatic), Leclerc (irked that he had lost the lead to pit stop strategy), Verstappen, Hamilton, Bottas, and Albon.

Firstly, let’s congratulate Alex Albon. In only his second drive in the Red Bull, he managed to finish only 11 seconds behind the leader, and only 8 seconds behind Mad Max Verstappen, his highly regarded teammate. Well done.

But, of far greater importance is the question this race poses. Will the Ferraris now be the class of the field at all the tracks? Singapore was projected to be a very difficult track for Ferrari, and the red cars were not expected to do well there. Yet, they were the class of the field. Did the new noses and undertrays cause the Ferraris to leap-frog to the front on even such an adverse track? This, my friends, bears watching. The last third of the season may be very interesting, very interesting.

September 29: GP of Russia (16)

The track at Sochi, host to a recent Olympics, is 3.6 miles of twists and endless turns broken up by three long straights. Like Singapore, the pit lane is long and has a very slow speed limit (35 mph), meaning that the pit stop time delta is long, some 30 seconds. All of the teams planned to stop only once.

Not much of interest transpired in the three Practice sessions beyond the now inevitable imposition of penalties for replacing mechanical components. Verstappen, Albon, and Gasly were given 5 place grid penalties; home town favorite Kvyat was relegated to starting at the rear of the field. To compound his woes, Albon crashed in Q1; combining this with his penalty, he would start last. Qualifying saw one surprise: the Mercedes ran Q2 on the medium compound tires while the other serious contenders opted for the softs. After all was said and done, the Ferraris were again at the front at a track where they were not expected to do well: Leclerc, Hamilton, Vettel, Bottas, and Sainz (McLaren). After their penalties, Verstappen was 9th and Albon last.

Race day was sunny and warm, meaning tire degradation would be high. Vettel started as if shot from a cannon; he blew by Hamilton and nipped past Leclerc into the first corner to take the lead. He then proceeded to pull away from the entire field at a surprising rate. The German had the bit between his teeth, clearly reinvigorated by his win at Singapore the previous weekend. Initially, there was some talk of Vettel relinquishing the lead to teammate Leclerc, but Vettel was simply going too fast to disturb his progress. By lap 10 the running order was Vettel (clear of the field by a long way), Leclerc, Hamilton, Bottas, Sainz, and Verstappen. Albon, meanwhile, with a series of bold overtaking moves, had worked his way from the rear to 14th.

On lap 15 the complexion of the race began to change. The Mercedes, on the medium tires, began to set lap times marginally faster than the Ferraris, on their fading soft tires. So, it was not surprising that Leclerc was the first of the leaders to stop for tires (lap 22). Vettel was the next to stop (lap 26), but then disaster for Ferrari struck. Immediately after rejoining the race, Vettel suffered a mechanical failure and had to stop on the track. This caused a Virtual Safety Car period that slowed the field and allowed all of those who had not yet stopped (including both Mercedes) to gain a tremendous advantage: stopping for new tires while everyone else was circulating at low speed. When racing resumed (lap 33) Hamilton was first, Bottas second, and Leclerc third. From there on not much transpired and the final order was Hamilton, Bottas, Leclerc, Verstappen (from 9th) and Albon (from last).

So, after a string of fabulous finishes, the Ferraris were less than stellar in Russia. But, take hope. This result was more the result of bad luck – and terrible timing – than lack of pace. Absent Vettel’s engine woes, it is likely that the Ferraris would have finished one-two; they certainly had the pace to do so. Instead, Mr. Lucky Lewis Hamilton won again.

Wrap-Up – Races 10 through 16

Well, things aren’t peachy-keen, but they are certainly looking up for Ferrari. Our last summary covered 7 races…Ferrari didn’t win a single one of them. This summary also covers 7 races, and Ferrari was victorious in three. Moreover, Ferrari drivers stood on the podium 8 times in those 7 races. Is this wonderful? Not really. Is this adequate? Not really. Is it a massive improvement? You betcha. There is hope, and that means that good racing is likely ahead.

So, let’s have a look at the points situation with 16 races are in the books.

Drivers
Hamilton 309 … Bottas 239 …Verstappen 197 … Leclerc 197…Vettel 169

Manufacturers
Mercedes GP 548 … Ferrari 366 … Red Bull 286

Vettel has faded and Leclerc has stepped up. But Mercedes and its drivers are still in the catbird seat.

Meanwhile, poor Daniel Ricciardo checks in with a measly 34 points. He must be devastated to go from the front of the field with Red Bull to the middle of the pack with Renault. If Hamilton is Mr. Lucky, then Danny Ric must certainly be the opposite.

John Ratto

The Ratto Report – FCLV 2019 2nd Quarter Review

The Ratto Report
2nd Quarter 2019

stick

FCA NEWSLETTER
DESERT REGION – LAS VEGAS CHAPTER
2nd Quarter 2019

And, so, what we have here is the second quarterly report for 2019 on the happenings of the Las Vegas Chapter of the Ferrari Owners Club. Yes, it does seem the last one of these was published just last week, but that just goes to prove the adage…time flies. And I can say that it seems to fly faster as I get older. So, start your engine, put on your driving gloves and Piloti shoes, and don’t forget your bifocals, because we are going to take a cruise through the second three months of 2019.

OPENING COMMENTARY

Well, things have certainly settled down…mostly. The Mueller Report is still simmering on the back burner, but it seems unlikely that it will ever boil over. With the 2020 election coming into focus, impeachment now seems unlikely. The Democrats and Republicans are still fighting like cats and dogs, but that really isn’t news. Several weeks ago the menagerie of democratic presidential hopefuls grew to the bursting point, but no one new has thrown their hat into the mix recently, so I can now say I know about half of them by name and face. The first debates were must see TV in late June, and I would guess that the field will be reduced in short order based upon the perceived winners and losers. Meanwhile, the stock market has consolidated its first quarter recovery and is aiming at new all-time highs, so the well-off seem to be prospering, which always bodes well for Ferrari prices.

Clouds on the horizon? They’re always there. The hawks in the administration are rattling their sabers, as they are often wont to do. Iran…China…North Korea….Mexico? All I can say is that many of these peoples do not react well to being pushed around by bullies or being marginalized. My advice: don’t get into a fight with an adversary that has nothing to lose. Enough said.

Getting back to Ferrari prices, I notice a change in the marketplace for new and relatively late model Ferraris. People no longer seem to be desperate to buy a brand new Ferrari from a dealer, and then trade it in on the next new model. And those who are unable to purchase a new car no longer seem willing to pay original MSRP, or even more, for a car that is virtually new, but officially second hand. I believe that this has happened because there are suddenly so many more cars exotic cars (new and especially used) available for sale. Ferrari is building more cars every year. Lamborghini is building more cars every year, and some of them are really nice. McLaren, new to the market, is building desirable cars, and expanding production. Aston Martin production is up, especially in sport models. Porsche and Mercedes are suddenly building top-of-the-line models that can be seen as competition to Ferrari. But of greater significance is the number of used cars available. Over the last 10 years or so the number of new cars being produced (see above) has increased greatly. Most of these cars are now with second or third (or more) owners and they have depreciated significantly. But they are still desirable and have performance far greater than most of us can use. And to the common man they are essentially indistinguishable from the new models being produced. These cars are a very viable alternative to buying something new, or near new. In the end, there are only so many people in the world who can afford (or even desire to own) an exotic plaything. In summary: Ferraris were once very rare and desirable toys; now, they, and their exotic siblings, are beginning to glut the market.

Spurred by the enthusiasm of Dan and Jan Fogle, the second quarter of 2019 saw some very good events and social encounters for fun, food, and drink. Oh, and driving too! Recaps of some of those are listed below. If you missed all or most of them, you missed some good times. With the hot summer upon us, the number of events in the third quarter may be fewer, but they will be as good or better. In any case, we hope to see you at an event soon. With that in mind, let’s have a look at what happened in the recent past.

April 14: Drive to Death Valley

With eight Ferraris and 12 people participating, this was a very strong turnout, and everyone seemed to have a good time. Among the attendees were potential new Las Vegas Chapter member Howard Robinson and Andrew Williams, a visitor from the UK who rented a brand new 488 to join us for the ride. Andrew especially seemed to have a wonderful day, and his enthusiasm was contagious. We thank him for brightening everyone’s experience. Road work traffic on the way to Pahrump was a bit of an issue, but it was clear sailing once that bit was in the rear view mirror. It is good to see that there is interest in doing some of these longer drives, so more may be in the offing in the months ahead.

April 25: Social at Marche Bacchus

A surprisingly low attendance was experienced at this event. Moreover, the members that did attend complained of slow and indifferent service. Perhaps this once ultra-popular hot spot is losing its mojo? Or maybe it was just an off day? We shall see.

May 8: Board of Directors Meeting at the home of Jan and Dan Fogle

As is becoming the norm, this Meeting, held at a private home, was well attended by both Board and regular members. These meetings are becoming akin to mini-socials in their own rights. We thank Jan and Dan profusely for again hosting the Board and for the fabulous spread of food provided. Items for discussion ranged from the usual and mundane (dates and venues for future Socials, review of financials, and potential new members) to the more involving (planned activities, the website and its calendar of events, and the upcoming National Meet in Phoenix to be held on November 6 through 11). We again urge you to attend the Meet, and to reserve you hotel rooms ASAP. Also of note from the Meeting: it seems that the Concours at Red Rock Country Club is being revived. This event, which our members enjoyed in prior years, will be held on September 28.

May 23: Social at Table 34

Given that this spot is a favorite of our members, it was no surprise that we had an excellent turnout for this event. Nearly 20 attended, including elusive Deshawn, who is always a pleasure see. Also of note was the presence of Bev and Keith Evans, and of Marshall Buck. The only possible fly in the ointment was the prediction of poor weather, especially important as we generally begin our culinary journeys at Table 34 outside, and because many members generally drive their Ferraris to this venue. Well, despite threatening clouds (which certainly severely curbed the number of Ferraris in the parking lot), we were able to enjoy our appetizers and pre-dinner quaffs with nary a raindrop. However, we did move inside for the main course. Seated at two large tables, the conversations were lively and the food sublime. An excellent evening; we take our hats off to Elda and Bianca for making it all happen.

June 1: Drive to Nelson Landing and Tour of the Techatticup Gold Mine

Five cars and 10 people ventured off on a spectacular Saturday morning for a drive south to Nelson Landing and the T-Gold Mine. Included in the number were the elusive Juan Valdez and his gracious wife (on their first event with our group I believe), ensconced in a highly factory-customized 458; it is a beauty. In a minor change to our agenda, the first stop was at Nelson Landing, where a highly suspicious, and perhaps otherwise unoccupied, member of the local police force questioned our motivation in taking photos, of all things. Sounds like a major felony to me. Later, this same guardian of the peace was spotted lurking, waiting to pounce and write a few tickets for ‘them strange foreign cars.” Fortunately, his efforts were thwarted by sharp eyes and strict adherence to the speed limits while under his watchful glare. The next stop was the T-Gold Mine, a very interesting spot to visit. This mine was opened in the mid-1800s, and remained in operation through WW2, when it supplied less precious, but essential, metals for the war effort. Finally, our group headed to Milo’s Restaurant in Boulder City for some great food and drink, and some reminiscing on a day well spent. Many thanks to Chuck Damus and Kerri Howard for making the effort required to pull this event off.

June 27: Social at Tuscany Grill

Fourteen members set forth on a simply marvelous early summer evening in Las Vegas for the southern portion of Henderson to enjoy Italian food and great company at this well know establishment. I have to say 2019 has shone in the weather department. Spring and early summer have been wonderful…cool and moderate. Let’s order these temperatures every year. And, speaking of ordering, we all seemed to order full plates, and the verdict on the food and the atmosphere of this restaurant was ‘wonderful – let’s do it again.’ We thank Lindsey Freeman for suggesting that we give it a try.

Put it on your calendar!

Here is a list of upcoming events. For more information please see our website at ferrariclubvegas.com

July 10: Board Meeting at Tommy Bahama’s in Town Square

July 14: Drive and lunch – Mt. Charleston

July 25: July Social at the Grapevine in Summerlin

And finally: The Red Rock Concours is scheduled for September 28. In the past, attendees have enjoyed this show very much, so we encourage you to be there. Contact Dan Fogle for additional information or see our website ferrariclubvegas.com

FORMULA 1 NEWS

The Situation in April

With only two races in the books, the situation already looks poor for Ferrari. Despite having perhaps the fastest cars, they have yet to win a race, or even finish second. Instead of challenging Mercedes for ‘best,’ they are battling Red Bull’s Max Verstappen for ‘first runner up’. Much of the failure rests with Vettel’s sudden inability to get the job done: being behind his sophomore teammate in the points is unacceptable. Failing to run at or near the front with a clearly competitive car is worse. Losing races that could have been won is painful. I would also note that the new management regime at Ferrari seems to be lost, lost in the early stages of climbing the competitive curve to running out front in F1. How long will it take them to climb that curve? That remains unclear. Meanwhile, new team principal Mattia Binotto looks baffled.

On a grander scale, some things are clear. The cars are more competitive than ever. Lap time differentials between the fastest cars and those in the mid-field have shrunk by at least 20-30 percent. The ‘fast/top 6’ (Mercedes, Ferrari, and Red Bull) are no longer guaranteed to dominate the front placings. Special mention is due to the Toro Rosso team (especially young driver Alex Albon), which seems on the cusp of challenging the ‘fast 6’ for the big points positions.

With that in mind, let’s have a look at the races run in April-June. But first, let’s recap the points situation after two races:

Drivers Manufacturers

Bottas 44 Mercedes GP 87
Hamilton 43 Ferrari 48
Verstappen 27 Red Bull 31
Leclerc 26
Vettel 22
Raikkonen 10

With that, we move on to races 3 through 9.

April 14: GP of China (3)

This, the 1000th GP ever held, demonstrated a new reality: The M-Bs are fastest in the corners, while the Ferraris are fastest on the straights, exactly the opposite of last year. In any case, due to high tire degradation, it seemed the teams were planning a two stop race over the 56 laps of the 3.4 mile circuit in Shanghai. The fast 6 all tried to get through Q2 on the medium tires, and succeeded in doing so, meaning that the front of the grid would be on slower (than the soft tires), but longer lived, rubber. Qualifying was very tight, with the final order Bottas, Hamilton (0.1 second behind), Vettel and Leclerc (both 0.3 second in arrears), and Verstappen (0.5 second).

Race dawned cool and cloudy with a good chance for rain, conditions that were unexpected and that invalidated all of the data gathered during practice. Moreover, the wind direction had changed dramatically, throwing another variable into the equation. Bottas made a poor start, so much so that he disrupted Vettel (directly behind) as well. At the end of lap one, the order was Hamilton, Bottas, Leclerc, Vettel, Verstappen, and Gasly (in the second Red Bull). By lap 10, when the first of the soft tire runners were making pit stops, Vettel had passed Leclerc and was in position to challenge the two M-Bs ahead.

Verstappen was the first of the top runners to pit (lap 18), followed closely in the succeeding laps by Vettel (19), Bottas (22), Hamilton (23) and Leclerc (also 23). All chose to continue on the hard compound tires, hoping to make it to the end on them. Immediately after their stops, Vettel and Verstappen staged an epic battle over fourth place, a battle ultimately won by the German. The running order at lap 25, after the pit stops, was Hamilton, Bottas, Vettel, Verstappen, and Leclerc, who was reeling in the Red Bull ahead of him.

The folly of contemplating a one stop strategy was demonstrated when the leaders began making their second pit stops on lap 35 (Verstappen was first to do so, and Leclerc last, on lap 43), all going to the medium tires. From there forward, there were many interesting fights in the mid-field, but no real changes in the running order at the front. The final order was Hamilton, Bottas, Vettel (12 seconds behind the leader), Verstappen, and Leclerc. Of note: rookie Alex Albon (Toro Rosso) drove an exemplary race; he started last and finished 10th.

Mirroring the grey skies of Shanghai, this was a dull race. The Ferraris weren’t bad, but they clearly were unable to mount an attack on the front running M-Bs.

April 28: GP of Azerbaijan (4)

This race, run through the streets of the Baku, the capital city, is always interesting. In some ways, with the cars slithering through tight, barrier-lined corners, it harkens to Monaco. In others, namely a very long straight where the cars topped 210 mph, making passing easy, it could not be more different. Given the long straight, it was not surprising that the Ferraris topped all the practice sessions on the 3.7 mile circuit. However, when Qualifying began late Saturday afternoon, it was suddenly cool and dank, making it difficult to get temperature into the tires, in turn making fast times elusive. To make matters worse, big accidents in Q1 (Kubica) and Q2 (Leclerc in his Ferrari) further delayed proceedings into early evening, and even cooler temperatures and even more difficult conditions, conditions that favored the M-Bs. When it was all over, the tip of the starting grid was Bottas, Hamilton, Vettel, and Verstappen. Leclerc in the repaired second Ferrari would start 8th; he and Gasly (Red Bull) were the only ones of the fast 6 on the medium tires (all others would be on the softs).

Then, race day dawned sunny and very hot, throwing out much of the data gathered during practice. The cars made a good, tight start. Perez (Racing Point) got off well and jumped to 4th place, while Leclerc did not, dropping to 10th. However, Leclerc then put on a clinic, passing Ricciardo (lap 2) for 9th, Kvyat (lap 4) for 8th, Sainz and Norris (lap 5) for 6th. He was up to 5th by lap 7. Meanwhile, Gasly in the second Red Bull (who was also moving up fast) was running 8th by lap 11.

Vettel stopped first, on lap 12, with Bottas, Hamilton, and Verstappen following in close order. All chose to continue on the medium tires. This meant that by lap 15, Leclerc, still running on his original medium tires, was leading the race, followed by Bottas, Hamilton, Vettel, Gasly (who also had not yet stopped), and Verstappen, all about 20 seconds behind. From this point forward, the field, on newer tires, began reeling Leclerc in: Bottas caught him on lap 29. He passed the Ferrari on lap 31, followed by Hamilton two laps later. Leclerc finally made his first stop on lap 35, choosing to continue on the soft tires.

At this point, everyone was expecting fireworks. Leclerc, on brand new soft tires, should have been much, much faster than the cars ahead of him on worn mediums. Everyone was expecting him to quickly catch the cars ahead, pass several of them, and perhaps even win the race. It didn’t happen. Instead, Leclerc made some ground on the leaders, but not nearly at the expected rate. He was unable to catch any of them. In the end the finishing order was Bottas, Hamilton, Vettel, Verstappen, and Leclerc. The only plausible explanation for Leclerc’s failure to challenge those ahead of him was that Leclerc’s car was exhibiting some mechanical issues and he was taking it easy to ensure finishing the race.

With four races in the books, things continue to look bad for Ferrari. While they have been competitive, and at times fastest, the M-Bs have dominated when it counted, in Qualifying and especially in the races. Four races…four 1-2 finishes for the Germans. Things look bleak for 2019.

May 12: GP of Spain (5)

Bar-ce-lo-na…Bar-ce-lo-na…to Ferrari, it must sound like the tune of a snake charmer. A few short months ago the Ferraris were dominating winter testing at this very same track. How promising the season looked. Now they are hoping to get on the podium at the 2.9 mile track where 66 laps were to be run.

All the teams brought aero (and some engine as well) upgrades to the first race on the European calendar. Friday was warm in the southeast of Spain, but nothing of much interest happened in either P1 or P2. Times were close, but Mercedes was definitely quickest. P3, on Saturday morning, was run in cool, cloudy weather, which seemed to more suit the Ferraris. But Hamilton was still quickest of all. Qualifying on Saturday afternoon saw the clouds floating away and the return of the sun and warm temperatures. Perhaps the changing conditions contributed to Leclerc having a big off in Q2, damaging his car, and dooming his hopes to start at the front. The starting grid did not look good for Ferrari with Bottas and Hamilton on the front row, followed by Vettel, Verstappen, Leclerc, and Gasly (second Red Bull).

Race day dawned sunny, very windy, and very hot, which meant that the tires would degrade even faster than might have been indicated in Practice. Virtually all of the cars started on the soft tires, those which degrade fastest, leading to whispers that two pit stops might be necessary.

Bottas made a poor start while both Hamilton and Vettel did the opposite. As a result, the cars were three abreast into the first corner. Vettel was forced to concede, and hit the brakes hard, which flat-spotted his tires and compromised his entire first stint of the race. It also permitted Verstappen to pass him for third place. “If it wasn’t for bad luck…” Given Vettel’s woes, it was no surprise that Leclerc was hot on his tail by lap 5, at which point the team should have ordered the German to give way to his faster teammate. But no, management did nothing, causing both of the cars to slowly fall away from the leading group. This was shockingly bad strategy. Leclerc was finally let through on lap 12, by which time it was too late to really do much good. By this time, Vettel was complaining about his damaged tires, and he was the first to stop for new (medium) rubber (on lap 20). All of the other leaders soon followed Vettel’s lead, with the notable exception of Verstappen, who opted for a new set of the soft tires, meaning he now had to stop at least one more time, and Leclerc, who opted for the hard compound rubber, clearly hoping to make it to the end without stopping again. It must here be noted that both Ferrari’s pit stops were quite slow, dropping the red cars a few spots further down the running order.

After the pit stops, Vettel (finally) drove like a man on a mission. He was clearly fastest of all and was soon on Leclerc’s tail (no surprise since Leclerc was on the slowest, hard compound tires, and trying to make them last to the end). Leclerc should have been directed to move aside and let Vettel, who was on a completely different strategy, pass. Didn’t happen. Instead, the Ferrari brain thrust froze and did nothing. Bad strategy…again! As a consequence, Vettel was forced to (relatively slowly) follow in his teammate’s dirty air for a half dozen laps, degrading his tires and losing ground to the leaders. Leclerc was finally directed to move aside on lap 36, but by this time the damage to Vettel’s chances had been done.

By about lap 35-40 the die had been cast, and it was clear that everyone (except perhaps Leclerc) would need to make a second pit stop. Vettel was the first to do so, on lap 41, and by lap 46 everyone had done so except Hamilton, who was now leading the field, albeit on severely worn rubber, and Leclerc, who was cruising on worn hard tires. Was Hamilton waiting for a miracle? Hoping for a safety car? Well, the lucky dude got it: an accident caused the safety car to be deployed which allowed Hamilton to stop for new rubber and still retain the lead. This guy is lucky and good…a tough combination to beat. The racing resumed on lap 52, but, despite the bunched up pack, nothing much happened from there to the end. The final finishing order was Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, Vettel, Leclerc, and Gasly.

Well, that hoped for podium failed to materialize, in large part due to Ferrari’s terrible strategy and miss-management of the proceedings, and botching the first pit stops of both cars. When you don’t have the fastest cars, it is incumbent on the race team and the management team to make excellent decisions. When you don’t have the fastest car and you make slow pit stops and you miss-manage the strategy, you fail to make the podium…again.

May 20: Death of Niki Lauda

Niki Lauda, one of the best Formula 1 drivers of all time and current consultant with Mercedes Benz, has died. Lauda, born in 1949, stormed onto the Formula 1 scene in 1971 with back-marker March, but his abilities soon saw him promoted to Ferrari (1974). After the inevitable falling out with the Scuderia, he then moved on to Brabham (1978) and finally to McLaren (1982). In the process, he won the F1 championship three times, twice with Ferrari (1975 and 1977) and once with McLaren (1984). He is best remembered though for the horrific accident and fire he suffered while driving a Ferrari in the 1976 Grand Prix at the Nurburgring, which left him permanently disfigured, and the stunning comeback he made just weeks later to contest the 1976 championship to the last race, with McLaren driver James Hunt. This was such a compelling story that it was recently made into a major motion picture (RUSH). Check it out.

May 26: GP of Monaco (6)

Monaco, the crown jewel of the F1 season, also presents one of the most taxing races of the season. The track is short (just over 2 miles), narrow, very curvy, and relatively slow (average lap speeds are just over 100 mph), making it difficult (or impossible) to pass.

The Mercedes were quickest in both Practice 1 and 2, but Leclerc managed to pip them in Practice 3, which was notable for Vettel’s hard collision with a barrier and ensuing damage to his car. Ferrari was lucky to have it repaired in time for Qualifying later in the afternoon. The lap times in Q1 were very close and falling fast as the track rubbered up, increasing grip. Leclerc put in a quick time early in the session, a time that the Ferrari strategy crew determined was fast enough to get him into Q2. Meanwhile, Vettel was pussy footing around on his newly rebuilt car, shaking it down and looking for problems. As the session progressed, Vettel got faster and was soon near the top of the charts, while Leclerc was lolling in the pits. Unfortunately, all the cars were getting quicker, and by a lot. As a result Leclerc was soon only 15th fastest and on the bubble for a Q1 elimination. One last fast lap by a mid-field runner and Leclerc was eliminated from proceeding to Q2. Just another giant mistake by Ferrari race management. When the qualifying dust had settled, the starting order was Hamilton, Bottas, Verstappen, and Vettel. Leclerc would start 15th.

Virtually all of the front runners started on the soft tires, with Leclerc, obviously looking for a different approach, one of the few to begin on the medium rubber. After a relatively clean and uneventful start, the early laps settled into parade mode, with the front runners circling in the same order as they started. Meanwhile, Leclerc, mired in the mid-fiield, managed to make a few successful passes, and then crashed trying to make the next one. He dropped out shortly thereafter, while the Safety Car was deployed to allow the marshals to clear the track of his debris. This led to all of the front runners making unexpectedly early pit stops, with Hamilton opting for medium tires while most others chose the hards. In the pit stop confusion, Red Bull released Verstappen just as Bottas was approaching his pit box and the cars banged wheels. As a result, Verstappen was given a 5 second penalty and Bottas was forced to stop again to switch out a damaged tire. Racing resumed on lap 15.

While rain threatened throughout the day, it never materialized. Instead, what transpired was a tense battle among the front runners that unfortunately never exploded into any real action. From about lap 25 onward, it was clear that Hamilton was not pushing, but instead nursing his medium tires, hoping to get them to the end of the race (still some 50 laps away). He was lapping very slowly, more slowly than the cars in the mid-field. Meanwhile, Verstappen, Vettel, and Bottas, all on the longer lived hard tires, had caught Hamilton, but could not seem to find a way to pass him. Lap after lap was run with the top four essentially nose-to-tail, all cruising while being held up by their leader, whose tires were visibly in deep doo-doo. It was all very tense, but in the end nothing happened. Hamilton won, with Vettel second, Bottas third, and Verstappen fourth (after his 5 second penalty was added).

Ferrari’s poor strategy in Q1 and the nature of the circuit doomed Leclerc to either finish out of the points or to crashing in an attempt to move forward. Vettel, on the other hand, drove well and the team made the right move when they switched him to the hard tires (instead of the anticipated mediums). He deserved his second place finish and the points gained from it. It still isn’t good enough to challenge the superiority of the Mercedes-Benzes. Better strategy and more pace is needed.

June 9: GP of Canada (7)

The track at Montreal may be a street circuit, but it is a damn fast one, with top speeds easily exceeding 200 mph, and average lap speeds close to 140 mph. That means that the cars are lapping the 2.7 mile track in just over 1 minute and 10 seconds!

Practice 1 saw a very dusty the track (from lack of use and recent construction), and the Mercedes posting the quickest times. Practice 2 was far more eventful, with both Hamilton and Verstappen smacking the walls and suffering damage to their cars. In addition, by this time it had become obvious that the soft tires were degrading rapidly, leading to speculation that the fastest cars would run Q2 on the mediums, if they could achieve times quick enough to get to Q3 on them. It also raised the possibility of a two stop strategy. But there was some good news as well: the Ferraris (fastest on the long straight) were one-two in this session. And then there was more good news, the Ferraris were also one-two in Practice 3.

Qualifying was run in high heat (considering that it was Canada) and before a massive crowd. After an uneventful Q1, the fast guys, as anticipated, set their first fast times in Q2 on the medium tires, hoping to start the race on them as well. The Ferraris and the Mercedes were able to post sufficiently quick times on the mediums to get into Q3, but the Red Bulls were not, and had to revert to the soft rubber. Then, just as everyone was on their last fast laps before the red flag, a fly flew into the ointment. Magnusson had a massive crash just a few corners from the finish line, and that ended the session before many of the drivers had completed their last and fastest lap. Verstappen suffered the biggest blow; he failed to make it to Q3. After an uneventful Q3, the grid order was Vettel, Hamilton, Leclerc, Ricciardo, Gasly, and Bottas, with both the M-Bs and the Ferraris on the medium tires. Meanwhile, Verstappen was 11th, but then moved up to 9th after penalties were assessed. With freedom to choose any of the tires, he opted to start on the hard rubber, while all of the other fast cars, save for the Mercedes and Ferraris (on mediums), were to start of the softs.

Sunday was exceedingly hot, and they guys running the soft tires expected to stop early, and perhaps twice. The start was clean, and absent of any significant passing or accidents. Even Verstappen, albeit on the hard tires, was finding difficult to move up the order. The reality of the soft tires then settled in: Gasly (Red Bull) was the first to stop, on lap 8 (of 70)!, followed closely by Ricciardo (lap 9). An accident on lap 10 slowed the field, leading many more to hit the pits early, most going to the hard rubber. Meanwhile, the M-Bs, Ferraris, and Verstappen motored unperturbed on their medium and hard tires. The running order at lap 17 was Vettel, Hamilton, Leclerc, Bottas, and Verstappen, none of whom had yet stopped.

Vettel was the first of the leaders to stop for tires (lap 26), followed closely by all the others save Verstappen (on the hard tires from the start). Everyone chose to continue on the hard tires at this point. At lap 34 the running order was Vettel, Hamilton, Verstappen, Leclerc, Ricciardo, and Bottas. By this point Verstappen’s original hard tires were going south, allowing Leclerc to pass him for third place. A few laps later Bottas passed Ricciardo for fifth. But the real action and intrigue was at the front, where Hamilton was slowly reeling in race leader Vettel. By about lap 50 the Mercedes was looking for a place to pass and take the lead.

Meanwhile, Verstappen finally stopped for new tires (mediums) on lap 49, coming out into seventh place. He immediately began a charge back to the front, passing both Renaults (Hulkenberg and Ricciardo). However, the real action remained at the front, where Vettel made a small mistake and ran over the inside curb, allowing Hamilton to make a move on the outside of the corner. But Vettel regained control quickly and managed to make it around the corner without hitting anything and without losing much of his momentum. Suddenly Vettel and Hamilton were in a fight for the same tine piece of real estate, with Hamilton giving way to the still slightly ahead Ferrari. After that, Hamilton seemed to concede victory to Vettel: he never mounted another serious challenge. However, the stewards, in their divine wisdom, announced that it was judged that Vettel had made an unsafe re-entry to the track and would be penalized 5 seconds, handing the victory to Hamilton. GGrrrrr. The final ‘official’ finishing order was Hamilton, Vettel, Leclerc, Bottas, Verstappen, and Riccardo. Of note was youngster Lance Stroll who, in need of a good showing, finished 9th. Well done by him.

Ferrari seems to be truly snake bit this year. Sort of like the Warriors in the NBA finals. The red cars can’t seem to win a race…even when they have it in their grasp. Canada was a perfect example: everything was well in hand, but Vettel made a tiny error, and then the stewards penalized him for it (of interest – all of the commentators were surprised they did so). Meanwhile, Hamilton continues to be…lucky…AND…good. And so we see Mercedes win again and hope for 2019 fade into the sunset.

June 23: GP of France (8)

The Circuit Paul Ricard, located just outside the village of Le Castellet in Southern France, played host to the circus in late June. Paul Ricard is a long (3.6 miles) track with a long, long straight and a couple of very slow chicanes, resulting in fast lap speeds and many overtaking opportunities. The number one topic of discussion on Friday was still the events of Canada, namely Vettel’s penalty and ensuing second place finish. Appeals were filed, of course, and appeals were rejected, again, of course. In the end, Vettel was forced to suck it up and proceed, but he was visibly distraught, despite the fact that he had gotten married the weekend before.

It was very hot throughout the three Practice sessions. To no surprise, Mercedes dominated all three. However, the lack of grip, the rapid degradation of the soft tires, and the resulting spins and slides, were big surprises, and alarming ones. It was only after the track rubbered-in mid-way through Practice 3 that the cars showed any inclination to behave. Another surprise: the McLarens were consistently faster than the Red Bulls!

Qualifying was also run in very warm conditions, conditions that the weather reports stated would be in force during the race. This, and the data that had been gathered during the Practice sessions, prompted most of the field to run Q2 on the medium rubber, meaning that the soft tires would generally not be used at all during the 53 lap race. Instead, most everyone planned to start on the mediums and then switch to the hards. Qualifying produced a strange result: Vettel (still suffering from his honeymoon/penalty hangover?) was only 7th fastest, just behind BOTH McLarens. Hamilton, Bottas, Leclerc, and Verstappen snatched the two front rows.

The drivers managed a good, clean start, without much change in the order of the cars, despite many attempts to the contrary. It took Vettel nearly 10 laps to pass the two McLarens ahead of him, and by that time he was more than 20 seconds behind the leading group of Hamilton, Bottas, Leclerc, and Verstappen. The few cars on the soft tires mostly stopped for new rubber between laps 8 and 15, but the guys on the mediums didn’t get much more life out of their rubber; they started heading for the pits around lap 19, and most had pitted by lap 30. Everyone of note switched to the hard tires. After that, it turned into a parade, and not a very interesting one. The top 5 or 6 cars circulated about 6 to 10 seconds apart for the rest of the proceedings, with not much excitement or fanfare. B-o-r-i-n-g. The final finishing order was Hamilton, Bottas, Leclerc, Verstappen, and Vettel.

Of note: both McLarens finished in the top 10, with Sainz 6th and Norris (despite mechanical issues) 10th. This should be good news to everyone that is a true racing fan. We welcome the orange cars back into contention after several years in the netherworld. Well done to Zak Brown, who has undertaken the massive effort needed to turn this ship around.

June 30: GP of Austria (9)

The Red Bull Ring near Spielberg Austria is a short (2.7 miles) track with only 10 very quick turns, meaning that lap times were just over 1 minute, and averaging near 150 mph.

Conditions during Friday and Saturday Practice continued the weather theme of the past several races…it was hot, hot, hot. Europe is suffering through a heat wave of epic proportions (100+ degrees in normally cool Austria), perhaps the worst ever recorded there. It certainly had its impact on the cars, drivers, and especially the tires. But, the show must go on, and so it did. The Ferraris, based in warmer southern Europe, seemed least affected by the temperatures, and posted good times. The Mercedes, meanwhile, were suffering from overheating, both of their tires and engines, and were not their dominating selves. Grip was at a premium, as demonstrated by massive crashes from Verstappen and Bottas, and a near miss by Vettel. By early Saturday afternoon it looked that the Ferraris were the class of the show.

Qualifying revealed that Ferrari had chosen a quite different strategy than the other front runners. They would start the race on the soft tires, while everyone else of note would start on the mediums. Clearly, the red cars hoped (based on their excellent showing during Practice) to dominate the front row(s) of the grid and then jackrabbit off on the faster, soft tires to big leads before finishing the race on the hard rubber. But, poor Vettel was, unfortunately, snake bit again. He made it into Q3 without problem, but then suffered mechanical issues that prevented him from posting a Q3 time. So, he was forced to start in the mid-field (9th) on the soft tires, not a good combination…plans dashed. Meanwhile, all of the other fast guys were out at the last minute looking for slipstreams and pole position. When the dust had settled, and after the penalties for engine changes had been assessed, the top six of the grid were Leclerc, Verstappen, Bottas, Hamilton, Norris (McLaren!), and Raikkonen! (Alfa Romeo). As noted, Vettel was 9th.

Race day saw a huge crowd in the grandstands, many of them (an estimated 50,000) dressed in orange to cheer on Dutch countryman Max Verstappen. Race day also marked the hottest day of the weekend, with track temperatures over 125 degrees. It also marked a big change in anticipation…it looked to be a competitive battle for a change, with real questions as to who would win. All the announcers were excited; all were predicting a great race.

At the start, a groan went through the crowd as Verstappen nearly stalled his Red Bull on the starting line. He dropped from second to seventh before the first corner; given the circumstances he, and everyone behind him, was very lucky that a serious accident was avoided. Meanwhile, those who had made good starts were scrambling for position (while trying to avoid Verstappen’s laggard Red Bull) with many wheel-to-wheel battles of passing-and-re-passing in the offing – good stuff. Vettel, notably, made a great start, and was sixth by the end of lap one, when the running order was Leclerc, Bottas, Hamilton, Raikkonen!, Norris!!, Vettel, and Verstappen. After the exciting start, things settled down a bit, but then both Vettel and Verstappen began to work their way back up toward the front. By lap 8 the order was Leclerc, Bottas, Hamilton, Vettel, Raikkonen, and Verstappen. As the tires began to wear, the cars in the mid-field were running close together and were staging some exciting battles for position. There was more overtaking and then re-overtaking in laps 8 – 12 than there had been the entire race in France. Moreover, at this time it also began to become apparent that the Mercedes were experiencing overheating issues with both their tires and engines. The Silver Arrows were slowing and falling away from the leaders.

Bottas was the first to stop for new tires (lap 22), followed closely by Vettel, who had a terrible stop; he was stationary for more than 6 seconds, an eternity in F1. They both chose to continue on the hard tires, as did most of the others who stopped soon thereafter. Hamilton, who had damaged his front wing running over the curbs, took on a new nose during his stop, causing him to rejoin behind Vettel. By lap 32 everyone that mattered had stopped and all of the leaders were on the hard tires, hoping to make them last until the end of the 71 lap race. The advantage was clearly with Verstappen, who had stopped last of the lead group; his tires were as many as 10 laps newer than his foes’. At this point the running order was Leclerc, Bottas, Vettel, Verstappen, and Hamilton.

Verstappen, on his fresher tires, was able to slowly reel-in Vettel, and finally catch him on lap 48. Naturally, the youngster immediately pressed to pass the veteran, and, after a good battle, he accomplished his goal on lap 50. Verstappen then immediately set his sights on Bottas, whom he caught and passed, after another good wheel-to-wheel fight, on lap 55. Then, Verstappen began to run down Leclerc, the race leader. Verstappen caught Leclerc on lap 65, but passing the Ferrari, even with the benefit of DRS, proved to be difficult. They went at it quite hard for four laps, but in the end, with a debatably legal/illegal move, the Red Bull took the lead. Meanwhile, Vettel caught Hamilton and passed him, and then caught Bottas, but after some good racing was unable to pass him. The final order was Verstappen, Leclerc, Bottas, Vettel, Hamilton, and Norris (McLaren).

Of note: the two Alfa-Romeo drivers, Raikkonen and Giovinazzi were 9th and 10th, marking Giovinazzi’s first points in F1.

Watching this race was like coming out of the darkness and into the light. After several races that could best be described as ‘ho-hum’ watching this barn burner was a revelation, and a cause for new hope that F1 can once again be exciting. More of this, please, because the GP of Austria was truly must-see-TV. But, in the end, it was another lost opportunity for Ferrari. With the Mercedes struggling with cooling problems, the race was there to be taken. Losing it to a Red Bull in the final laps is tragic.

Wrap-Up – Races 3 through 9

Seven races were run in this three month span, and Ferrari didn’t win a single one of them. Instead, the German cars continued to be faster and the German team continued to be smarter…and much luckier. The Mercedes were definitely quicker in China and France, but the Ferraris were very competitive in the other five races. But, they have little to show for it because in Azerbaijan they qualified poorly on a track where it is difficult to pass, in Spain and Monaco they pursued poor strategies, in Canada they were robbed by the stewards, and in Austria they had bad luck in Qualifying and were beaten by a Red Bull in the final laps.

Consolation Prize: Austria was a great race and maybe that bodes well for good racing in the future.

Of note: The awarding of one point each to the driver and team that produces the fastest lap of the race seemed like a cheap gimmick to me, but the teams and drivers have embraced it and it has provided some late-race interest. This looks like a good move.

Also of note: The McLaren-Renaults are moving up the pecking order quickly. I welcome their resurgence. How long will it be before we see one of the orange cars on the podium…hopefully not at the expense of Ferrari?

So, let’s have a look at the points situation after nine races are in the books. And yes, it does look grim:

Drivers Manufacturers
Hamilton 187 Mercedes GP 338
Bottas 151 Ferrari 198
Vettel 111 Red Bull – Honda 136
Verstappen 100 McLaren – Renault 39
Leclerc 87