The Ratto Report – FCLV 2020 1st Quarter Review

The Ratto Report
1st Quarter 2020

stick

FCA NEWSLETTER
DESERT REGION – LAS VEGAS CHAPTER
1st Quarter 2020

Written by John Ratto
Edited by Chuck Damus

Man, it has been an eventful three months.

It all started way back in January, when tensions flared and war with Iran seemed likely. The stock market (and the populace) simply ignored these events and continued its march to the stratosphere. Problems with Iran dissipated, only to be quickly replaced by protests against the Chinese government held in Hong Kong. This looked to be significant, but it too fizzled out without having an impact on our economy, or the stock market. Ditto for impeachment: it looked like a big deal, but it came to nothing.

Lots of smoke … no fire.

Then came the Corona Virus and the roof fell in. Isn’t it amazing how something like that can cause mass mayhem? Concerts and events (the NFL Draft party, conventions, the NBA season, the start of the Formula 1 season, business trips, vacations, cruises), restaurants … all cancelled or closed. Casinos closed (what – I never thought I would see that). Fear of significant impact to the economy led to a wildly gyrating stock market…then significant impact to the economy. In a speech on March 11 to the citizenry, President Trump tried to allay fears; the Dow responded with a 10% drop the following day. Then we were told (and then ordered) to stay in our homes and practice social distancing (new term to me). Life and business ground to a standstill, and there seems to be no end in sight. The mandate was through March … then through April. Now? Your guess is as good as mine. At first, it seemed the government was over reacting, which led me to a question that I hated to ask: Does the government know more (bad stuff) about this Virus than they are revealing? As it turned out, the answer was yes. Bad got worse, and soon the death toll began to rise. And here we are in early April with no end in sight, still confined to our homes with nothing (no sports anyway) to watch on TV.

As I said, an eventful three months.

Meanwhile, on another front, as predicted in the prior Report, the cadre of hopefuls vying for the Democratic nomination has dropped like flies: Klobuchar … Steyer … Mayor Pete … Blumberg (Bloomberg? He wasn’t around long enough to leave an impression) … O’Rourke … Yang … and finally the big one, Elizabeth Warren. Did I skip anyone?? This leaves Bernie and Biden as the last (old) men standing.

Enough politics and civics, let’s have a look back at the events (and the fun – do you remember fun?) that we managed to have during the first quarter of 2020.

January 8: Board Meeting at the Home of Elda and Dave Fanucchi

We again had an impressive turnout, with more than 12 in attendance. We all thank Elda and Dave for again hosting another Meeting. Glitches with the computers at the National level seem to have prevented the seating of new Board members from being finalized, but that should be resolved shortly. Our new treasurer, Ted Schlazer filled us in on our current financials and reported that the turnover of financial responsibilities (from Scott Howard) is in progress. The Board notes that Scott’s tenure was long and very successful, so we thank him profusely for his efforts. The planning of upcoming Socials and Drives was then discussed. With spring just over the horizon, we have an extensive docket of activities in the hopper, so PLEASE visit our Website – ferrariclubvegas.com for more information.

January 23: Social at Piero’s

We experienced another very strong turnout for this social, held at one of the most renowned Italian restaurants in all of Las Vegas. And it did not disappoint, as everyone seemed very pleased with the food and libations. The conversations were lively and I was especially pleased to have the opportunity to really get to know new members Sandy and Katlyn Cornelius, whose first attended event was the recent Christmas Party. What nice people, be sure to meet them soon. While this may ostensibly be a car club, the interesting people to be met is really the number one attraction.

February 27: Social at Prosecco in Henderson

Want to know something? Socials at fine Italian restaurants are popular. More than 20 attended this one at Prosecco, a Henderson hot spot where the food was excellent and the drinks were more than generous. As an added bonus, after sating our hunger and thirst, we all re-convened at Oz and Jeannie’s home to gab and gawk at his small collection of some very nice and very significant automobiles. It was the perfect dessert to an excellent meal and evening. We thank Oz and Jeannie for their hospitality.

March 11: Board Meeting at Siena Ristorante

Despite our return to an old favorite, the Meeting was sparsely attended with no general members in presence. Perhaps the Virus is beginning to impact people’s desire to get out and mingle. None-the-less, your intrepid Board soldiered on. It was noted that Scott Howard’s continued illness has prevented the final turnover of the Treasurer position to Ted Schlazer. We continue to work hard to make this happen. The next order of business was discussing upcoming socials. Be sure to visit our website for information on the following: 3/26 at Nora’s, 4/23 at Lemoncello, and 5/28 at old favorite Table 34. Also in the works are two drives. The first, to the Valley of Fire, is scheduled for Saturday 4/4. The second, to Laughlin, is planned for early May. The next Board meeting is scheduled for May 13.

Mid-March: Extra! Extra! Everything cancelled, postponed, rescheduled!!

Well, the Virus hit the fan in mid-March. Progressively, everything ground to a halt. Everything was shuttered. Everything was cancelled. This has forced your Club to cancel or postpone all events that were planned for the near (at least through April) future. Keep your eye on our website for news and information.

FORMULA 1 NEWS

Testing in Spain

Good news: My spy in Spain has managed to escape incarceration and is once again providing the inside scoop of what transpired during testing in Barcelona.

As usual, it was obvious that none of the teams wanted to post a really fast lap in order to hide their true capabilities. Drivers were easing off the throttle a hundred yards from the finish line to mislead their competitors. That said, James (real name) Bond (not so real) indicated that Mercedes looked to be fastest, but also reported that they were experiencing repeated engine reliability problems. He also noted that the Alfas (now called the Alfa-Tauri), Racing Points, and McLarens looked quite stable on the track, but that the Red Bulls (surprisingly) appeared nervous and not well planted.

It is to be noted that the teams will be using the same tire compounds as last year. It is believed that this uniformity will add stability to the proceedings, as there will be one less new variable stirred into the soup. This should help the lesser teams as they lack the resources to fully explore the implications of any change, much less one to a factor as critical as the tires.

And finally, protests lingering from last season regarding Ferrari’s engines and fuel management system have spilled over into 2020. The other teams continue to insist that Ferrari is cheating, but the FIA cannot seem to determine whether this is true or not. In any case, the outcome of the FIA’s investigation was a secret agreement between Ferrari and the FIA stipulating what would be allowed and what would be rejected. Naturally, the other teams were up in arms, accusing Ferrari and the FIA of collusion. This imbroglio will likely continue well into the future.

Initially, the Virus situation caused the race in China to be postponed or cancelled. Then, at the very last minute, the first race of the season (Australia) was also cancelled. Then a bunch more were cancelled. As of now, it cannot be said with any certainty when a race will be run, or even IF a race will be run in 2020. The season, as so many other things, hangs in limbo.

Hoping that you are all well, I wish you all good luck in the days ahead.

The Ratto Report – FCLV 2019 4th Quarter Review Pt 1/3

The Ratto Report
4th Quarter 2019 Pt 1/3

stick

FCA NEWSLETTER
DESERT REGION – LAS VEGAS CHAPTER
4th Quarter 2019 Pt 1/3

Written by John Ratto
Edited by Chuck Damus

The last quarter of 2019, home to the Holiday Season, was relatively quiet for the Club. Many were travelling or celebrating at home with family and long standing friends. The mainstay of this time for the Club is the Holiday Party, and that seemed to be a big success for all those that attended. As you read this, it is probably cold and dark outside, and it may actually even be raining. Thank you God for that moisture from the sky – we need it! But that only means that spring, and warmth but not heat, is just around the corner. And that means that new Club events are coming soon. We hope you will attend some or all, as we would love to see you.

OPENING COMMENTARY

The 4th quarter of 2019 began with rumblings that Congress would impeach the President, and it ends with impeachment proceedings moving forward. Where this all ends, no one knows. I doubt it will be anywhere significant. Meanwhile, the bipartisan condemnation arising from the abandonment of (our allies) the Kurds has mostly evaporated as other, new ‘hot topics’ have popped up.

While the vast field of Democratic presidential hopefuls has been somewhat thinned through attrition, enough new candidates have joined the fray to keep the field oversubscribed. Things have been relatively quiet for some time, but look for the action to resume soon as the primaries approach.

Having lived in China (the real China, the Communist mainland one, not Taiwan or Hong Kong), I find the most interesting of these new hot topics has been the unrest in Hong Kong. Based on firsthand experience, I can say with certainty that China is not a police state, as many of our politicians and journalists would have you believe. I would also say that the ‘typical’ Chinese man or woman ‘on-the-street’ is generally pretty happy with his/her government and the state of the country. This is likely due, in great part, to the great improvement in living conditions in China over the past 20-30 years. When things are getting better, and getting better fast, people tend to be contented. Yes, the government is far more intrusive and omnipresent there than here, but that is true in virtually every other country in the world. Meanwhile, the Chinese people (but not those living Hong Kong) have far more liberty and prosperity than they have ever before experienced. Those in Hong Kong on the other hand, see the national government tightening the strings on their liberties. I am most interested to see how this crisis plays out, and I would advise that we keep our noses out of the mess: if there is one thing the Chinese despise it is outside interference in running their country.

Enough politics and civics, let’s have a gander at the fun stuff the Club was involved in during the 4th quarter of 2019.

October 23: Social at Marche Bacchus

Maybe it was the proximity to Halloween, or maybe it was the sudden cold snap, or maybe it was just the turn of the season, but this event failed to generate much enthusiasm, as indicated by a sparse attendance and blasé reviews of the event itself. Apparently, the food was slow in arriving, and that exacerbated the chill in our bones. Oh well, they can’t all be great.

November 13: Board Meeting at Bravo Cucina in the Galleria Mall
Once again, we had a very nice turnout for a Board meeting, indicating perhaps that our members are quite interested in the inner workings of the Club. Or maybe they have heard that Board meetings are kinda fun, or maybe that this restaurant has some pretty good Italian food. In any case, all are welcome – so plan to attend one. The first order of business was discussion regarding the upcoming Holiday Party. Everything seemed set, with only minor details to be finalized. By the time you read this, the Party will be in the rear view mirror, but we hope you all enjoyed it. Then we progressed to the real business, nomination of board officers and directors for 2020. Unfortunately, a lot of familiar names are on the roster, including yours truly. Most of the new nominees are past board members, including Lindsey Freeman, Elda Fanucchi, and Chuck Damus. We really need some fresh blood – so please consider stepping up and joining the Club’s executive branch.’

December 7: Holiday Party at Towbin Motorcars

On a beautiful, balmy December Las Vegas evening many of the usual suspects gathered at Towbin Motorcars, our dealership, to celebrate the holiday season and the passing of another year. We must note the presence of two new members. Be sure to say a warm hello to Sandy and Katlyn Cornelius (California exiles, as many of us are) when you meet them on a future event. They are the proud owners of a 458 that Sandy was quick to point out is driven whenever possible, as is proved by the 20,000 plus miles already on its odometer. Moreover, this was also an opportunity to welcome back Al and Lorene Lindahl after an extended, illness forced absence. The food was good, the music perhaps a taste too loud, and the comradery palpable. It certainly seemed that a good night and a good time were had by all.

Well, I am embarrassed to say that, other than a Board Meeting scheduled for January 8th, the cupboard is bare. That puts the onus on you dear member to find our website – ferrariclubvegas.com – and periodically check the Calendar for new events. We hope to see you there.

Go to page 2/3

The Ratto Report – FCLV 2019 4th Quarter Review Pt 2/3

The Ratto Report
4th Quarter 2019 Pt 2/3

stick

FCA NEWSLETTER
DESERT REGION – LAS VEGAS CHAPTER
4th Quarter 2019 Pt 2/3

FORMULA 1 NEWS

The Situation in Early October

With Ferrari suddenly resurgent, and then not quite so resurgent, and a bunch of exciting races recently highly contested, things are looking pretty good for a great finish to the season. But, let’s be realistic, both the drivers’ and the constructors’ championships are all but decided. With 16 (of 21) races are in the books, the points situation looks like this:

Drivers

Hamilton 309 … Bottas 239 …Verstappen 197 … Leclerc 197…Vettel 169

Manufacturers

Mercedes GP 548 … Ferrari 366 … Red Bull 286

While there is still hope, it is slimmer than slim. But that doesn’t mean that there won’t be some great racing from now until the season ends.

October 13: GP of Japan at Suzuka (17)

This 3.6 mile track rewards high downforce (advantage Mercedes and Red Bull) but also demands high speed (advantage Ferrari). Thus, as might be expected, the times during Practice were quite close, with Mercedes generally at the top of the heap. But, an impending typhoon was the major subject of discussion. In response, the organizers cancelled Free Practice 3 and postponed Qualifying (both scheduled for Saturday). After the typhoon moved on, Qualifying was run on Sunday morning, four hours before the start of the race.

Sunday morning was cloudy, but clearing; Qualifying was conducted without major incident, or any more rain. However, it was still very windy and the track was ‘green’ (the rubber on the track had been washed away by the rain), meaning grip was low. Combined with the lack of practice, a few off road excursions that delayed the proceedings were no surprise. The results were a big surprise: Vettel, Leclerc, Bottas, Hamilton, Verstappen, and Albon, with everyone on soft tires. Where had Ferrari found its pace? Where had Vettel found his pace? Could Ferrari maintain its pace during the race?

By race time early Sunday afternoon, the weather was sunny and warm, and the wind had died down considerably. What typhoon? Vettel made a terrible start and was passed immediately by Bottas. Leclerc’s start wasn’t much better, putting him under severe pressure from Verstappen; the two fought for position in turn 1, and collided. Verstappen’s car suffered the greater long term damage; he eventually retired at lap 15. Leclerc suffered severe damage to his front wing, which slowly disintegrated piece by piece as he (incomprehensively) attempted to continue, which he managed to do for a few laps with his wing dragging and shedding shards of carbon fiber. He was forced to the pits on lap 4 and returned at the rear of the field. When you combine these significant occurrences with several other lesser comings together, the first lap could definitely be considered eventful.

After things settled down a bit, the running order at lap 10 was Bottas, Vettel, Hamilton, Sainz (McLaren), and Albon. Leclerc, making his way back towards the front, was 16th. At this point Hamilton began to edge up on Vettel, preparing to challenge the German for second place.

Albon was the first of the leaders to stop for new tires (lap 15), and the others followed soon thereafter. While most everyone opted to change to the medium rubber, thus fulfilling the requirement to use two of the three available compounds, Vettel chose to mount a second set of the soft rubber, meaning he would need to stop again. Leclerc, who had stopped on lap four (for a new wing and fresh tires), was the last of the leaders to stop (lap 26). Having already used both the mediums and the softs, he chose the soft rubber for his third set of tires. By this time, virtually all had stopped and the field was quite spread out; the running order was Bottas, Vettel, Hamilton, and Albon, with Leclerc in 10th. A period of intense racing followed, especially between the cars occupying 7th through 14th place, with many battles and passes throughout the field. Leclerc’s progress through the field is worthy of special note; he was soon up to 6th place and closing fast on the leaders. Meanwhile, Vettel made a second stop (lap 32) for medium tires; soon thereafter he was joined in the two stop group by Albon and Bottas. Hamilton (now leading by a comfortable margin, but with aging tires and slowing lap times) was the last to concede that one stop would not be sufficient; he made his second stop on lap 42, choosing the soft tires. But, by then, he had lost time and only managed to rejoin the fray 5 seconds behind Vettel and 15 seconds behind Bottas.

On his new tires, Hamilton quickly (by lap 47) caught Vettel and then repeatedly tried to pass the Ferrari for second place. But Vettel fought for all of his worth, refusing to let the Mercedes by. This battle raged lap-after-lap, with neither of the multi-time world champions giving an inch…excellent racing! Six laps later (lap 53) the race ended with Hamilton still unable to do the deed. The finishing order was Bottas, Vettel, Hamilton Albon, Sainz (McLaren), Leclerc, and Ricciardo. Unfortunately for Leclerc, after the conclusion of the race he was assessed 15 seconds of penalties for the lap one encounter with Verstappen and for driving unsafely with his damaged front wing after the collision. The 15 seconds dropped him to seventh place, behind Ricciardo.

It just simply bears repeating: Mercedes seems able to find a way to win when it should lose, while Ferrari seems to find a way to lose when it should win…very frustrating.

October 27: GP of Mexico (18)

This short, 2.7 mile track is located in central Mexico, near the capital (population 21 million). As such, it is at very high elevation (more than 7,500 feet), meaning that the air is thin. With little oxygen to burn, horsepower is down, as is aerodynamic downforce, meaning the cars will be sliding, the brakes won’t be working, and the tires will be degrading fast. In contrast to all of that negativity, the track is very fast, with average lap speeds around 130 mph, and top speeds well over 220 mph. Oh, intermittent rain was forecast throughout the weekend. In other words, things might get very interesting.

After all of this anticipation, not much happened in any of the three Practice sessions. Overnight rains resulted in wet mornings and some serious slipping and sliding (and a few big spins and crashes), but nothing that couldn’t be fixed. The Ferraris looked like the class of the field.

Qualifying brought clearing skies and warmer temperatures. All of the top 6 ran the medium tires in Q2, meaning those were the tires they would use at the start of the race. Bottas spun and had a massive crash at the end of Q3 that terminated the session; as a result none of the fast guys’ fastest times were counted. The qualifying order was Verstappen, Leclerc, Vettel, Hamilton, Albon, and Bottas. Long after Qualifying was in the books, Verstappen was given a three spot grid penalty for not slowing quickly enough when a yellow flag was waved. To say he was livid would be an understatement. He started fourth.

By Sunday afternoon race time, skies were blue and temperatures were hot. It had again rained overnight, washing away the built-up rubber and reducing grip. How this would affect tire degradation was a mystery. The start was pretty much uneventful, with only a bump between Vettel and Hamilton of note. But, after the dicing of the first lap there were major changes in the running order: Leclerc, Vettel, Albon, Sainz, Hamilton, Norris, Bottas, and Verstappen, who by this time must have been furious to see his pole position dissolve to 8th place so quickly. In response he attempted (lap 5) to force his way past Bottas, which led to a back-and-forth battle for seventh place that ultimately resulted in a punctured tire and a trip to pits for Mad Max. He rejoined in last place on hard compound tires. Meanwhile, Hamilton passed Sainz, and Bottas passed both Norris and Sainz. The race was on.

The drivers in the field who had started on the soft rubber began making pit stops at lap 10. They mostly chose the hard tires for their second stints. As the laps ticked by, it became obvious that closely following a car ahead would be problematic because of ensuing high temperatures, both engine and brakes, in the following car. Albon and Leclerc, who had started on medium tires, made their first stops at about lap 15. They opted for new medium tires, meaning they would need to stop again. Meanwhile, Hamilton, Bottas, and Vettel continued to lap on their original medium tires: Hamilton delayed his pit stop to lap 24, while Bottas and Vettel soldiered on until lap 37: all three chose to mount the hard tires, hoping they would make it to the end of the 71 lap race. Leclerc and Albon made their second stops around lap 44, also choosing to continue on hard tires. With the dust settled and everyone ready for a fight to the finish, the running order was Hamilton, Vettel, Bottas, Leclerc, and Albon. Verstappen was 7th after working his way up through the field.

At this point, the front runners were very close together, with about 5 seconds covering the top four. Hamilton was in the lead, but he was on older tires than both Vettel and Bottas, who were close on his tail. It looked like an exciting conclusion was in store. But it didn’t happen. As mentioned before, following another car closely in hopes of passing caused overheating. Unfortunately, as a consequence, a parade to the finish ensued with little to note transpiring. The finishing order was Hamilton, Vettel, Bottas, Leclerc, Albon, and Verstappen.

There really isn’t much to say about this race. The pace of the leading cars was very close which, along with the over-heating issues, made it difficult to pass. Even in hindsight, there was no clear cut strategy advantage. In the end, Mr. Lucky prevailed again. When the going gets tough, the tough get going.

November 3: GP of the United States (19)

With the season coming to a close and most of the big questions either answered or essentially answered, the F1 circus finally ventured to Austin for the US Grand Prix. And, something unexpected, for Texas, was encountered – cold. And something else unexpected was encountered – a very bumpy track due to recent differential settlement. But, our brave lads soldiered on and the race proceeded.

Given the conditions, the cars were driven with a bit of circumspect in Practice 1 and 2, no one wanted to damage their steeds over the wavy surface. But, as the Practice laps droned by, everyone became more confident and lap times dropped. By Practice 3 on Saturday morning, when temperatures were significantly higher than Friday, the competition was on. And, the competition was close; there was little to choose between Mercedes, Ferrari, and Red Bull.

Qualifying was even warmer, but windy, which seemed to affect some cars more than others. Most of the fast guys (Albon – on softs – excepted) ran Q2 on the medium tires so they could use them for the start of the race. The rest of the field was split, some on softs, some on mediums, and some on hards! This indicates that opinions as to tire wear versus lap times, and the number of stops that would be necessary, were varied, which would make the race more interesting. In any case, everyone was on softs for Q3 and the big battle for pole. In the end, the top spots were of no real surprise, but they did show how close the top teams were: Bottas, Vettel, Verstappen, Leclerc, Hamilton, and Albon. Just over 1/10 of a second covered the top four!

Normal Texas weather, hot and very windy, finally arrived just in time for race day. How these different conditions would affect the cars and their tires was yet to be determined. It was a pretty clean start, but not a good one for the Ferraris who failed to maintain their grid positions. Moreover, virtually immediately, Vettel began to complain that his car was driving poorly and had no grip. Moreover, there seemed to be no apparent cause for his woes. It was no surprise then that he fell further down the order than anyone else at the front. At the end of lap 1 the running order was Bottas, Verstappen, Hamilton, Leclerc, Norris (McLaren), and Vettel. Albon was in the pits after a small shunt with Sainz in the second McLaren. As the early laps rolled on, Vettel continued to complain, and on lap 8 the cause of his woes became quite apparent: the rear suspension of the Ferrari failed in spectacular fashion and Vettel was out of the fray. The question arises: was the failure due to the many laps run over the bumpy track? Was it due to fatigue in the suspension part that failed? Was it due to a combination of the two (most likely answer)?

Verstappen (lap 14) was the first of the front runners to stop for tires, switching from mediums to hards, hoping they could make it to the end of the 56 lap race. Bottas (lap 15), Leclerc (lap 21), and Hamilton (lap 24) followed his lead. So, by lap 25 all of the remaining contenders had stopped and the running order was Bottas, Verstappen, Hamilton, and Leclerc. Albon, after his pit stop and some aggressive driving, was back to 11th.

But, the plans of the leaders were soon dashed. By lap 35, with still 20 laps remaining, their hard tires were dying, forcing them to make a second stop. Verstappen and Bottas stopped at this point (switching to mediums), while Leclerc soldiered on to lap 43 before stopping, so that he could make his last stint on the soft rubber. Given that he was 20 seconds or so behind the leaders, a different strategy was his only hope. And so, the race was on. The question: could Bottas, Verstappen or Leclerc (all on far newer, and softer, tires) catch the leader (Hamilton) on his aging hard rubber. Bottas was sniffing his teammate’s tailpipe by lap 45, but he was having problems trying to follow closely. On lap 51, with nothing to lose, Bottas made a serious attempt to pass. It failed and the two Mercedes almost crashed. Bottas persisted and (on lap 52) forced his way to the front with a very aggressive move. The final finishing order was Bottas, Hamilton, Verstappen, and Leclerc, all in close proximity.

With this result, Hamilton wins his 6th world championship. Only Michael Schumacher (with 7) has more…aahh, the grand old days.

Also with this result it has become obvious that whatever advantage Ferrari gained during the summer break has dissipated to nothing. Mercedes is once again fastest.

Go to page 3/3